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Official DGA Film Awards Thread

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  • TV12
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    #49370

    The final major guild awards announce their nominees Monday, January 9. This is the final stop before the Oscar nominations.

    For Best Director – Feature Film, there are probably only two locks: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist and Martin Scorsese for Hugo. Those are the only two who I believe actually have a chance at winning. Alexander Payne for The Descendants is the next most likely nominee, though a snub is possible because he is in a film not known for it’s big direction, but neither was Sideways. Taking the number 4 spot on my list is George Clooney for The Ides of March. And for the last spot, while most people might slide Steve Spielberg in there for War Horse, I am going to predict Bennett Miller for Moneyball. Moneyball still has a shot at winning Best Picture, which means it needs a Best Director nomination, which itself almost always requires a DGA nomination.

    My Current Predictions:
    Best Director – Feature Film
    1. Hugo – Martin Scorsese
    2. The Artist – Michel Hazanavicius
    3. The Descendants – Alexander Payne
    5. Moneyball – Bennett Miller
    5. Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
    Then:
    6. War Horse – Steven Spielberg
    7. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo – David Fincher
    8. The Ides of March – George Clooney

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    Junk
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    #49372

    My prediction-

    1. The Artist – Michel Hazanavicius
    2. Hugo – Martin Scorsese
    3. Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
    4. The Descendants – Alexander Payne
    5. Moneyball – Bennett Miller

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    babypook
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    #49373

    I’m really looking forward to these! It’s a crowded field.

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    Novic
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    #49374

    I’m thinking these 5:
    1. Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
    2. Martin Scorsese for Hugo
    3. Alexander Payne for The Descendants
    4. Steven Spielberg for War Horse
    5. Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris
    ———-
    6. Bennett Miller for Moneyball
    7. David Fincher for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
    8. Terrance Malick for The Tree of Life

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    babypook
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    #49375

    In my sort-of dreams:

    Scorsese
    Hazanavicius
    Allen
    Fincher
    Malick

    Dont wish to see Payne and Spielberg up there this year. Would like to drop Hazanavicius and replace him with several others, including Tate Taylor. Tomas Alfredson, Gore Verbinski, Bennett Miller and Brad Bird, but, you know.

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    allabout oscars
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    #49376

    DIRECTORS GUILD PREDIX

     Hazanavicius
     Scorsese
     Spielberg
     Payne
     Allen

    OSCAR NOMS

     Hazanavicius
     Scorsese
     Allen
     Winding-Refn
     Spielberg

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    Riley
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    #49377

    David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
    Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
    Alexander Payne for The Descendants
    Martin Scorsese, Hugo
    Tate Taylor, The Help

    I just get the feeling that Hollywood kind of feels sorry for Fincher, which is why we are seeing The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo pop up somewhat unexpectedly in some places.  I have not actually seen the film, so I cannot speak to whether he deserves his spot, but quality is not always that relevant, otherwise we would see Nicolas Winding Refn for Drive and others here.  For the Oscars, I think that Bennett Miller for Moneyball will take Fincher’s place and maybe Steven Spielberg for War Horse will take Taylor’s.

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    babypook
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    #49378

    Lol Demonhog; have you checked out the overall critical reviews TGWTDT is receiving?  I highly doubt that anybody there ‘feels sorry’ for David Fincher.
    RT: 86%-90%
    Meta: 71 (41 critics)

    I sure as heck dont feel ‘sorry’ for Fincher. And I feel sorry for just about everybody.

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    24Emmy
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    #49379

    Predictions:
    Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
    * Bennett Miller, Moneyball
    Alexander Payne, The Descendants
    Martin Scorsese, Hugo
    Steven Spielberg, War Horse

    I’ll go with an upset. Bennett Miller wins! Moneyball ends up winning Best Picture! Woo.

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    DCurrie
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    #49380

    I think Bennett is even vulnerable for a nomination, much less a win….

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    Riley
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    #49381

    [quote=”thedemonhog”]I just get the feeling that Hollywood kind of feels sorry for Fincher, which is why we are seeing The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
    pop up somewhat unexpectedly in some places.  I have not actually seen
    the film, so I cannot speak to whether he deserves his spot, but quality
    is not always that relevant, otherwise we would see Nicolas Winding
    Refn for Drive and others here.

    Lol Demonhog; have you checked out the overall critical reviews TGWTDT is receiving?  I highly doubt that anybody there ‘feels sorry’ for David Fincher.  RT: 86%-90%  Meta: 71 (41 critics)  I sure as heck dont feel ‘sorry’ for Fincher. And I feel sorry for just about everybody.[/quote]I am well aware of the reviews for every movie these days, but the lack of consistent nominations for the film indicate to me that support amongst these groups is not actually strong and whenever it does pop up in nominations, it has less to do with the film’s quality and more to do with the awards history of its director than it should.  The only ones who have nominated it for Best Picture are the AFI, NBR and PGA.  My theory for why no critics awards nominated it, yet it appeared in these three top ten lists is that it is just a filler nominee on the basis that people checked it off near the bottom of their ballot by name recognition and pity for that name.  I say that this will extend to the DGA.

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    Renaton
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    #49382

    I think Bennett Miller is very much in. As in, almost a lock. His film has been shown love everywhere else, it’s a critical darling, has appeal with all kind of groups and demographics, and he’s been nominated here before for a smaller film. He’s not getting snubbed here.

    My DGA predictions:

    Michel Hazanavicius – “The Artist”
    Martin Scorsese – “Hugo”
    Woody Allen – “Midnight In Paris”
    Bennett Miller – “Moneyball”
    Alexander Payne – “The Descendants”

    If anything, I think it will be hard for anyone to break this combo. Maybe Spielberg, Malick or Tate Taylor. But I don’t see it happening. Even the contender more likely to get snubbed out of those five for me (not Miller, but Payne), is in a extremely strong position right now. I wish Malick could get nominated, but this looks unlikely at this point, unfortunately.  

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    Edwin Drood
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    #49383

    Worth noting that DGA rarely matches up 5/5 with AMPAS – it’s only happened once during the past decade, for example.  More often only three DGA nominees receive AMPAS nods (though the most common number is four).  I fully expect to see Michel Hazanavicius, Alexander Payne and Martin Scorsese on the list; the other two slots may or may not be meaningful…

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    Renaton
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    #49384

    I don’t get why people think Payne is so above everyone else. Yes, the film might be great, and he’s a past nominee, and respected, but his kind of directing is snubbed all the time. So far, “The Descendents” have been constantly nominated, but it hasn’t won much. I think someone like Bennett Miller, exactly because he’s a more unfamiliar name, benefits from passion for the film. If there’s strong support for the film itself, he’ll go along for the ride. Payne, however, might have just as many detractors as he has fans, as has to live up to standards of other films (and in this case, mostly “Sideways”). So I say Miller is slightly above Payne. But really, all of the five in my predictions, I feel are just too strong to not get nominated. 

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    Edwin Drood
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    #49385

    Right now I have Bennett Miller in my AMPAS predictions even though he has received absolutely zero precursor attention thus far.  I find it difficult to comprehend that a film which is perceived to have amongst the strongest performances and writing of the season and is well-polished in its technical aspects as well would not be recognized for its direction – it’s not as though these things happen in a vacuum.  Still, various comments have made the rounds regarding Steven Soderbergh’s prior connection to the film and Brad Pitt’s strong input as producer/star; it’s possible that Miller’s contribution really wasn’t very significant.  The DGA is probably his last chance for any precursor attention (it seems doubtful he’ll make BAFTA’s short list); if he doesn’t receive the nod I’ll probably replace him in my Oscar predictions…

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