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Make Your Oscars Picks NOW: Our Prediction Center is Ready for you

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  • Tom O’Neil
    Keymaster
    Joined:
    May 13th, 2011
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    #173730

    Thanks to Chris Beachum working hard behind the curtain, we’re ready for you to make your Oscar picks in our Predictions Center!

    http://www.goldderby.com/predictions/index

    Reply
    FreemanGriffin
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #173732

    It’s not working – bounces to the Editors award category instead ):

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    Tasha
    Member
    Joined:
    Nov 28th, 2014
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    #173733

    I’m not finding it either.

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    Chris Beachum
    Keymaster
    Joined:
    May 22nd, 2011
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    #173734

    It’s working fine on my screen. Go to your predictions tab and simply click on the event that says “Oscars 2014” with the statuette logo.

    Also, while you are there, be sure to predict all of the many other events available.

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    EMS
    Participant
    Joined:
    Oct 11th, 2011
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    #173735

    (I posted this in its own thread, but can’t seem to find the thread in the actual forum.  Hope you don’t mind a re-post)

    I see that if you make your predictions as soon as a competition opens, you get 100/1 odds on everything.  (For example, I made my Oscar 2014 predictions shortly after the nominations occurred and currently have 100/1 odds on every option in all but six categories– including for obvious winners J.K. Simmons, Linklater, Moore, and others.)

    A) That’s pretty ridiculous.  

    But B) if you’re going to do that, can anybody explain to me why last year, when people had a 100/1 on obvious frontrunners, they were only awarded $100 in winnings?  For example, if you go to (and I’m just using his as an example) Top 24 User “Sagrand”‘s predix from last year’s Oscars, you see that he logged a couple of obvious winners when the odds were 100/1.  If the odds are that and you wager 100 points, you should win 10,000 points.  However, he got a mere 100.  He won more off contenders with much lower odds.

    It seems that there’s a time where people are able to access the predictions page before odds are set.  I don’t think that should be allowed.  But if it is going to be, then people should get the points that the numbers suggest.

    As for me this year:
    I’ll take 100/1 odds on an obvious winner, but if it’s only going to get me 100 pts, then I deserve to know that so I can decide whether to risk lower odds that actually provide higher winnings than the glitch odds.

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    Chris Beachum
    Keymaster
    Joined:
    May 22nd, 2011
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    #173736

    It may say 100/1 odds on your screen but that is incorrect. We set the odds for every single candidate internally when creating each event. For example, Richard Linklater’s directing odds would have been 1/10 to start out. Quite often, it will say 100/1 on your screen until you make your predictions. The best place to look is on the home page charts and not on the event page.

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    EMS
    Participant
    Joined:
    Oct 11th, 2011
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    #173737

    But I made my predictions and it still says 100/1.  

    I understand that the odds may more correct elsewhere on the website.  However, using Sagrand’s Oscar 2013 predictions again, he won 100 points of 100/1 odds on Director (Cuaron), Actress (Blanchett), Doc Short (The Lady in…), both Sound, Cinematography, and VFx (all Gravity).  To get 100 points on every single one of them, the odds would have had to have been the exact same in each category.  And I imagine that many of them would have had 1/10 odds which would have yielded only 10 points in winnings.

    Something doesn’t quite add up. 

    (Thanks for responding to my question.) 

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