January 4, 2012 at 12:42 pm #49256
They vote this weekend (not sure which day).
The tricky thing about them is that although they have lots of members (the creme de la creme of US critics), the majority submits their ballots while not attending their NYC meeting. That means beyond the first two ballots – the first listing 1st choice, majority needed to win; the second top three choices, then a certain amount required to win – only the minority attending the meeting determines the results.
So that makes it quite difficult to predict, apart from the usual trickiness of figuring what will be the consensus, rather than the passionate, winner.
My guess is that best picture will be from among Melancholia, A Separation, Hugo, An Artist, The Tree of Life, The Descendants – in other words, not really sure what. Even tougher the rest of the categories.
Here is a list of their current members:
SAM ADAMS (Philadelphia City Paper,LA Times)
MELISSA ANDERSON (Village Voice)
SHEILA BENSON (Seattle Weekly)
JAMI BERNARD (Movie City
RICHARD BRODY (The New Yorker)
TY BURR (Boston Globe)
(Turner Classics Online)
ELEANOR RINGEL CARTER (Atlanta Business
GODFREY CHESHIRE (Metro Magazine)
MIKE CLARK (Home Media
RICHARD CORLISS (Time)
DAVID DENBY (The New Yorker)
ROGER EBERT (The Chicago Sun-Times)
(New York magazine)
STEVE ERICKSON (L.A. Magazine)
SCOTT FOUNDAS (Film
CHRIS FUJIWARA (Boston Phoenix)
OWEN GLEIBERMAN (Entertainment
MOLLY HASKELL (Town &Country)
J. HOBERMAN (Village
RICHARD T. JAMESON (Queen Anne &Magnolia News)
DAVE KEHR (Film
LISA KENNEDY (Denver Post)
PETER KEOUGH (Boston
STUART KLAWANS (The Nation)
ANDY KLEIN (Brand
NATHAN LEE (Film Comment)
EMANUEL LEVY (Financial
TODD McCARTHY (Hollywood
JOE MORGENSTERN (Wall Street Journal)
WESLEY MORRIS (Boston
ROB NELSON (MinnPost.com)
GERALD PEARY (Boston Phoenix)
PETER RAINER (Christian Science Monitor,NPR)
RICKEY (Philadelphia Inquirer)
ANDREW SARRIS (Film
RICHARD SCHICKEL (Truthdig)
LISA SCHWARZBAUM (Entertainment
MATT ZOLLER SEITZ (New York Press)
ROBERT SKLAR (Cineaste)
MICHAEL SRAGOW (Baltimore Sun)
STEPHENS (San Francisco Bay Guardian)
DAVID STERRITT (Tikkun)
AMY TAUBIN (Film Comment)
(NPR.org,Village Voice Media)
KEVIN THOMAS (L.A. Times)
KENNETH TURAN (L.A. Times)
JAMES VERNIERE (Boston
MICHAEL WILMINGTON (Movie City News)
STEPHANIE ZACHAREK (Movieline.com)January 4, 2012 at 12:48 pm #49258
These guys overwhelmingly chose “The Social Network” last year, n’est ce pas?January 4, 2012 at 2:09 pm #49259
This may be my favorite critics awards every year. The members list is the strongest of any.January 4, 2012 at 2:16 pm #49260
Their winners for best film, followed by the Oscar winner. Oscar occassionally made for me a better choice, but not too often.
Winner Director(s) 1966 Blow-Up Michelangelo Antonioni 1967 Persona Ingmar
1969 Z Costa-Gavras
Year Winner Director(s) 1980 Melvin and
1981 Atlantic City Louis Malle 1982 Tootsie Sydney
1983 The Night of the Shooting
Stars (La notte di San Lorenzo)
Paolo and Vittorio
1984 Stranger Than Paradise Jim Jarmusch 1985 Ran Akira
David Lynch 1987 The
John Huston 1988 The Unbearable Lightness
Year Winner Director(s) 1990 Goodfellas Martin
Mike Leigh 1992 Unforgiven Clint
1993 Schindler’s List Steven
1994 Pulp Fiction Quentin
1995 Babe Chris Noonan 1996 Breaking
1997 L.A. Confidential Curtis
1998 Out of
1999 Being John Malkovich Spike Jonze Topsy-Turvy Mike
Year Winner Director(s) 2000 Yi Yi: A One and
a Two (Yi yi)
Edward Yang 2001 Mulholland Drive David Lynch 2002 The Pianist Roman
2003 American Splendor Robert Pulcini and Shari Springer
2004 Million Dollar Baby Clint
2005 Capote Bennett
Labyrinth (El laberinto del fauno)
Will Be Blood
2008 Waltz with
Bashir (Vals im Bashir)
Ari Folman 2009 The Hurt
Year Winner Director(s) 2010 The
Social NetworkJanuary 4, 2012 at 2:20 pm #49261
These guys overwhelmingly chose “The Social Network” last year, n’est ce pas?January 4, 2012 at 2:20 pm #49262
These guys overwhelmingly chose “The Social Network” last year, n’est ce pas?
They picked a great winner.January 4, 2012 at 2:47 pm #49263
Only 5 best picture oscar winners out of 46 years….they usually pick stuff that no one else dares to!!
This always seems to be the least important of the “major” critics prizes..January 4, 2012 at 2:50 pm #49264
Only if “important” is defined as being the same as the Oscars, and influencing their choices.
The most important thing “important” about most best picture winners (although they have been a bit better in the last 20 years) is that they won best picture.
The most important thing about most National Society of Film Critics winners is that they actually are important movies.January 4, 2012 at 3:03 pm #49265
Yeah, some critics groups (like the Broadcast Critics) are helpful when making Oscar predictions, but as far as I’m concerned the National Society is the most interesting, most exciting, and most important group. Any critics’ group that measures its importance by its overlap with Oscar has lost sight of its purpose.
My guess is that “The Tree of Life” wins Best Picture. I’m holding out hope that they’ll follow LA’s lead by picking Yun Jeong-hie for Best Actress (both groups picked Yolande Moreau in “Seraphine” two years ago). I could also see them picking Kirsten Dunst. I don’t have a good guess for Best Actor — Michael Shannon would make me extremely happy, but I wonder if they might go along with one of the more popular choices like Fassbender, Dujardin, or Pitt. If “Tree of Life” is popular among the group, that would give a strong edge to Pitt.January 4, 2012 at 3:06 pm #49266
[quote=”babypook”]These guys overwhelmingly chose “The Social Network” last year, n’est ce pas?
They picked a great winner. [/quote]
Well, maybe they might want to stay OFF a great films’ side, such as “Hugo”.January 4, 2012 at 6:29 pm #49267
I am really impressed with the movies they have picked. Overall, they have shown better taste than the Academy.
I don’t really care for reflexive contrarianism though, people who applaud movies/performances for the sake of being different.
This group does not seem to be trying to be contrarians for its own sake. Their movies are good.January 7, 2012 at 10:52 am #49268
Bumping this up. They are going to be announcing their winners today.January 7, 2012 at 11:57 am #49269
They are voting currently – results likely by 5 pm ETJanuary 7, 2012 at 12:05 pm #49270
Sweet, I can get into the 1st wildcard game then take a break and look at their choices.