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Overestimated Oscar bait

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  • ETPhoneHome
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    #186743

    Every single year there are films that look extremely Oscar-friendly at this point of the year, but almost totally fall off the radar by Nomination time (The Counselor, The Butler, Unbroken, etc.). What do you think will be the Oscar flop this year?

    Personally, I’m unconvinced that Sugfragette will really strike a chord with the academy. The director has no track record, and a big name cast means nothing. I’m also not totally convinced about The Danish Girl. What do you think we’re overestimating?

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    benbraddock
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    #186745

    Streep and Ricky and The Flash.

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    manakamana
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    #186746

    Not really Oscar bait, but The Revenant just doesn’t look like anything resembling the type of subject matter the Academy would usually go for. Plus, the behind the scenes stories seem like it can make it tainted goods (which they typically tend to avoid as well). I’m willing to believe it, but only when I see it. 

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    FilmGuy619
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    #186747

    The Danish Girl. The fact that it was in development hell might be a bad sign. 

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #186748

    The Danish Girl. The fact that it was in development hell might be a bad sign. 

    The changes in director and stars gives me a bit of unease as well. I think the end product will just end up as a Redmayne showcase, but his recent win will stop him from getting enough buzz. I don’t think Hooper is really as infallible as people think, and this season will show that.

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    babypook
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    #186749

    Not really Oscar bait, but The Revenant just doesn’t look like anything resembling the type of subject matter the Academy would usually go for. Plus, the behind the scenes stories seem like it can make it tainted goods (which they typically tend to avoid as well). I’m willing to believe it, but only when I see it. 

     

    This. But then, I am biased. This wont go the way Foxcatcher did, and Oscar noms seem ‘guaranteed’. Perhaps it’ll mimic the True Grit “retelling” and go 0 for 10.

    Irrespective of it’s quality, Inarritu gets the nod because of Birdman. This of course will show that the voters werent “wrong”. Hardy could be a better actor than Leo (!!!), but it’s Leo who will get the nomination, which will be arguably worthy, but he wont win. I really hope I’m wrong and Hardy gets some tangible notice.

    O, and this: I havent read Punke’s novel, but nothing better happen to that real bear, whom I hope is “Bruno”. Gorgeous working bear, and a great actor too.

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    twenty
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    #186750

    All pre production related problems add a question mark to Steve Jobs’s success .When Bale was in talks to star with Fincher directing it felt perfect, it now feels   .
    Irrational man looks too simple to make into best picture.
    However Macbeth does look promising to me…lets see how it turns out at Cannes.If its better than Carol and TWC backing i feel it has the potential to be big during Awards Season. Nice of Harvey to let Macbeth and Carol Compete.

     

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    Nessie
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    #186751

    Definitely The Danish Girl. Have you all forgotten Redmayne’s execrable performance in Jupiter Ascending? He is totally capable of being totally awful and Hooper’s specialty is dull and plodding. All these well-publicised claims that Redmayne and the film are slam dunks are, of course, signs critics will be out for blood.

    Not to mention there was a backlash that started up after Jared Leto won the Oscar, by the trans community complaining that a trans actress was not cast. That has only grown since then and I’m sure critics won’t give the free pass to Redmayne that they did on Theory of Everything. 

    Several potential players (Carol, Sea of Trees, MacBeth, Sicario, Youth, The Lobster, Louder than Bombs) will be competing in Cannes. So we’ll know in the next couple of weeks if any are Oscarabile. The fact that Icon, Sean Penn’s new film, Midnight Special, Beasts of No Nation (if, in fact, it would even be eligible), Black Mass, Jane Got a Gun, Tomorrowland, The Walk were all snubbed (whatever the reason or pretext that they weren’t “ready”) bodes ill for their awards future.

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    Nessie
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    #186752

    [quote=”ibbster”]Not really Oscar bait, but The Revenant just doesn’t look like anything resembling the type of subject matter the Academy would usually go for. Plus, the behind the scenes stories seem like it can make it tainted goods (which they typically tend to avoid as well). I’m willing to believe it, but only when I see it. 

     

    This. But then, I am biased. This wont go the way Foxcatcher did, and Oscar noms seem ‘guaranteed’. Perhaps it’ll mimic the True Grit “retelling” and go 0 for 10.

    Irrespective of it’s quality, Inarritu gets the nod because of Birdman. This of course will show that the voters werent “wrong”. Hardy could be a better actor than Leo (!!!), but it’s Leo who will get the nomination, which will be arguably worthy, but he wont win. I really hope I’m wrong and Hardy gets some tangible notice.

    O, and this: I havent read Punke’s novel, but nothing better happen to that real bear, whom I hope is “Bruno”. Gorgeous working bear, and a great actor too.

    [/quote]

    Do you think so? There was a not small backlash about Birdman winning so much and Boyhood so little. I always remember Jon Stewart, when people were complaining about Selma, saying “hell, the Academy didn’t even give Best Picture to the Best Picture” and flashing the Boyhood poster on the screen. 

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    Nessie
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    #186753

    All pre production related problems add a question mark to Steve Jobs’s success .When Bale was in talks to star with Fincher directing it felt perfect, it now feels   .
    Irrational man looks too simple to make into best picture.
    However Macbeth does look promising to me…lets see how it turns out at Cannes.If its better than Carol and TWC backing i feel it has the potential to be big during Awards Season. Nice of Harvey to let Macbeth and Carol Compete.

     

    There is an apparently excellent documentary about Jobs that is coming out this year. Though I haven’t any interest at all in seeing a film featuring Jobs (I read the authorised bio, he was just a hateful little shit – and that was the AUTHORISED bio), I would have been curious if Fincher and Bale did it. That they passed on it is, to me, a bad sign. I have little to no faith in the Fassbender-Boyle combo. I used to revere Fassbender but now it seems like he just accepts any role he can get. He is following the Ewan McGregor-Jude Law model which leads to overexposure and irrelevance. 

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