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Precursor Stats for the Tech/Craft Categories

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  • Emil Petrov
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jun 12th, 2011
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    #216921

    Brakedown for the 8 Tech/Craft categories at the Oscars. 

    FILM EDITING

    ACE: Mad Max: Fury Road / The Big Short
    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road 
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road

    CINEMATOGRAPHY

    ASC: The Revenant
    BAFTA: The Revenant
    BFCA: The Revenant

    PRODUCTION DESIGN

    ADG: Mad Max: Fury Road / The Martian / The Revenant
    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road

    COSTUME DESIGN

    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    CDG: To be Announced (if Mad Max wins then Costumes are his to lose)

    MAKEUP

    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    MHG: To be Announced 

    SOUND EDITING

    BAFTA: The Revenant
    MPSE:  To be Announced

    SOUND MIXING

    BAFTA: The Revenant
    CAS: To be Announced

    VISUAL EFFECTS

    VES: Star Wars: The Force Awakens (4) / The Revenant (3) / Mad Max: Fury Road (1)
    BAFTA: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road
     

    Reply
    TerenceFletcher
    Participant
    Joined:
    Oct 10th, 2014
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    Posts:
    #216923

    Thank you for organizing this way, it is so helpful to be able to look at all the results in one place like this.

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    Emil Petrov
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jun 12th, 2011
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    Posts:
    #216924

    Yeah, I taught it will be helpful with the predictions. Personally I was surpries that the major awards are suggesting that Mad Max is frontrunner for Costumes. I am tempted to place it first place now. 

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    Emil Petrov
    Participant
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    Jun 12th, 2011
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    Posts:
    #216925

    Update after CAS and MHG

    FILM EDITING

    ACE: Mad Max: Fury Road / The Big Short
    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road 
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road

    CINEMATOGRAPHY

    ASC: The Revenant
    BAFTA: The Revenant
    BFCA: The Revenant

    PRODUCTION DESIGN

    ADG: Mad Max: Fury Road / The Martian / The Revenant
    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road

    COSTUME DESIGN

    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    CDG: To be Announced (if Mad Max wins then Costumes are his to lose)

    MAKEUP

    BAFTA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road
    MHG: Mad Max: Fury Road

    SOUND EDITING

    BAFTA: The Revenant
    MPSE:  To be Announced

    SOUND MIXING

    BAFTA: The Revenant
    CAS: The Revenant

    VISUAL EFFECTS

    VES: Star Wars: The Force Awakens (4) / The Revenant (3) / Mad Max: Fury Road (1)
    BAFTA: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
    BFCA: Mad Max: Fury Road 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Chevi
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 8th, 2015
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    #216926

    Thank you. It seems in the tech categories there is consensus. Totally opposite to best picture.

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    Damiansport1
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 2nd, 2014
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    Posts:
    #216927

    Actually BAFTA sound category = only sound mixing. Look at the history of BAFTA sound winners and AMPAS sound mixing winners. the same winners in last 7 years

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    Eddy Q
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    Joined:
    Oct 13th, 2012
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    #216928

    ^ Since BAFTA started using the same voting process as the Oscars (branches voting for nominees, whole academy voting for winners), Les Mis, Gravity and Whiplash did all win BAFTA sound and Oscar for sound mixing, but they were all quite easy predictions to make anyway. With two huge behemoths going head-to-head in both sound categories, I wouldn’t necessarily expect the same outcome. I also wouldn’t consider BAFTA results prior to 2012, when they still had the reverse of the Oscar voting process, as particularly relevant.

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    MrScreenAddict
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    Feb 3rd, 2016
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    #216929

    Yeah, I also wouldn’t consider The Revenant’s Sound award at BAFTA as a check in the Sound Editing column. That award more directly translates to Sound Mixing. I think we might see a rare split this year with two such acclaimed tech-heavy films. I’m still predicting MM:FR for Editing until further notice.

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    Damiansport1
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    Dec 2nd, 2014
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    #216930

    Im so struggling with Costumes. Mad Max or Cinderella? Cinderella is my pick since like october and i think im gonna stick with it. It has most costumes + powell. but i know Mad Max won BAFTA and BFCA so is probably the favorutie.

    but i dont want to pick what everyone does. So Cinderella is my upset pick

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    Bradley Weir
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    Aug 16th, 2014
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    #216931

    Mad Max will win costume. Nobody in the Academy feels any urgency towards giving Cinderella an Oscar. Beaven will be victorious no problem. Carol has no chance after BAFTA.

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    Damiansport1
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    Dec 2nd, 2014
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    #216932

    Nobody felt urgency to award Great Gatsby or Anna Karenina either. bad argument. Costumes is the category where small films can win

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    DamianWayne
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jul 21st, 2015
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    #216933

    10 films (Revenant makes 11) have won at Cinema Audio Society and BAFTA. 7 of those have won the Oscar for Sound Mixing. 

    There’s gonna be a split this year with Fury Road winning Editing and Revenant winning Mixing. Unless Revenant wins all 3 MPSE awards.

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    Riley
    Participant
    Joined:
    Oct 11th, 2010
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    Posts:
    #216934

    Only the MPSE Foley & Effects category matters.  The last MPSE
    Dialogue & ADR winner that also won Oscar Sound Editing was The Bourne Ultimatum
    MPSE Music is three for thirteen in matching Oscar Sound Editing since
    the latter expanded from two nominees.

    [quote=”Emil_Petrov”]Update after CAS and MHG

    Thank you. It seems in the tech categories there is consensus. Totally opposite to best picture.[/quote]Makes you wonder why we fuss so much.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Eddy Q
    Participant
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    Oct 13th, 2012
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    Posts:
    #216935

    Nobody felt urgency to award Great Gatsby or Anna Karenina either. bad argument. Costumes is the category where small films can win

    This is certainly true, but I wonder if Cinderella will be perceived as not serious enough for voters to give it much attention, even in this category. Great Gatsby and Anna Karenina were not popular with the Academy but they were very much films for “grown-ups”, being based on masterpieces of literature. Even Marie Antoinette, the last film to win the Costume Oscar with no other nominations, had more adult appeal than live-action Disney fairy-tale remake Cinderella. 

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    Damiansport1
    Participant
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    Dec 2nd, 2014
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    #216936

    I see @thedemonhog you are predicting Cinderella too. How confident are you on this?

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