I believe “The Post” will be treated more like “Bridge of Spies”. It is a very professional production on a historical topic by a major director, and will get good enough reviews to be a likely best picture nominee, but never rise high enough over the competition to seem likely to win.
Exactly right !
They rejected the masterful ”Lincoln” for being too dry and dialogue driven and chose the more accessible , entertaining ”Argo” ; they are never going to go for The Post ……this is going to be a BO flop …surely the most anticipated, overrated movie of the year
Lol, The Post is done.
I cannot wait for reviews for The Post to come out.
Never mind about The Post. Three wins from NBR. I was underestimating.
Probably, but A Most Violent Year won three NBR Awards just three years ago, then did not receive a single Oscar nomination.
A Most Violent Year’s NBR win was likely an anomaly.
THE POST, sight unseen, is about the integrity of journalism in the face of a government who lies to the people. Given the fact that Oscar darlings Spielberg, Hanks, and Streep are involved, it would have to be truly atrocious not to get a whole lot of traction in the awards circuit. This film went into production before 45 was inaugurated, so its release is timely in a way that’s fortuitous rather than overtly intentional. Its subject measures the pulse of what is part of a national narrative currently (political accountability vs. “Fake News”) so it’s really hard to imagine how it’s not a serious contender.
Sometimes AMPAS likes to award things to pat itself on the back and sometimes it does because it thinks it’s sending a larger message. This year could very well represent the latter, and even if it doesn’t take more than a handful of awards, it will be part of the conversation for the next several months, regardless of how “good” it is compared to some of the other terrific films already out there. That seems fairly undeniable at this point.