January 15, 2017 at 8:58 pm #1201988695
La La Land is currently the Oscar favorite here at Gold Derby for Best Picture, Director and Actress and it’s currently favored in 6 tech/craft categories as well: Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Sound Mixing, Score and Song. However, I was wondering today if it was going to lose one of those 6 categories which one is the most likely. I think Production Design is the one it’s most vulnerable in and I think Jackie is the one that could defeat it.
Firstly, La La Land has a contemporary setting and the Academy always goes with period or fantasy here which heavily favors Jackie. Not to mention Jackie has some pretty lavish sets of its own. I know La La Land has won the bulk of the critics/guild prizes for Production Design so far but in 2010 Inception won the most too including BAFTA, Critics Choice along with the ADG Award for Fantasy yet Alice In Wonderland wound up winning the Oscar. While Jackie missed out on a BAFTA nomination it did score nominations from the Critics Choice and ADG plus a few other critics groups so its not like it hasn’t been receiving any attention.
Jackie is currently the favorite for Costume Design. Frequently Costume and Production Design go to the same film so if the Academy is considering it for Costumes chances are they’ll consider it for its sets as well.
Now I know Jackie has lost some of its momentum recently,especially with Natalie Portman losing at the Golden Globes, but its not like Alice in Wonderland or The Great Gatsby were considered candidates for major Oscars yet they still wound up winning for Costumes and Production Design.
With all that being said I also wouldn’t be surprised if La La Land winds up winning both of the above mentioned prizes as part of a sweep. I would be very interested to hear from others as to which tech/craft categories they think its most likely to lose.
I hope everyone is doing well.
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First Place- 2015 Academy Of Country Music AwardsJanuary 16, 2017 at 12:27 am #1201988768
If Mad Max can sweep up costumes, La La Land certainly can. I am surprised that Jackie is as big a contender as it is in that category (Critics’ Choice and Satellite wins, guild and BAFTA nominations). Not like they had to do much original designing. Everybody knows what iconic outfits Jackie Kennedy was wearing on the specific days portrayed in the film.
I think that we need to be looking the other way. Can La La Land win screenplay?January 16, 2017 at 3:26 am #1201988804
I was wowed with the costumes in La La Land. The strong boldness of colour is a feast for the eyes, and complements the musical number beautifully.
It will likely win Editing, Cinematography, Production, Sound Mixing and Song as a minimum in the technical categories.
Score it *could* miss out to Jackie on – I know there is a lot of love for that score. But as it is a Musical film, if it is to sweep, this should be in the bag.
Screenplay will likely go to Manchester By The Sea as a make up win for it losing Picture. Manchester is also a brilliantly written film, so it isn’t undeserved. La La Land is also sharply written, but Manchester feels more like an Oscar friendly Screenplay.
Best Actor is the only one I would flat out say it isn’t winning. Everything else is up for grabs, and within reach, for La La Land to win.January 16, 2017 at 4:51 am #1201988830
I think it might not even get nominated for Song. Academy always makes weird decisions when it comes to that category.January 16, 2017 at 9:29 am #1201988926
Sans Film Editing, Sound Mixing and Original Score, I’m not convinced it’s a 100 percent shoo-in in the other tech categories. I am, however, predicting it to take home the bulk.
For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!January 16, 2017 at 10:42 am #1201988959
No way the movie be ignored in Song, actually, I don’t see a song that could beat City of Stars
The movie will also get Score, Production Design, Editing, Direction, Actress and Movie .. maybe screenplay if academy feel satisfied getting one awards only to ManchesterJanuary 16, 2017 at 11:59 am #1201989026
There is one huge difference between Jackie and the two winners – Alice In Wonderland and The Great Gatsby. Alice and Gatsby appealed to voters who recognize the flashiest costumes and the most production design. Jackie, on the other hand, is a film that needs to be a contender to win best picture to take these categories. This is why I can’t see it taking either category while La La Land has a very good shot at winning both.January 16, 2017 at 12:03 pm #1201989032
La La Land will tie All About Eve/Titanic in nominations:
It will, likely, win Picture, Director, Actress, Editing, Score, Song, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design and Sound Mixing.
Sound Editing is not out of reach as it is Screenplay (remember Birdman?), but I can’t live in a world where this movie gets 12/14 and making Gosling the only loser of the project.January 16, 2017 at 12:09 pm #1201989036
I have it winning Screenplay. Been decades since a screenplay lost the Oscar to something it beat for the Globe (sometimes thanks to either a weird Globe snub or a weird Oscar snub).January 16, 2017 at 12:36 pm #1201989057
I have it winning Screenplay. Been decades since a screenplay lost the Oscar to something it beat for the Globe (sometimes thanks to either a weird Globe snub or a weird Oscar snub).
Let’s wait and see wether LA LA LAND is nominated in the first place.January 16, 2017 at 12:42 pm #1201989065
What makes everyone think it can get a Sound Editing nomination? Even if it does, I think it’ll likely lose that, as well as Costume Design and Production Design.January 16, 2017 at 12:44 pm #1201989066
Sound Editing is not out of reach as it is Screenplay (remember Birdman?), but I can’t live in a world where this movie gets 12/14 and making Gosling the only loser of the project.
Musicals are never nominated in Sound Editing. The closest thing to a musical to get a nod in that category since it was created over 50 years ago was ALADDIN.January 16, 2017 at 12:53 pm #1201989076
La La Land is not getting a sound editing nomination, but if it does, it is winning because the academy at large cannot tell the difference between it and sound mixing, almost always voting the same film for both when they can.January 16, 2017 at 12:55 pm #1201989078
Its tough to guess since it is competing in barren categories in tech guilds. I doubt Jackie has the momentum or passion to win anything. Same with Silence, if that even gets nominated. It’ll probably just win everything.January 16, 2017 at 1:48 pm #1201989127
I can’t understand why anyone would doubt La La Land is winning Production Design. The last ten minutes alone sealed the deal, especially when it’s the Best Picture frontrunner. Costume Design is a little more uncertain, and there is ample evidence that the Production Design Oscar has more of a link with Best Picture than Costume Design does, but to be honest I think La La Land will scoop that one up as well, particularly if Jackie gets snubbed – and that could happen with both Production and Costume Design for various reasons. (Incidentally I’m only predicting one of each of the Period nominees from ADG and CDG, and it’s not Jackie. A gamble, perhaps, but it’s not unprecedented in Production Design for this to happen.)
It doesn’t count against La La Land that it’s a contemporary film when we’ve almost never had a lavish musical with a contemporary setting competing for Best Picture. The only one I can think of is All That Jazz which – guess what? – won Production Design and Costume Design!
Edit: Oh yes and West Side Story of course. Which – you guessed it! – won both PD and CD.