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Is “Tale of Princess Kaguya” suddenly a threat to “LEGO Movie” for Oscar?

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  • Daniel Montgomery
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    #163544

    “The Tale of Princess Kaguya” is getting crazy reviews — 90 on MetaCritic as I write this. It’s got the prestige of Studio Ghibli and could be a legitimate prestige alternative to the more mainstream “LEGO Movie.”

    I got to see the Japanese-language version of the film this past week. It’s full of beautiful imagery and melancholy developments — it doesn’t shy away from the sad consequences of some of the story — though I have to admit I found it overlong. It drags in the middle and could have benefitted from a big trim. But based on the reviews that may be a minority opinion.

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    manakamana
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    #163546

    I really think it’ll sweep the Animated categories among the major critics and possibly force the hands of groups like BFCA and HFPA — which will make it harder to deny it the Oscar over something that came out as long ago as LEGO and a sequel that underperformed financially like Dragon. 

    But, I like to be transparent about this kind of thing — I, personally, loved it. I do actually agree that it lags in the middle, but considering the rest of the film’s heights and epic scale it mattered very little to me and I was NEVER bored; there was always gorgeous imagery that you truly don’t see anywhere else in film these days. I actually really like LEGO and Dragon, as well, but they’re just not on this level. So…maybe I’m biased, but I am pegging it to win at this point. 

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    KyleBailey
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    #163547

    I still think Lego has an advantage that it is different in style and that it’s so much smarter than it needs to be plus voters will love all the pop culture references. I haven’t seen Tale of Princess Kaguya yet but a foreign animated movie hasn’t won since Spirited Away unless you count Wallace and Gromit as a British film. 

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    Cheshire
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    #163548

    The academy has been liking animated films with female leads in them lately, (with Brave & Frozen being the last two winners). Studio Ghibli also has a track record with the academy with 3 nominations and 1 win (Spirited Away) so it’s possible that this can be a contender.

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #163549

    I have been saying for quite some time, that this is a big dark horse in the animated race. I’m glad that I’m finally getting some company in predicting it for a nomination! I’m not sure if I can say if it will win, but I’m definitely not taking it out of my predictions. I admit I haven’t seen it yet, but I would love to see Studio Ghibli get back into this race. The Wind Rises was a non-factor last year, so I hope that it will be different this year.

    I think that we haven’t seen the winner of this race yet, it will be Princess Kayuga or Big Hero 6.

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #163550

    This is, at least in my opinion, the most interesting and greatest Animated Feature race in history. We have four great contenders already, The LEGO Movie, How To Train Your Dragon 2, The Boxtrolls and The Tale of Princess Kaguya, and from what I have heard about Big Hero 6, we will soon have five. If all five get nominated, then it will be one incredibly competitive year. It will be interesting to see who the awards circuits (like HFPA, BFCA, Annies, Los Angeles, New York) will give the award to.

    Ironic how the year Pixar decided NOT to compete was the greatest year ever. 

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    R. Brittain
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    #163551

    I’ve considered Kaguya a contender ever since I watched the Japanese trailer on YouTube, even before GKIDS bought the U.S. rights.  GKIDS has an incredible track record with noms; with this year’s field perhaps they’re overdue for a win.  (Ironically, GKIDS has another horse in this year’s race:  Song of the Sea, from the folks behind GKIDS’ first nominee The Secret of Kells.)

    Also, look at the Governors Awards:  Hayao Miyazaki is getting one of those this year.  The Wind Rises couldn’t get past the Frozen juggernaut, but with this year’s weaker field there’s a good chance the Academy could use Kaguya to honor Ghibli’s other two founders, Isao Takahata (director) & Toshio Suzuki (producer, didn’t share in Miyazaki’s noms till TWR).

    I’ve thought all along that the race was between The LEGO Movie (the only big animated film so far this year NOT to disappoint), Big Hero 6 (WDAS is on a roll so it’ll probably get in even if all the critics figure out it’s just a mashup of The Incredibles & Guardians of the Galaxy), Kaguya & Song of the Sea.  Definitely a race to watch…

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #163552

    Ironic how the year Pixar decided NOT to compete was the greatest year ever. 

    I think that’s actually the full reason that the year is so competitive. Usually the Pixar film would be so great that nothing else has a chance at winning. I’m not talking about the last few films, (Brave wasn’t a sure thing) but everything from Nemo to Toy Story 3.

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    outsider
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    #163553

    I’m curious and intrigued. How exactly do you guys see this movie winning? It can certainly get nominated because this is a category where voters have to watch before voting and little known movies with limited releases or commercial prospects have managed to get in. But what happens next?

    It seems it won’t gross much. So most voters won’t have watched it and at this stage, there’s no system in place to guarantee that everything gets a fair chance like the nominations process. Will the acclaim make this an undeniable choice?

    I also don’t think it should be compared to “Spirited Away”. That was an extremely weak year for the category and Hayao Miyazaki was considered a master of the form. I would venture to say many regular voters knew who he was or at least were aware of his reputation and stature.

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    Ryan Lapierre
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    #163554

    I’ve had this movie in my predictions since day 1. Now I’m moving it up to my top spot. I have had LEGO movie at number 1 forever. But it came out long ago. And like Wreck it Ralph this film might be to energetic and loud for the old voters. I can see How to train your dragon 2 winning and I think that’s its biggest competition. But Princess has the critical acclaim, Emotional push, and style. So this is just a hunch but I think I’m gonna move it to the top spot.

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #163555

    [quote=”tyman21″]Ironic how the year Pixar decided NOT to compete was the greatest year ever. 

    I think that’s actually the full reason that the year is so competitive. Usually the Pixar film would be so great that nothing else has a chance at winning. I’m not talking about the last few films, (Brave wasn’t a sure thing) but everything from Nemo to Toy Story 3.[/quote]

    I don’t know, I think there were some pundits who can make the argument that in 2009 we had Up, Fantastic Mr. Fox and Coraline, and some even claimed that FMF could’ve stolen Up’s thunder. It didn’t actually happen, but it was an interesting idea. 

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    KyleBailey
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    #163556

    Yeah I think 2009 was the best year. If Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs got in over The Secret of Kells, it would have been a superb line up 

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    Filmatelist
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    #163557

    I’m curious and intrigued. How exactly do you guys see this movie winning? It can certainly get nominated because this is a category where voters have to watch before voting and little known movies with limited releases or commercial prospects have managed to get in. But what happens next?

    It seems it won’t gross much. So most voters won’t have watched it and at this stage, there’s no system in place to guarantee that everything gets a fair chance like the nominations process. Will the acclaim make this an undeniable choice?

    I also don’t think it should be compared to “Spirited Away”. That was an extremely weak year for the category and Hayao Miyazaki was considered a master of the form. I would venture to say many regular voters knew who he was or at least were aware of his reputation and stature.

    I think KAGUYA’s best chance of winning is if LEGO doesn’t get nominated, something which I’ve been asserting as a real possibility on the board for a while now.  That still would make it a long shot but the slate would not have a clear frontrunner at that point (though DRAGON or possibly HERO might most closely resemble one).

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #163558

    I am excited to see what the precursor awards will award for Best Animated Feature. I bet that it’s going to be all over the place.

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