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Are The Post Oscar chances over?

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  • Paul Hardister
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    #1202463696

    Streep landed at the precursors for One True Thing and Music of the Heart – she’s never once garnered an Oscar nom after missing at both SAG and BAFTA. At best, she’s a coin flip for a 21st nomination.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

    Has she ever been snubbed when appearing in a Best Picture nominee?

    I agree she’s vulnerable but I’ve bet against her getting left out too many times before to leave her out this year.

    I’d love to see Annette Bening get in (and win her first!) Not likely but I’m a big fan of hers.

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    sofan
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    Has she ever been snubbed when appearing in a Best Picture nominee?

    The Hours

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    TheRedBoy
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    Has she ever been snubbed when appearing in a Best Picture nominee?

    The Hours

    That was a very unusual situation, though. First, because The Hours had two candidates for lead actress (Kidman and Streep) and second because Streep tried to go for double nominations that year (The Hours and Adaptation).

    And technically she wasn’t nominated for Best Picture nominee ‘Julia,’ but that was barely even a supporting role; more like a brief appearance with a few speaking lines.

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    Riley
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    Eureka!  I have not seen this comparison made:
    The Post is this year’s Selma.

    Both were pegged early as major contenders because of ultra prestige subject matter.  They got great reviews.  Both missed the early guilds because of late screeners.  The Globes showered them with nominations.  Then they missed later guilds, despite being well-made period pieces, so we realized that there was just no passion for them.  And BAFTA shut them out, despite home advantages of sorts.

    The Post could even end up with pretty much the same Oscar fate, with nominations only for Best Picture (because it got PGA) and music (because John Williams).  Just as David Oyelowo’s snub triggered #OscarsSoWhite, a Streep snub would have its own sort of catastrophic ramifications in that it might mean that Streep has moved on to Hanks territory and is never getting nominated for anything again.

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    Roney Moore
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    #1202464534

    I won’t be not predicting Streep until nomination morning no matter what happens in the next two weeks but I find the “She’s gotten in for everything, of course she will get in for a highly regarded movie” arguments somewhat unfair. She had been known to be impressing the industry with her versatility and the daring roles she’s chosen to play and that had been her ticket to the evey award show so far.

    The Post is different, this time she’s chosen the film and the director but the role isn’t anything to write home about and is subdued on the level of only snotty critics can get behind, therefore her chances are more dependent on her film’s chances than the previous years. And if the film isn’t as big as we’d assumed…

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    OscarsSoWrong
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    A boring movie, with lacklustre performances. Tom Hanks playing Tom Hanks. And Meryl Streep doing an impersonation, rather than a genuine performance.

    I also found it funny when Meryl’s character talked about how the post was her first job at 45. I mean they seem pretty well off, so that scene kind of took me out of the moment.

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    Sasha
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    #1202464564

    Eureka! I have not seen this comparison made:
    The Post is this year’s Selma.

    Both were pegged early as major contenders because of ultra prestige subject matter. They got great reviews. Both missed the early guilds because of late screeners. The Globes showered them with nominations. Then they missed later guilds, despite being well-made period pieces, so we realized that there was just no passion for them. And BAFTA shut them out, despite home advantages of sorts.

    The Post could even end up with pretty much the same Oscar fate, with nominations only for Best Picture (because it got PGA) and music (because John Williams). Just as David Oyelowo’s snub triggered #OscarsSoWhite, a Streep snub would have its own sort of catastrophic ramifications in that it might mean that Streep has moved on to Hanks territory and is never getting nominated for anything again.

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    TheRedBoy
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    Eureka! I have not seen this comparison made:
    The Post is this year’s Selma.

    Both were pegged early as major contenders because of ultra prestige subject matter. They got great reviews. Both missed the early guilds because of late screeners. The Globes showered them with nominations. Then they missed later guilds, despite being well-made period pieces, so we realized that there was just no passion for them. And BAFTA shut them out, despite home advantages of sorts.

    The Post could even end up with pretty much the same Oscar fate, with nominations only for Best Picture (because it got PGA) and music (because John Williams). Just as David Oyelowo’s snub triggered #OscarsSoWhite, a Streep snub would have its own sort of catastrophic ramifications in that it might mean that Streep has moved on to Hanks territory and is never getting nominated for anything again.

    Will they really nominate Williams for The Post when his work for Star Wars is also in contention?

    And I really doubt Streep will ever be pushed into Hanks territory. She won’t even get Hepburn’d (who went 13 years unnominated between her wins for The Lion in Winter and On Golden Pond).

    I swear. She’s at risk of losing one nomination for a film that’s drastically underperformed across the awards spectrum, and yall start saying that she’ll never be nominated again. Talk about a hysterical overreaction.

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    Teridax
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    #1202464573

    Maybe Streep’s time as Streep is over and she is now the female Tom Hanks, who cannot get nominated for anything because great work is expected from him, so he never gets the number-ones.

    I wish that were true, but I’ll only believe it when I finally see it happen.

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    Malcolm Dunbar
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    #1202464698

    She supposedly gives one of her actual best performances in years.

    She does not. Meryl has two big scenes and one small one for the entire film and she doesn’t really show up to perform until the second half of the film, where she finally comes in with some gravitas. There were several times in her scenes with Hanks that he completely overpowered and overshadowed her in the first half of the film. Meryl with regard to performance merit is 5th place worthy at her best this year.

    Her roles in Osage County, Iron Lady and Doubt were much stronger and more formidable than her performance here.

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    Teridax
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    She supposedly gives one of her actual best performances in years.

    She does not. Meryl has two big scenes and one small one for the entire film and she doesn’t really show up to perform until the second half of the film, where she finally comes in with some gravitas. There were several times in her scenes with Hanks that he completely overpowered and overshadowed her in the first half of the film. Meryl with regard to performance merit is 5th place worthy at her best this year.

    Her roles in Osage County, Iron Lady and Doubt were much stronger and more formidable than her performance here.

    I loved her in Doubt, liked her in August, and hated her in Iron. Those are all clearly your opinion, I was just going off of what critics were saying. I’m seeing The Post this weekend, but regardless of what I think she is getting in. Meryl is like cocaine to Oscar voters, they’re addicted to nominating her!

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    PreludeinCSharpMinor
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    #1202464878

    Someone likes grandstanding acting and not subtle nuanced.

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1202464975

    lol

    The Post and “dat cast” even lose Best Ensemble at BFCA.

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    Riley
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    Will they really nominate Williams for The Post when his work for Star Wars is also in contention?

    I had not considered this actually.  I just assumed that Star Wars was out of score contention after Rogue One missed.  BAFTA did not nominate him for this one after doing so for The Force Awakens.  And John Williams does not get in at the Oscars literally every time, as evidenced by The BFG last year.  The Post might be in the conversation just enough for him, like Saving Mr. Banks was for Thomas Newman.  Bodes well that Williams has both Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice nominations under his belt for this one.

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    sofan
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    Meryl would’ve won Supporting Actress category had she accepted second billing to Hanks, or had they promoted this movie as an ensemble one. I just saw it, and the lead is definitely Hanks. Streep is just there and throws a few parties and then gets forced scenes to give her the “Oscar scene”.

    Hopefully, she does not steal a nomination from a more deserving woman cause God knows she doesn’t deserve it in this competition.

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