NEW Tom & Pete Video: Will Bryan Cranston UPSET Leo?

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  • Tom O’Neil
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    May 13th, 2011
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    #202647

    OK, now that we’ve seen the Golden Globe and SAG Awards nominations, Pete Hammond and I have done a new video smackdown — TUNE IN

    and let me know whatcha thank

    http://www.goldderby.com/news/11180/oscar-predictions-revenant-predict-419582637.html
     
    There’s also an audio podcast version to choose as an option 

    Also watch these videos:

    Pete and Tom on impact of film critics’ awards on Oscars this year

    Tom and Anne Thompson, Part 1

    Tom and Anne Thompson, Part 2

    Reply
    Riley
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    #202649

    I already watched the seven reaction videos (about twenty-five minutes each) that Gold Derby posted the days of the SAG and Globe nominations, so here we go again.  Those Anne Thompson videos were interesting.  She has a very different presence from the six men of the other videos.

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    manakamana
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    #202650

    Why are you guys kissing up to Trumbo? I might as well have spent 10 bucks watching a Charlie Rose episode on a theatrical screen and it would have been as cinematic.

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    Riley
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    #202651

    Tom suggests that Spotlight may be weak because it misses acting nominations.  However, worth noting that Spotlight is the only film at the Globes nominated for screenplay and director (even though it is not director-driven like all of the other four nominees).  And the Keaton and Ruffalo snubs are very easy to discount because they cancelled each other out.  But!  What about Rachel McAdams?  They nominated Ex Machina for goodness sake.  So it is a bit weak.

    Yes, Pete, as you have heard, The Martian is indeed dead as a Best Picture nominee.  The anecdotal report of Globe voters not quite understanding The Big Short is interesting, so I will have to take that into account, with grains of salt for anecdotes and your bias for The Martian.

    The Johnny Depp snub was interesting.  HFPA shunned a bunch of their favourites this year.  Meryl Streep, Ryan Gosling and Joaquin Phoenix also previously were able to be nominated for anything.  So my predictions were horrid.  Leonardo DiCaprio, Helen Mirren, and Maggie Smith hold on though, although those two women each only went one for two.  The Globes are trying to change!

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    Baby Clyde
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    #202652

    I’ve actually thought that Cranston is the dark horse for months. He seems like the kind of popular actor’s actor who the branch can get behind.

    I stupidly didn’t go and see Trumbo at the LFF but he seems to be coming good at the right time. I think it’s between Cranston, Leo and Eddie.

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    Jason Travis
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    #202653

    I still think if Matt Damon wins the Globe and is Oscar nominated, he will battle it out with Leo (if Leo wins Drama Globe). Damon’s only miss was the SAG, but again- the SAGs were a mess this year. Michael Fassbender is the only other one, I don’t see Cranston doing it.

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    Riley
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    #202654

    SAG was a mess this year, but most of the people who missed lead actor can blame their late releases.  Matt Damon has no excuse.  Johnny Depp in a role that could not even get a Globe nomination, despite their love for him?  Eddie Redmayne in a movie that is not taking off?  Leonardo DiCaprio as the only December nomination?  Non-campaigning Michael Fassbender in sinking ship Steve Jobs?  Bryan Cranston in what would be almost the worst-reviewed reviewed film nominated in this category in over a decade?  The competition was really not insurmountable.  The Martian has no excuse for missing ensemble (Beasts of No Nation).

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    benbraddock
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    #202655

    Pete and Tom?? really…why are you defraying the true race..i guess to keep this site active and interesting..Cranston will be nominated, but we all know in the end he wont beat REDMAYNE…nobody will….TV people, as good as they might be have a harder time winning major oscars….I’d place him 4th  at best
    REDMAYNE
    DICAPRIO
    FASSBENDER
    all are better and more worthy

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    24Emmy
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    #202656

    Pete and Tom?? really…why are you defraying the true race..i guess to keep this site active and interesting..Cranston will be nominated, but we all know in the end he wont beat REDMAYNE…nobody will….TV people, as good as they might be have a harder time winning major oscars….I’d place him 4th  at best
    REDMAYNE
    DICAPRIO
    FASSBENDER
    all are better and more worthy

    Nobody will beat Eddie Redmayne at the Razzies (unless they snub him).

