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Predicting The Revenant to win 9 Oscars

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  • Mesdaq
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    #217734

    Production design/ hair and makeup / visuals and Tom Hardy are my shock predictions. The reason for hair and makeup is because of the small category and DiCaprio continually giving shoutouts to his stylist. I just have a feeling now that everything is falling in place for The Revenant to sweep and take Mad Max’s locks. Its either that or gets snubbed and only wins in its 3 main categories (Actor, Director, Cinematography) 

    Best Film 
    Director 
    Actor 
    Supp Actor 
    Cinematography 
    Visual Effects 
    Sound Mixing 
    Hair and Makeup 
    Production Design

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    Monty
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    #217736

    9 is too much.
    1. Hardy is not happening. Stallone is a lock and Rylance is a far behind 2nd.
    2. Star War is the biggest movie of the year. Its BAFTA and VES victory are hard to ignore. The bear scene alone is not too convincing for a VE win
    3. Mad Max won all precursors (BFCA, BAFTA and guilds) for production design and makeup and hairstyling.

    I think it will win 6. (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing) with a possible win in Visual Effects. 

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    AMG
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    #217737

    I agree with Director, Actor, Cinematography and a Sound category.

    I disagree with Picture. It won the Globes and BAFTA because they didn’t go with AGI last year. It has given the film great momentum from here though for the Oscars, but I think that will translate to a Director win, not a Picture win.

    If the general rule of thumb for Make Up and Visual Effects were reversed, I’d agree with Revenant winning those. But, typically its ‘most’ visual effects, and ‘more pinpointed’ make up (look at The Iron Lady winning over Harry Potter – the volume of make up work was ignored, and it went to the film where it was all focused largely on the one actor). The Revenant has little visual effects and all the cast have some prosthetic whether it be a scar(s) or dodgy hair.

    Production it could win, but Mad Max has showier production and I think that will win more than just two, which it seems you are predicting it to get, based on process of elimination of the other categories?

    Supporting Actor is not happening. Stallone unfortunately has that 99% in the bag – Rylance holds the other 1%.

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    Chevi
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    #217738

    I think it will win 6. (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing) with a possible win in Visual Effects. 

    I agree. May be I’ll change sound editing to Mad Max in the future……still undecided.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #217739

    I have it garnering 6 Oscars – Picture, Director, Lead Actor, Cinematography, Costumes and Sound Mixing. http://www.theawardsconnection.com/home/2016/2/1/andrews-2015-oscar-predix

    With that said, I actually don’t believe 11 Oscars is entirely out of the question – I think it’s in serious play in all of its categories beyond Supporting Actor.

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    shart
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    #217740

    Not happening.  To be honest, I might predict it for 4 max and that’s only due to precursors.  Best Director, Actor, Cinematography and Sound are it’s best shots.  Best Picture is way up in the air but I don’t count The Revenant in the top 2, maybe 3 but possibly only in the top 4.  I think it has it’s passionate supporters but it also has too many passionate haters, many more than Birdman may have had.  It’s a true achievement and may even get more traction after the passage of time and the loss of some baggage and ill will it certainly has accumulated this year.  By that, I mean Inarritu’s 3 wins last year against the most popularly loved film Boyhood (by critics and others), it’s violence (my god, they shot a horse; pulleeze!!!), Leo’s award winning performance with all that grunting (never mind that it was actually not that much grunting and had to do with the character’s situation in the film), not enough dialogue and a “real” story (this one is the most ridiculous as far as I’m concerned, but that’s me), and various other complaints against it.  That said, it has a shot at Best Picture.  I just do not see it and I most assuredly do not see it getting nine oscars.  The scenario will be more likely a fairly clean split between the top 4 nominees with some getting 1-2 more than others.  I see The Big Short and Spotlight in the main battle for Best Picture.  Best Director Inarritu v. Miller v. McKay.  But DGA and BAFTA went to Inarritu so that’s what makes me think he will go to the well again, at least there.  Big Short and Spotlight get script awards.  Mad Max takes most of the techs except Sound.  Carol might take something like costumes.  That does not add up to 9 for The Revenant under anyone’s imaginary circumstances.

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    Bradley Weir
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    #217741

    I’m feeling extremely confident in my predictions now. The Revenant walks away with six (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) and Mad Max walks away with four (Production Design, Film Editing, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling) whilst the rest of the films are left scratching their heads wondering where it all went wrong.

