February 12, 2014 at 1:12 pm #139775
Yay, with you on this!
However, I will likely jump ship if he loses BAFTA. The academy just does not like him for some reason (“slap the stud”?).February 12, 2014 at 1:17 pm #139776
I have my moments of jumping on Leo’s chances, but eventually I still think McConaughey wins. If Leo wins BAFTA, I might make the switch. Paramount seems very confident of his chances lately though. The way he is campaigning so hard, and with Scorsese by his side every step of the way, could impact this race big time.February 12, 2014 at 1:18 pm #139777
I’m with you, Tom.
But I’m jumping ship if he loses BAFTA.February 12, 2014 at 1:22 pm #139779
Tom, this is your most correct “out there” prediction since you started this derby back in the late 90’s. Well done. This town is loving Leo right now.February 12, 2014 at 1:26 pm #139780
While young voters may support Leonardo DiCaprio in decent numbers I still believe their will be a contingent of voters who will find “Wolf” too sleazy to want to honor it with top prizes and that will keep Leo from winning.February 12, 2014 at 1:31 pm #139781
When I talk about the oscars the question “When will Leo win” ALWAYS comes up. So I’m almost with you, since he wants this and i performance is huge for sure. However I will be sticking with McConaughy because he’s won everything necessary…what does he have to do to be a lock? I might change my mind later, especially if Leo wins BAFTAFebruary 12, 2014 at 1:32 pm #139782
I’ve got this feeling that Leo is silently gaining momentum too. This is one of the best roles ever, he totally owns the screen with his performance, but most of all has a long and respected career with many good films and good roles backing him, is long overdue and many will feel it’s time to finally honor him. Besides it is THE place where WOWS has an opportunity to be rewarded, since it won’t win any of it’s other 4 nods. Many will take notice on that. If he wins BAFTA this feeling will be strengthened.
But in the other hand, at this point mathematically speaking is kind of adventurous betting against the nominee that will have won 75% of the relevant precursors, and who sealed 2013 as the best year of his entire career.
Personally a triumph of DiCaprio would be bittersweet for me. I would be very happy for him finally winning but also I will feel very bad for McConaughey who would feel very dissapointed of losing at the last minute after having the crown almost on his head. And Dicaprio we know that many good roles are waiting for him within the following years so I wouldn’t feel bad for him if MM wins. He’s gonna win sometime in the future if not today. But for MM i have a “it’s now or never” feeling, kind of the feeling there was for stars like Julia Roberts or Sandra Bullock.February 12, 2014 at 1:36 pm #139783
Both McConaughey and DiCaprio will get great roles in the future. So will Bruce Dern. I think there’s a decent chance that, even though only Bale has an Oscar right now, that in the future we’ll look at this line-up and talk about how all of them have won an Oscar at some point.February 12, 2014 at 1:50 pm #139784
Hey, tomhardys and myself have been on this bandwagon since the beginningFebruary 12, 2014 at 2:04 pm #139785
Once again, this is great news for Bruce Dern. LDiC on the rise is part of the Dern path to victory, since it hurts MM more than any other contender. Could be good news for Ejiofor.
The Oscar media is hell-bent on making this a MM vs LDiC race. They are missing the most likely scenario of what could happen since a Dern win doesn’t drive internet traffic.
Talked to a mid-50s exec member today; she said nearly everyone she knows is voting for Dern, thinks he’s right in the middle of things.February 12, 2014 at 2:08 pm #139786
I don’t get how this helps Dern specifically. If anything, the DiCaprio rise and the focus Paramount has put on Leo recently has led to Dern fading a bit more. McConaughey and Leo have a been presence over the past few weeks and are getting major pushes. Things have been quiet for Dern recently.February 12, 2014 at 2:10 pm #139787
You make some good points Tom, I might have to change my prediction. I can’t remmber but wasn’t Waltz lead at SAG which could have been one of the factors for him being snubbed there