February 21, 2012 at 3:21 pm #55352
Almost every year there’s an upset, either in a major category or a minor one. Use this thread to call the night’s big upset. Which unexpected winner do you think we’ll see this Sunday?
Me? I’m going with The Descendants for editing. It won the ACE and the voters here don’t seem to enjoy giving the editing award to the director of the film (hence the Coens disguising themselves).
Go for it!February 21, 2012 at 3:32 pm #55354
Assuming that Streep and Clooney aren’t considered upsets —
A Separation for original screenplay (20% chance)
Monsieur Lazhar for FL film (25%)
Von Sydow supporting actor (25%)
Pitt for actor (10%)February 21, 2012 at 3:46 pm #55355
If its a major category Michelle williams for actress for sure.February 21, 2012 at 3:52 pm #55356
What was the upset last year? Most pundits and posters were already predicting The King’s Speech to take Director and Picture.February 21, 2012 at 3:52 pm #55357
Max von Sydow over Christopher Plummer for Supporting Actor
Monsieur Lazhar over A Separation for Best Foreign Language Film
Martin Scorsese over Michel Hazanavicius for Best Director (this is the least likely)
atleast one of these will happenFebruary 21, 2012 at 4:02 pm #55358
If it’s in the major categories, I could see those happening
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn – Since the majority of the voters are older men, undoubtedly they were in love with Marilyn Monroe back in time and I think it may raise Williams’ chances, but who knows? I wouldn’t count her out 100%.
Jessica Chastain, The Help – The reason why I said this is because since The Tree of Life is nominated for Best Picture and Best Director, I could see her chances going up for getting the award. Chastain would have had this in the bag if she was nominated for “Take Shelter”, but she may upset.
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids – It’s rare that comedic performances get nominated for an Oscar. She may upset, since she was one of the biggest breakthroughs of the year and she was hilarious in the film.February 21, 2012 at 4:05 pm #55359
When Melissa McCarthy feels the need to re-enact her most famous scene from Bridesmaids on stage.February 21, 2012 at 4:08 pm #55360
Emmanuel Lubezki will win the Cinematography Oscar that he deserves.February 21, 2012 at 4:12 pm #55361
In recent years (excluding shorts)
2010 – Social Network (score, film editing)
2009 – Precious (screenplay)
2008 – Departures (FL film, though it was not unexpected)
2006 – Golden Compass (visual effects)
2005 – Hustle & Flow (song)
there haven’t been a lotFebruary 21, 2012 at 4:22 pm #55362
^^^The Social Network winning Film Editing was not a surprise to anyone. It clearly was the frontrunner in that category. Score, maybe. But the big upset I think was Hooper for Best Director. The only precursor Hooper won was the DGA, which is a big influence but Fincher won the BAFTA, a British award that showered TKS with awards.February 21, 2012 at 4:23 pm #55363
Emmanuel Lubezki will win the Cinematography Oscar that he deserves.
I think it’ll be a surprise if he doesn’t win. But The Artist might snag it just because it is the BP frontrunner.February 21, 2012 at 4:29 pm #55364
Fincher and Aronofsky superbly directed the hell out of The Social Network and Black Swan. Hearing Hooper’s name being called was an upset beyond proportion.February 21, 2012 at 4:47 pm #55365
[quote=”babypook”]Emmanuel Lubezki will win the Cinematography Oscar that he deserves.
I think it’ll be a surprise if he doesn’t win. But The Artist might snag it just because it is the BP frontrunner.[/quote]
This is a three way race, with Hugo also in the runningFebruary 21, 2012 at 4:48 pm #55366
No. Hooper was very worthy of the award. Fincher was more so but either of them winning would’ve made me happy so I am. However, if Aronofsky had won for that piece of shit Black Swan, I would’ve shot someone. That movie sucked.