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Is this year's Best Actress race the hardest to predict in recent memory?

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  • Miles
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    I think that SAG goes like this:

    Actress, Supporting Actress: Lady Bird
    Supporting Actress, Ensemble: Three Billboards
    Actor: Gary Oldman

    And then Hawkins could take BAFTA and throw a wrench into this race again. (I actually think McDormand is more competitive at BAFTA than Ronan though)

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    I think that Ronan’s chances to win at BAFTA were severely weakened by Lady Bird’s awful showing there.

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    EmmyWinner
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    Last week it was the hardest to predict, this week McDormand is clearly the winner.

    No way she loses SAG.

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    ENGLAND
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    If SAG decided to award Judi Dench that would be the most hilarious thing ever! Now I want it to happen. BADLY!

    I normally do not agree with everything you say, but I support you in this wish lololol. Judi winning would shake up everything.

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    Spark87
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    After seeing “The Post”, Mery Streep is a guaranteed Oscar nominee. She has a truly baitty role (evidently not as baitty as “Sophie’s Choice”, “The Iron Lady” or “Doubt”) with some scenes that are pure gold to the audience thanks to her character and thanks to her. Her character is full and multi-tinted on the paper, and she’s brilliant (is that a surprise? no, but she’s brilliant). She’s not just brilliant, this is her best performance since “The Iron Lady”… and that’s saying a lot giving my personal opinion about the great Meryl Streep.

    I still feel Frances McDormand’s performance is the best one this year. But if we were not talking about the 3 times winner Meryl Streep, I would have put her as a runner up this year in my predictions (with the exception of McDormand. Streep’s acting has conquered me much more than those of the other contenders Hawkins, Ronan, etcetera). Since she’s a 3 times winner, she’s in my personal 5th spot.

    I actually feel bad for Tom Hanks. He’s also a great actor, but in this film he was completely opaqued by Streep’s compelling perfomance.

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    Borja Lopez
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    I’m starting to think that what seemed a very crowded and diverse Best Actress race will end with McDormand sweeping every important precursor. She deserves it, but we don’t. We deserved a more exciting Oscar race.

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    Joe Burns
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    And everyone votes the day before the deadline, I suppose? (I said the majority.)

    Aside from the dates, the only time a CC win pushed someone ahead in acting race is probably Sandra Bullock eight years ago. Sally Hawkins is not Sandra Bullock.

    Hawkins is starring in a very strong Oscar contender though and has already won a lot of critics awards. That said, I don’t think she’s winning the Oscar, especially if Three Billboards becomes unstoppable(I.E Critics Choice for Best Picture, PGA, SAG for Best Ensemble, Actress,and Supporting Actor, maybe DGA, possibly WGA). Shape Of Water needs a boost in order for her to win, I think, so her chances are fading right now given I see Three Billboards dominating this year(I knew it would win tonight).

    3 Billboards isn’t eligible at WGA.

    Hawkins needs to win SAG or BAFTA to compete for the Oscar, of McDormand wins SAG, I think it is over.

    Sad part is, Chastian should be in this race.

    Thanks for clearing that up! I was wondering if the WGA nominations had already come out- too bad Three Billboards won’t make it.

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