    Either could potentially beat Star Wars in Visual Effects, but it seems SW has the support in that category.

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    shart
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    #217742

    Maybe 5 for The Revenant.  Don’t see 6.  Not yet!  It’s not winning script or probably not editing and didn’t win PGA.  That is saying something important.   

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    Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    #217743

    The Revenant could win between four to eight Oscar: Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography…then Sound Mixing, Make up and Hairstayling, Visual Effects (remember that it won three awards from that guild one less than Star Wars), Film Editing are possible. Long shots but possible: Sound Editing and Supporting Actor…Remember that Tom Hardy is in the two most nominated picture and if some Oscar voters love Mad Max they could vote for his lead actor even if he is up for another movie…it helps that MM doesn’t have a nominee in Supporting Actor. The only two categories where The Revenant has not chance are Production Design and Costume Design.

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    Michael Norris
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    #217744

    I have it winning three: Director, Actor, Cinematography

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    Anonymous
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    #217745

    I’m predicting The Revenant now to win film editing just because Birdman wasn’t nominated last year and for some reason every award show likes to make up awards for Innaritu and his movies. Birdman probably would have won if it were nominated last year. So yeah woo hoop big Revenant blowout.

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    MrScreenAddict
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    #217746

    I have The Revenant down to win four: Director, Actor, Cinematography, Sound Mixing.

    Mad Max will also win four: Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Production Design, Sound Editing.

    The Big Short will get three: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing.

    No other film will win more than one award. 

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    Joe Burns
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    #217747

    No, I think people are going overboard: it will definitely not win 9. I think it will win 4: Picture, Director, Actor, and Cinematography. Sound and film editing wins are possible, but I don”t think they”ll happen.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    #217748

    It won’t happen. Just take look at all the films that won 8 or more in the past 25 years.

    1996 The English Patient – 9 wins
    1997 Titanic – 11 wins
    2004 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – 11 wins
    2008 Slumdog Millionaire – 8 wins

    THE ENGLISH PATIENT 
    PGA winner
    DGA winner
    ACE winner
    ASC winner
    ADG winner
    Cinema Audio Society winner
    Motion Picture Sound Editors winner 
    USC Scripter winner
    Golden Globe winner
    BAFTA winner (though the BAFTA’s took place after the Oscars)
    SAG Cast nominee (and three individual SAG nominations) 
    WGA nominee (and Oscar nominee for adapted screenplay) 

    TITANIC
    PGA winner
    DGA winner
    ACE winner
    ASC winner
    ADG winner
    Cinema Audio Society winner
    Motion Picture Sound Editors winner
    SAG nominee for Cast (two individual SAG nominations and a win)
    Golden Globe winner

    THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
    PGA winner
    SAG winner
    DGA winner
    ACE winner
    ADG winner 
    Cinema Audio Society winner
    Costume Desgners Guild winner 
    Golden Globe winner
    BAFTA winner
    NYFCC winner
    Critics’ Choice winner
    multiple major critics’ wins

    SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
    PGA winner
    SAG winner
    WGA winner
    ACE winner
    ASC winner
    ADG winner 
    Costume Designers Guild winner
    Cinema Audio Society winner
    Motion Picture Sound Editors win 
    Golden Globe winner
    BAFTA winner
    Critics’ Choice winner
    multiple major critics’ wins 

    THE REVENANT
    DGA winner
    ASC winner
    Cinema Audio Society winner
    ADG winner
    Golden Globe winner
    BAFTA winner
    NO SAG CAST NOMINATION
    NO WGA or Osar writing nomination

    The films that won 8 or 9 all had the air of inevitability. It was just a question of how many they would win and they had zero competition in many major categories. This isn’t true of The Revenant, not to mention that it has a lot of competition in the techs. 
     

     

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    salvador
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    #217749

    This movie deserves nothing. What an unispired mess of a movie. And to think DiCaprio has been sweeping every award for his one-note performance. What about character development? There was nothing, absolutely nothing that made me root for the character. He showed no signs of having a personality. I mean, if you want to do a movie about revenge with no substance at least make it a fun experience (Kill Bill, anyone?) At least Birdman had a story and actual performances (Hardy was great, though).

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