February 27, 2014 at 12:01 pm #143681
Most years we witness oscar upsets during the ceremony. And in one of
the most competitive oscar years in recent memory, this one has to be no
exception. Which one do you think is the most likely or that has a
realistic shot of becoming true?February 27, 2014 at 12:10 pm #143683
As it pains me to say it because I find her extremely undeserving, I am going to say the likliest “upset” will be Lawrence winning a second Oscar (UGH at even the thought).February 27, 2014 at 12:26 pm #143684
I dont see JLaw as the “upset”. She wins. I also put my chip next to Leo; but what do I know? lolFebruary 27, 2014 at 12:30 pm #143685
JLaw wouldn’t be an upset, she is currently a frontrunner.
If we are talking about actual upsets, here is one I want to see:February 27, 2014 at 12:35 pm #143686
McConaughey losing. I’m actually predicting an Ejiofor upset.
I would also add Squibb to the Lupita upset if you’re mentioning Hawkins already. Squibb is the odd one out in the group, and that could potentially mean some votes. I even started predicting her, despite the fact that I was very adamant on telling people how insane that idea was just a few days ago.February 27, 2014 at 12:36 pm #143687
But only 4 oscar experts are predicting her to win. Mostly everyone in the media is convinced Lupita is taking this. So technically she would be an upset.February 27, 2014 at 1:03 pm #143688
Lawrence becoming the youngest consecutive winner will do her no favors: she doesn’t want it. And wouldn’t mind anyone in her category taking it.February 27, 2014 at 1:07 pm #143689
I think that and upset in the Best Actor category is going to happen. I can’t decided whether it is going to be DiCaprio or Ejiofor, but that’s the one major category that I can see surprising people.
After that I think that Best Supporting Actress could potentially go to Hawkins for Squibb, but I think Lawrence and Nyong’o are firmly up front.February 27, 2014 at 1:16 pm #143690
If Leo wins, the Internet will explode! That is written.
If American Hustle wins Best Picture, the Oscar pundits will be so pissed it will be hilarious. Probably same if blogger “favorite” Lawrence wins.February 27, 2014 at 1:25 pm #143691
The Wind Rises beating Frozen in Animated Film. A movie that wasn’t released nationally in 2013 sneaking in and upsetting the #4 most popular animated movie of all time. Would be on the level of Hurt Locker over Avatar-good God almighty bad decisionmaking. Would damage the credibility of the category, maybe irreparably.February 27, 2014 at 1:43 pm #143692
I’ve never seen anyone so existentially threatened by good movies he hasn’t seen.
Frozen is a lock for animated film despite its rampant modest but forgetteable values.
And it is only the #4 animated film of all time if one ignores basic math,
Snow White & the Seven Dwarfs is by far the biggest grossing animated film ever. It was is one of the Top 10 of all time films (the rest non-animated).February 27, 2014 at 1:45 pm #143693
I feel like this is a year where nobody is safe. What if everything goes as predicted and it isn’t as exciting as we all think?
I’ve definitely had thoughts of moving Ejiofor to the top of my Actor picks. I just can’t bring myself to do it, but something is telling me he can win. Matthew does the same thing over and over again. Just because he is doing it in better movies now doesn’t make thim the best actor. They might want to give “12 Years” something else. ESPECIALLY if Lawrence beats Lupita.
At this point I’ve read too many blogs and sometimes knowing “too much” just makes everything more difficult. Hearing what these singular voters out of a group of over 6,000 pick might be doing our minds more harm than good in this prediction process.February 27, 2014 at 1:54 pm #143694
Pete Hammond has made a last minute switch to Lawrence today,February 27, 2014 at 1:57 pm #143695
Tough call between Philomena for Screenplay or Leo, but I went with the former.February 27, 2014 at 2:11 pm #143696
Rankings the upsets that have a slight chance to happen, in order of most likely:
1. Jennifer Lawrence over Lupita Nyongo for Best Supporting Actress
2. Leonardo DiCaprio over Matthew McConaughey for Best Actor
3. “Happy” over “Let it Go” for Best Original Song
4. Steve McQueen over Alfonso Cuaron for Best Director
5. Anything over Gravity/12 Years a Slave for Best Picture
6. Despicable Me 2/The Wind Rises over Frozen for Best Animated Feature
7. Sandra Bullock/Judi Dench over Cate Blanchett for Best Actress
8. Barkhad Abdi/Michael Fassbender over Jared Leto for Best Supporting Actor