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See OSCAR PREDICTIONS by 16 Experts at Gold Derby

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  • Tom O’Neil
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    #1201915110

    Look at all of the nifty, early Oscar predix we’ve got here at Gold Derby!

    16 EXPERTS RANK THE TOP RACES:

    http://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/expert-predictions/oscars-nominations-2017/picture/sort/recent/

    RACETRACK ODDS based upon those predix:

    http://www.goldderby.com/odds/expert-odds/oscars-nominations-2017/

    Odds update automatically once per hour …

     

     

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    Anonymous
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    #1201915282

    Please add jungle book as a choice in the Oscar prediction center for picture, director, and actor

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    Hubert_K
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    #1201915332

    Please add jungle book as a choice in the Oscar prediction center for picture, director, and actor

    \
    What for? There is no chance for this film to get these nods

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    Anonymous
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    #1201915358

    That’s what everybody said about mad max, and Oscar expert Anne Thompson has them as her front runners

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    M
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    #1201915371

    That’s what everybody said about mad max, and Oscar expert Anne Thompson has them as her front runners

    2015 was a horrible year for art house and prestige movies. Fury Road benefited from the nothingness of last year.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201915487

    That’s what everybody said about mad max, and Oscar expert Anne Thompson has them as her front runners

    2015 was a horrible year for art house and prestige movies. Fury Road benefited from the nothingness of last year.

    It got in for Director and DGA over arthouse darling Carol.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1201915501

    That’s what everybody said about mad max, and Oscar expert Anne Thompson has them as her front runners

    Which Anne Thompson predictions are you looking at? I just looked at her GoldDerby predix and The Jungle Book is nowhere to be found. And there’s no way it’s going to win major critics awards the way Mad Max did, which was a large part of its respectability factor at the Oscars. Mad Max was more acclaimed than The Dark Knight, let alone the friggin’ Jungle Book.

    Also lol at Mowgli getting a best actor nod. A BFCA Young Actor nod, maybe.

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    Volcarocka
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    #1201915506

    The Jungle Book was a really good movie, and will likely lead the field in technical categories, but it’s not likely to garner much support elsewhere. It’s just not the type of movie, nor is it the same caliber as Mad Max. Not every good movie has to be nominated for an Oscar.

    On a side note, I find Anne Thompson’s early-season IndieWire picks to usually be somewhat lacking. The only way I see Jungle Book getting a Best Picture nod is if almost every anticipated movie falls flat later. That means La La Land, Fences, Moonlight, and all the rest would basically have to fail with critics.

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    Anonymous
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    #1201915854

    It’s in the indiewire website, I be the only reason she doesn’t have it in gold derby is because it is not an option. Once gold derby puts it as an option, many people will predict it.

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    RobertPius
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    #1201915894

    I wonder why Anne Thompson doesn’t have Viola Davis in for Best Actress. She has Denzel in for Actor so she is aware of the film.

    She doesn’t have her for supporting actress either.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1201916111

    ^ Last time I checked Viola Davis was not an option in supporting. I should add that a supporting campaign for Davis is a distinct possibility, based on numerous factors. Remember Philip Seymour Hoffman in Doubt and Julia Roberts in August: Osage County? Their roles contended in lead at the Tonys, but supporting at the Oscars. Davis won a lead Tony for Fences, but the Drama Desk Awards disagreed, awarding her for Featured Actress (and this group agreed with the Tonys’ placement of the other two roles I mentioned). And in the original production of Fences, the actress playing Rose won supporting at the Tonys. My hunch is that Paramount will only campaign Davis as a lead if no other potential frontrunner emerges (e.g. if 20th Century Women isn’t a player for the overdue Annette Bening).

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    GusCruz
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    #1201916453

    ^ Last time I checked Viola Davis was not an option in supporting. I should add that a supporting campaign for Davis is a distinct possibility, based on numerous factors. Remember Philip Seymour Hoffman in Doubt and Julia Roberts in August: Osage County? Their roles contended in lead at the Tonys, but supporting at the Oscars. Davis won a lead Tony for Fences, but the Drama Desk Awards disagreed, awarding her for Featured Actress (and this group agreed with the Tonys’ placement of the other two roles I mentioned). And in the original production of Fences, the actress playing Rose won supporting at the Tonys. My hunch is that Paramount will only campaign Davis as a lead if no other potential frontrunner emerges (e.g. if 20th Century Women isn’t a player for the overdue Annette Bening).

    I think they know she’s already way ahead. She can win in Lead even if it’s not much of a lead performance, frankly.

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