Is Selma the favorite?

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  • shibby
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    #170121

    Hello to all, thanks for reading. I can’t help but notice the rave reviews, and critical acclaim this movie has achieved. Personally, I have not seen the movie so I am curious if these reviews are warranted. Until I see the movie, I have to compare it to those which it is being compared too. Birdman has stellar reviews, and I have seen it. I though it was a tad overrated, but a great film all together. Boyhood is my personal favorite. I thought the deep levels it grasps and the emotional feelings it triggers, as a viewer, were enough to win it best picture… Until Selma was released. I haven’t seen a movie garner such good reviews since I have been reading critic reviews and since rotten tomatoes or metacritic have surfaced. My question is simple… Is this movie turning into the favorite? Many experts have moved it up their boards, and I am wondering what the general consensus is among the gold derby community. General comments are welcome, as well as people’s personal opinions and reviews!

    Thank you to all. Thanks for making me feel welcome since joining! 

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    TomHardys
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    #170123

    I don’t think Selma is winning anything. And I’m not buying Oyelowo’s pre-lock status just yet. I think there’s a good chance of him being snubbed in favor of Gyllenhaal.

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    AMG
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    #170124

    I think it stands a chance of upsets in some categories. It should get widespread nominations. But it doesn’t have the ‘challenge’ of being 12 years in the making, which for some reason seems to be a major factor in support of Boyhood. It has the best reviews of the year alongside Boyhood and Birdman. Potential three horse race as we did temporarily last year, but it, or one of the other two, may subside as the season continues, to suffer the fate of American Hustle – high noms tally, zero awards.

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    benbraddock
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    #170125

    Boy oh boy..talk about false hype on these boards and with critics.
    I sat through SELMA  yesterday at a semi-packed theater in NYC
    and i was underwhelmed…It plays like a TV movie docudrama, more
    of a condensed history lesson..Ava Duverny for all of her hype and
    welcoming to the big time, has filmed Selma very poorly with camera
    shots and angles that make it look like it should have special effects.
    The camera did not know where to go…Seeing the character played
    by Oprah Winfrey given a “star” treatment so that Oprah can pop her
    head in and out of the film was downright embarassing..She is in so
    many scenes so that we can just see her…with hardly any dialogue at
    all..The editing was good because the film didnt go on forever and
    2 of the songs near the end are definitely oscar nomination bound.
    DAVID OYELOW  gives a great performance ..matched by CARMEN
    EJEGO’s Coretta King..i think they will both be nominated for oscars
    and i can see a scenario where Oyelowo possibly wins at the finish
    line…not because hes the best, but again for the wrong reasons..
    The character of MLK is iconic and he played him brilliantly introducing
    us to many layers of the man..Physically, of course, he gained over 30
    pounds and transformed himself and the “we shall overcome” speech
    at the end of the film is very emotional…DuVernay somehow manages to
    reach the audience at the end with some very good scenes..The art direction
    and score seem non existent, except for the songs…I believe the screenplay
    is original because DuVernay and even OPRAH couldnt get the permission
    of the KING family for any actual speeches…so the screenplay was fashioned
    by watching tapes of MLK…I believe there must be some dramatic license
    in the screenplay..a few incidents were a bit overdone…The message of the film
    comes loud and clear..yes, all people should have the same rights…but I
    think the film tries too hard to hit you over the head with that message and
    at times, becomes even preachy…I would think that the academy will eat this
    up regarding nominations in some key categories but on a whole i dont think
    that SELMA  can win best picture of the year…its a bit weak, and coming off
    12 YEARS A SLAVE  makes it even tougher….OYELOWO  does put himself in
    the mix with KEATON AND REDMAYNE..

    MY GRADE
    B-

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #170126

    We haven’t seen it win anything yet, so it just can’t quite be the favourite. Boyhood’s sweep of the critic awards was pretty definitive. It needs to get a few wins under its belt to cement its status as a frontrunner, and Duvernay especially will need the DGA to nominate her.

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    Ryan Lapierre
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    #170127

    I have Selma in my #3 spot it has a chance of winning but I think it’s a Boyhood Vs Birdman race at this point.

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    nkb325
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    #170128

    Honestly as unfortunate as this is, I feel like if 12 years a slave hadn’t won last year Selma would be much more of a threat. Havent seen it so don’t know if it’s a worthy winner or anything but I feel like it would have much more of a chance.

    I do have to say though I could actually see a scenario where Boyhood takes Picture and Selma takes director. I don’t think it will happen, but I actually think that is more likely than Selma taking picture or the reverse. That way they can reward boyhood overall, probably toss linklater screenplay and then still give selma something huge and make history by rewarding duvernay.

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    manakamana
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    #170129

    Paramount thought Interstellar would be their big horse up until Selma first screened (partly because that was basically as soon as it was done) and had all their resources aligned for it. So far it’s had as much as it needs to do be an Oscar player, and it could really build well-timed momentum as it releases wide going into MLK weekend (the 50th anniversary of the Selma march itself). 

    I can see Ava winning Best Director, and even Oyelowo possibly winning over Redmayne.  

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    Joe Burns
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    #170130

    I think it can win and it could start building momentum once it comes out in wide release.  It’s not the favorite right now, I still think Boyhood is certainly the one to beat at this point.  I’d call Selma the dark horse  and The Imitation Game the one to watch.  Despite the critics love for it,  I don’t see the Academy giving Birdman Best Picture, Director maybe, but not Picture.  It judt soesn’t seem like their cup of tea, even if the days of the traditional Oscar film is over. 

    As for the arguement that 12 Years will keep it from winning,  I have to say that with all the racial problems going on in America right now,  I think a film like Selma  is the type of film that Oscar voters will feel  obligated to support.  Don’t like saying it, but its true.  

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