October 18, 2016 at 6:02 am #1201936340
What do you think about this film’s hype? It came out of Toronto with good reviews…do you think that improves its Oscar chances?
Here is my ranking of how likely Lion is to be nominated in each category.
1.Kidman for Supporting Actress
2.Overall film for Best Picture
3.Patel for Best Actor
4.Film for Adapted Screenplay
5.Davis for Best Director
I have Lion in right now at Supporting Actress and Picture. What are your thoughts?October 18, 2016 at 7:26 am #1201936378
I suppose it’s possible. It has an interesting, relevant cast and story and Weinstein is attached to this.
At this point, I’m not convinced it’ll be remembered, although there’s Rooney, Dev, newcomers who have been cited by those who have seen it. Let’s see how this does during the ‘circuit’.
Fingers’ crossed.October 18, 2016 at 7:29 am #1201936380
I think Kidman will get in but the film itself would need there to be ten slots.October 18, 2016 at 8:08 am #1201936408
I can see Kidman being the film’s sole nominee. She looks very strong in this.October 18, 2016 at 8:42 am #1201936432
Based solely on reviews (I haven’t seen the film) I can imagine Lion getting nominations for Nicole Kidman and Best Picture only, a bit like Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close and Max von Sydow in 2011. Then again, that year was less competitive for the top prize than this year seems to be. Lion could also get an Adapted Screenplay nod (the critical underperformance of Billy Lynn makes this category even more open for grabs than it already was) but I can more easily see non-BP contenders like Love and Friendship or Indignation having an advantage here; to go back to 2011, this would compare to The Ides of March and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy being nominated over Extremely Loud, The Help and War Horse.October 18, 2016 at 8:42 am #1201936433
I’m excited to see this, but I doubt its Best Picture chances. I am hoping for both Patel and Kidman in supporting (do we know his placement for sure?) though I can also see just Kidman being the only nominee.October 18, 2016 at 9:47 am #1201936461
I saw 33 films between TIFF and London Film Festival. This was the very last one. It’s far and away my favourite film of the year so far. I’m a miserable bastard and I balled my eyes out in the cinema. It’s a proper crowd pleasing tearjearker that should play really well with Academy voters. With Harvey on board I suspect this will be a big contender.
Kidman certainly looks like the best bet but Picture, Adapted Screenplay and even Cinematography are possibilities. Does anyone know if Sia’s song is eligible?
As for Patel he is definitely Lead. The film is split into 2 halves with the little boy getting lost in the first and Dev as the grown up searching for is birth mother in the 2nd. Both are the Leads of their segment but with so much screen time to try and portray either as supporting would be bogus. That’s not to say it won’t happen. It’s actually very similar to Slumdog Millionaire in that respect.
Wouldn’t it also be nice the broaden the #OscarsSoWhiteDiscussion and move it away from just being inclusive of black people. The list of Asian Lead nominations is paltry.
Personally I’d nominate it across the board which is probably too optimistic but with it being an extremely strong contender and having the Weinsteins running the campaign this should recieve multiple nominations. I’ll be proper pissed off if it isn’t.October 18, 2016 at 10:10 am #1201936464
I’m only predicting acting nominations for this film. I doubt it would make it in any other categories due to the mixed reviews.October 20, 2016 at 10:43 pm #1201937623
PosterOctober 20, 2016 at 10:51 pm #1201937624
Garth Davis’ “Lion” wins The 39th Mill Valley Film Festival’s coveted MVFF Audience Award for Narrative Feature.
Previous winners of the award are 5 consecutive Best Picture nominees: Lenny Abrahamson’s “Room”, Morten Tyldum’s “The Imitation Game”, Stephen Frears’ “Philomena”, Ang Lee’s “Life of Pi” and Michel Hazanavicius’ “The Artist“.
Mill Valley has become a premier stop for awards contenders, because of the high attendance of Academy representatives from the Mill Valley, San Rafael and Marin County California areas.October 21, 2016 at 7:44 am #1201937739
I just have a hard time believing this will be remembered later, especially with the mixed reviews. Kidman can get a nomination in the weak field, assuming Davis, Adams, and Bening stay in Lead. But I doubt Patel will be nominated for this and I don’t think Best Picture is a real possibility.October 25, 2016 at 12:30 am #1201939208
Yet another major Audience award for “Lion“.
And again over strong critics darlings like La La Land and Moonlight.
2015 winner was SPOTLIGHT, 2014 was THE IMITATION GAME.
Middleburg Film Festival Announces Audience Award Winners – ‘Lion’ and ‘The Eagle Huntress’ Come Out on Top.
If there was any doubt which film is this years crowd pleaser:
1. Toronto Audience Award Runner – Up
2. Mill Valley Film Festival Audience Award Winner
3. Middleburg Film Festival Audience Award winner.October 25, 2016 at 2:34 am #1201939234
No chance that Garth Davis makes it in, but I think Lion will have enough passionate support to lock in a Best Picture nomination. I’d also put Nicole Kidman in at this point (especially since I think SAG will nominate her) and Dev Patel if he is shrewd enough to go Supporting.
The movie is good. It doesn’t quite reach the level of depth that La La Land does, but I imagine many Academy members will like it a lot.October 25, 2016 at 7:37 am #1201939277
2015 winner was SPOTLIGHT, 2014 was THE IMITATION GAME.
And I expect Lion, in the end, to get a similar reception from Oscar voters. The comparison between Lion and The Imitation Game has stuck in my mind since the beginning of the season and people are leaving Lion out of their predictions at their own peril. I am very confident in picture, supporting actress and supporting actor. I would not be shocked at director and screenplay either. Did anyone know and/or predict Morten Tyldum before Imitation Game began picking up steam? Lets ALSO not forget they are both Weinstein plays and this is Weinstein’s ONLY major player this year. They will be putting everything behind this. I actually think that Patel could have made a successful play for lead actor this year.
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