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    manakamana
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    #202657

    There’s no evidence that Redmayne isn’t taking off. His film did as well as it needed to at SAG and HFPA, doing decent limited box office so far (better than Theory of Everything last year) and as well reviewed as something like Black Mass. 

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    Damian Pietrzak
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    #202658

    Haha!
    It would be outrage if Redmayne wins back-to-back oscar while DiCaprio
    and Gyllenhaal – clearly 2 of the best in the business would have total
    of 0 wins! OUTRAGE

    Really. Redmayne is good actor but 1 oscar is max for him. Cmon. You cant do it. Leo and Jake are Al Pacino and De Niro of our times…award them

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    benbraddock
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    #202659

    LEO AND JAKE   are nowhere near the talent of
    PACINO AND DENIRO…Leo and Jake are on a par
    with VOIGHT AND GERE  at best..IMO

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    RobertPius
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    #202660

    Leo has 4 previous loses.

    Cranston has no previous Oscar nominations and tons of just about every other award there is.

    Like Julianne Moore last year this will be a perfect time to award somebody who came close but never quite won before. This race is locked and Leo gets it.

    Now the other three acting races are all pretty open anunpredictable! 

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    Patrick
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    #202662

    I really can’t see Leo losing at this point. His commitment to the role, for which he has been vocal about, will be difficult for voters to deny in the face is being so overdue. I haven’t seen The Revenant, but Leo sounds like a winner. Bryan Cranston was good in Trumbo, but I didn’t find him Oscar worthy. As many have pointed out in other forums, his performance was just a little too much and seemed more like a caricature of Dalton Trumbo rather than a fully realized portrayal.

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    TomHardys
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    #202663

    To answer this thread’s question: no, I don’t think so. This is another clear-cut Still Alice situation but with the following benefits and factors going on for it:

    1. The Revenant is a much better movie than Still Alice and will likely score a bunch of other nominations (and possible wins) for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Supporting Actor (less likely but not impossible) and the Techs. It will likely win Best Cinematography. So unlike Still Alice it has a lot more going on for it as a whole than just a Leonardo DiCaprio vehicle with nothing else standing out other than his performance.

    2. The reviews are passionate. You either love the movie or you get discomfort by watching it. I don’t think anyone really HATES it to the bone. You end up recognizing some of its merit even if you seem to actively dislike it. So I think this is a movie voters will both love and admire. It’s described as a masterpiece by most.

    3. The narrative is much stronger than Julianne Moore’s. I’m not comparing their careers and I’m not talking about their talent as actors either. I’m talking about what “being/feeling overdue” really is and how important it is these days. Julianne Moore was mostly perceived as overdue by the industry. The mainstream masses and even the media didn’t realize she was really overdue for an Oscar win until she became last year’s frontrunner in her category. In Leo’s case, he’s perceived as an overdue Oscarless actor by pretty much everybody. Facebook, Tumblr, Twitter, 9gag… Everyone has seen a meme making fun of Leo for not having an Oscar (the most recent one is about Adele’s Hello). Everybody knows he doesn’t have one and everybody also knows that his time has come. This project may be it for him.

    4. The residual love for Birdman (which won Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay, Best Director and Best Cinematography in the same year) and for Iñárritu himself will surely make the voters look at The Revenant as one of their priorities to watch. As a voter I can imagine myself picking The Revenant/Spotlight/Carol/Room’s DVD/screeners to watch first than movies like Trumbo, The Danish Girl, etc.

    5. Fox is handling the movie’s campaign like nobody else. The promos, the TV spots, the posters, the art designs, the interviews, the Q&A’s, the screenings. It’s probably the wisest, more effective campaign by a studio this year (tied with A24 for Room). 

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