oscar for best actor cateogary?

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  • Profile photo of Andrew CardenAndrew Carden
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    #1201985454

    I think Beatty (needed a Globe nod), Driver (tinsy-winsy film), Keaton (nobody’s seen his film), McConaughey (same as Keaton) and Wahlberg (no awards traction at all for film) can all very safely be removed from Oscar contention.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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    Profile photo of HunterbergfeldHunterbergfeld
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    #1201985457

    I know but I put them as potshots just in case. Stranger things have happened.

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    Profile photo of Griffin HammersmithThePerksOfBeingAGriff
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    #1201985674

    If Gyllenhaal surprises Oscar morning it will be amazing.

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    Profile photo of Michael ParisiMoviebuff22
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    #1201985708

    I think if we do have a surprise it’s Gyllenhaal taking the 5th slot from Viggo.

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    Profile photo of NoéNoé
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    #1201985803

    I love Jake Gyllenhaal and I thought I was all for his second nomination, but man, I wouldn’t be happy if it is for Nocturnal Animals. His performance is off – like everyone’s in that movie save Amy Adams (courtesy of Tom Ford’s wack direction). He is seen acting instead of being the character, he misses most of the notes. Weak, indeed.

    From this period I even prefer his performance in Demolition and I’m not fan of that one either.

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    Profile photo of Eddy QEddy Q
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    #1201985808

    I love Jake Gyllenhaal and I thought I was all for his second nomination, but man, I wouldn’t be happy if it is for Nocturnal Animals. His performance is off – like everyone’s in that movie save Amy Adams (courtesy of Tom Ford’s wack direction). He is seen acting instead of being the character, he misses most of the notes. Weak, indeed.

    Or more specifically, weak at being weak. I never bought Gyllenhaal as someone who would get trampled on, especially by friggin Aaron Taylor-Johnson. Bad casting.

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    Profile photo of Michael ParisiMoviebuff22
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    #1201985866

    Um. Did you guys read the book? The character is supposed to be weak lol

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    Profile photo of Michael ParisiMoviebuff22
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    #1201985867

    But Gyllenhaal plays basically 3 characters in the film, the writer from Texas, the weak character at the beginning of the story, and then the broken vengeful character at the end of the movie. Sorry but his work is better then every performance I’ve seen with the exception of Affleck and Gosling (just saw LLL and his character has way more depth then people let on)

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    Profile photo of Maxwell ZMaxwell
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    #1201985879

    I’d say it goes:
    1. Affleck
    2. Washington
    3. Gosling
    4. Garfield
    5. Mortensen
    6. Gyllenhaal
    7. Hanks
    8. Edgerton

    And everyone else is pretty much impossible. Feel bad for Hanks – incredibly weak field and odds are he’s going to miss his fourth awards bait film in a row. Also, history’s going to think it’s incredibly bizarre that Garfield’s nom was for Hacksaw and not Silence.

    • This reply was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by Profile photo of Maxwell Z Maxwell.
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    Profile photo of Eddy QEddy Q
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    #1201986157

    Um. Did you guys read the book? The character is supposed to be weak lol

    Yeah, that was kind of my point.

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    Profile photo of Andrew CardenAndrew Carden
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    #1201986206

    I’m reasonably confident Hanks no longer has a prayer here. Affleck, Washington and Gosling are the shoo-ins, with Garfield and Mortensen looking pretty good for the last two slots, though Edgerton and Reynolds are still lurking.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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    Profile photo of Maxwell ZMaxwell
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    #1201986253

    I’m reasonably confident Hanks no longer has a prayer here. Affleck, Washington and Gosling are the shoo-ins, with Garfield and Mortensen looking pretty good for the last two slots, though Edgerton and Reynolds are still lurking.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

    I mean it’s absolutely a long shot, but never underestimate a well-received Clint Eastwood pic. Reynolds would need a Melissa McCarthy level groundswell of support to get a nom. He hasn’t had that.

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    Profile photo of NoéNoé
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    #1201986843

    Um. Did you guys read the book? The character is supposed to be weak lol

    The character not his performance.

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    Profile photo of Michael ParisiMoviebuff22
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    #1202029295

    Doesn’t GoldDerby have moderators anymore? Can’t they correct the titles of the threads? Way too many threads and titles with mistakes on them.

    Affleck isn’t winning. This might end up being Denzel’s third Oscar. If the performance is there, the press, bloggers and public in general will carry this all the way to the end. Can people really see the Globes rewarding Affleck? Will SAG snub Denzel after what also looks like a great directorial effort? And that he’s helping Davis win her own Oscar and getting other black actors nominated the year after #oscarsowhite? Which was the only reason Idris Elba won this year at SAG (twice…). You can see all the televised awards going to him. And you can expect him to campaign hard as this is his own movie and passion project. If all goes well critically, it’s pretty much over. It might be too much to handle for other actors and their campaigns.

    I can’t imagine Affleck beating this, or Silence suddenly appearing, exploding on the scene with such strength that it gives an Oscar to Andrew Garfield.

    There’s really nobody else in this race. Hanks might not be nominated, Edgerton looks like he’s gone, Keaton and McCounaughey (second Oscar so soon? yeah right) look like they’ll never arrive, Gosling looks like a wave rider, Patel isn’t even in this category, there’s nobody else. It looks like it’s done. Affleck vs. Washington, and Washington wins.

    Derp

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    Profile photo of Benito DeliciasBenitoDelicias
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    #1202029296

    Doesn’t GoldDerby have moderators anymore? Can’t they correct the titles of the threads? Way too many threads and titles with mistakes on them.

    Affleck isn’t winning. This might end up being Denzel’s third Oscar. If the performance is there, the press, bloggers and public in general will carry this all the way to the end. Can people really see the Globes rewarding Affleck? Will SAG snub Denzel after what also looks like a great directorial effort? And that he’s helping Davis win her own Oscar and getting other black actors nominated the year after #oscarsowhite? Which was the only reason Idris Elba won this year at SAG (twice…). You can see all the televised awards going to him. And you can expect him to campaign hard as this is his own movie and passion project. If all goes well critically, it’s pretty much over. It might be too much to handle for other actors and their campaigns.

    I can’t imagine Affleck beating this, or Silence suddenly appearing, exploding on the scene with such strength that it gives an Oscar to Andrew Garfield.

    There’s really nobody else in this race. Hanks might not be nominated, Edgerton looks like he’s gone, Keaton and McCounaughey (second Oscar so soon? yeah right) look like they’ll never arrive, Gosling looks like a wave rider, Patel isn’t even in this category, there’s nobody else. It looks like it’s done. Affleck vs. Washington, and Washington wins.

    Derp

    Why quote a post that I made so long ago (in november) that Fences wasn’t out, Gold and The Founder were still in the race, Mortensen wasn’t even considered that much, Patel was a lead contender to some people and Edgerton was still a possibility? Is it really that hard to imagine and understanding anybody who back in november didn’t think Affleck was winning when Fences had just screened and those attending were going crazy for Denzel and confirming Viola?

    That would be like me quoting some comments below me back then still thinking Beatty was going to happen, including the person who said “understimate Warren Beatty in Hollywood at your own peril”. He ended up showing his power, sure, but for the wrong reasons.

    Anyway I was Team Affleck months before the Oscars.

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