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January 4, 2018 at 3:43 am #1202455297
As of right now (the 4th of February) according to the Gold Derby odds, the Shape of Water is up for nominations in the following categories at the Oscars:
– Best Picture
– Best Director (Guillermo Del Toro)
– Best Actress (Sally Hawkins)
– Best Supporting Actress (Octavia Spencer)
– Best Supporting Actor (Richard Jenkins)
– Best Original Screenplay
– Best Cinematography
– Best Costume Design
– Best Film Editing
– Best Production Design
– Best Score
– Best Sound Editing
– Best Sound Mixing
– Best Visual Effects
That’s a whopping 14 nominations, a tie for the most nominated movie ever (just like La La Land tied this record last year).
My question is a twofold: Do you see this movie tieing this record and if you don’t, do you see it getting 10 nominations this year (a fantastic achievement in itself already)?
I personally don’t think it will reach the 14, but i’m in doubt about the 10. I can easily see it get Picture, Director, Actress, Supp. Actor, Score, Effects, Screenplay, Film Editing and Production Design, but i’m a tad doubtful about other nominations.
What’s your take on this Derbyites?January 4, 2018 at 4:47 am #1202455336
I’d say 13 at this point. I don’t think Spencer can make it.January 4, 2018 at 4:53 am #1202455340
But it will be nominated for all the other listed categories, or do you have anything else in mind?
I’m not too sure about Spencer too.January 4, 2018 at 6:10 am #1202455383
The Shape of Water just can’t earn more than 13 nominations. It’s not getting the same passion LLL had to get a similar very undeserved Sound Editing nomination. Visual Effects is a possibility, but it’s not Ex Machina in terms of impressive VFX in a non big budget film. I’m not predicting TSOW in this category like a lot of people are doing. But 12 noms looks right for me, since for now I’m predicting Octavia Spencer.January 4, 2018 at 6:54 am #1202455414
My question about this movie is will it be the movie with the most nominations and no wins? At the moment I have it predicted in 13 categories – but it might under-perform if other films over-perform – but I only have it in first place in 1 category… I think once the final nominations are out it will become clearer.
But it does bring this up: is it easier to predict when you haven’t seen the movie yourself? Because I found this film jumbled: a mix of excellent things (Hawkins and Jenkins, a few brilliant scenes) and over-blown cold war nonsense and unnecessary sadistic brutality that didn’t really add anything and instead detracted from it imo.January 4, 2018 at 6:59 am #1202455422
Its most likely snubs are Costume Design, Spencer and the sound categories (I don’t know much about sound design, is it something nomination-worthy in TSOW?) But I think all those categories are possibilities. It could underperform but I think it’s probably getting at least 10.January 4, 2018 at 7:12 am #1202455432
I think it deserves ever single nomination it could possibly rack up … it was perfection
That being said
I am postive it makes it in Picture, Director , Actress, Screenplay , Score, Editing , Supporting Actor and Production
ON the fence Visual, Supporting Actress, Both Sounds
Check out my Store.January 4, 2018 at 7:42 am #1202455475
I think Spencer’s nom depends on whether the Academy snubs Mudbound or not.January 4, 2018 at 9:42 am #1202455589
I don’t think it will tie the record as a costume design nod seems unlikely despite some critics awards noms, so I see thirteen noms at the most. I also have doubts about it getting three acting noms and getting into both sound categories. I am going to guess 11 nominations.
1) Best Picture
2) Best Director
3) Best Actress
4) Best Supporting Actress
5) Best Editing
6) Best Production Design
7) Best Cinematography
8) Best Score
9) Best Original Screenplay
10) Best Sound
11) Best Visual Effects
January 4, 2018 at 9:47 am #1202455593
- This reply was modified 2 weeks, 4 days ago by pacinofan.
I think it will land in the 9—11 nomination range, which will likely make it the year’s most nominated film.January 4, 2018 at 11:12 am #1202455688
Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Editing – are all locks in my opinion – if it doesn’t get nominated in these categories there is something wrong with Shape Of Water’s support.
It could surprise in Screenplay, and Supporting Actress – but I think these are it’s slightly weaker categories, if it over performs in these categories it’s a major player for it’s bigger categories mentioned above.
I think 10 is a good number, throw in a few technical nominations and it’s count will likely be around that number.