December 17, 2014 at 12:55 am #169711
You Derbyites have been asking for more slugfests. Well, here are a few new ones …
OSCARS PREDICTIONS SLUGFEST: Our Executive Editor Paul Sheehan and I come out swingin —
GLOBES/ SAG TV SLUGFEST — with Marcus, Daniel, Matt, Ralph and Charlie
http://www.goldderby.com/news/7966/golden-globes-sag-awards-kevin-spacey-viola-davis-bill-murray-uzo-aduba-entertainment-13579086-story.htmlDecember 17, 2014 at 3:20 am #169713
Could we see a British Backlash at the oscars, meaning if their are four British nominees and Keaton…wouldn’t that almost guarantee him the win. I’ve been doing a lot of research and I cannot find an example on the Actor side where four of the nominees were Brits and the 5th was American. I am aware that this has happened on the Actress side in 97 that probably helped Helen Hunt win.December 17, 2014 at 7:07 am #169714
Great points in the Oscars podcast! A few things though
– Theory of Everything is not going to win BP. There are only 4
possible winners. Boyhood, Birdman, Selma, and I’m seeing Imitation Game
tonight so I’ll have to say then if it has any chance.The MLK factor + Duvernay is why I’m picking Selma for BP, but I haven’t seen it yet. I think the SAG ensemble nomination is more revealing about Eddie Redmayne’s chances, and he is my pick for best actor, but it isn’t his
to lose. It’s a huge toss-up.
– I agree with Paul that the TV factor is a real thing. Aniston has
not been on TV for a while though. She is one of the highest paid female movie
stars right now, even if it is mostly for comedies.
– And Arquette is NOT a lead. Why do people keep saying that? Yes
she is the actress with the biggest role, but she doesn’t have anywhere near
the screentime to be a lead. All the lead actress contenders are true leads.
Just being the biggest female role doesn’t make you a lead. Is Vanessa Redgrave the lead in Foxcatcher? She may have the biggest female role, but no one would dispute a supporting placement for her.
Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/December 17, 2014 at 8:04 am #169715
Could we see a British Backlash at the oscars, meaning if their are four British nominees and Keaton…wouldn’t that almost guarantee him the win. I’ve been doing a lot of research and I cannot find an example on the Actor side where four of the nominees were Brits and the 5th was American. I am aware that this has happened on the Actress side in 97 that probably helped Helen Hunt win.
1983: Robert Duvall def. Michael Caine, Tom Conti, Tom Courtenay and Albert Finney. Nationality has been cited as a factor in that win, although I’m sure the fact that Duvall was a 20-year veteran and three-time previous nominee didn’t hurt, either.December 17, 2014 at 8:46 am #169716
Good stuff here. I think it’s the right call looking at alternatives to “Boyhood” in the Best Picture race but I wouldn’t go too crazy and think tha anything beyon “Selma” or “Birdman” can top it. Maybe “Theory” but definitely not “Imitation.”
Jake Gyllenhaal is getting some strong support from just about everywhere for “Nightcrawler.” It being an LA based film (which LA folks love LA) I think he’s a pretty safe bet for that 5th actor slot and it’s almost there for Pic/Editing/Screenplay. I’m banking on Gyllenhaal since I just bet someone $50 that he’d get in over Carell. Oh, and as for both your Rene Russo shout-outs (which is still a possibility):
December 17, 2014 at 11:56 am #169717
Yeah. It certainly looks like it’s down to Boyhood vs. The Imitation Game vs. Selma for Best Picture. Birdman maybe with an outside shot.
We shall see what happens with the DGA nominations. Will Morten Tyldum make it?