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Suddenly Unpredictable

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  • Zach Lozano
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    #177841

    Last month I had made a post saying this could possibly be the most predictable Oscars derby since 2010, with all the major categories pretty much sealed. However, in the past few weeks SAG, PGA, and DGA have all turned us on our heads and now it seems as though the Best Actor, Picture, and Director races will certianly be nailbiters come February 22nd. What are your thoughts? 

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    GusCruz
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    #177843

    Other unpredictable races: Original Scores, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, Animated Feature, Foreign Film, Editing, both Sound categories, Visual Effects. The shorts are always a tough call. Song, Costume Design, Production Design, Cinematography, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Make Up are easy to call I think

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    GusCruz
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    #177844

    Documentary is predictable too

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #177845

    Other unpredictable races: Original Scores, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, Animated Feature, Foreign Film, Editing, both Sound categories, Visual Effects. The shorts are always a tough call. Song, Costume Design, Production Design, Cinematography, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Make Up are easy to call I think

    I don’t know for sure about makeup even. I think this is the most unpredictable Oscars since I’ve really started paying attention to the race (2009). Before that, I’m not sure how predictable they really were.

    Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/

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    babypook
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    #177846

    Hurrah to unpredictability!!!!!!

    History and precursors aside, this year, (I hope) anything just may be possible.

    Or not. Lol.

    Best Picture looks like it goes to Birdman, but, what about Boyhood? Or Whiplash? And Actor; is it Redmayne’s? Or Keaton’s?

    With few exceptions, every category has the potential to defy the precursors, including screenplays and cinematography.

    I can only hope that this happens. Such as, giving Nightcrawler the screenplay win which, from that lineup, I believe it deserves. Go Dan!

    I do not recall the last time Oscar was this close.

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    GusCruz
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    #177847

    [quote=”GustavoCruzESilva”]Other unpredictable races: Original Scores, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, Animated Feature, Foreign Film, Editing, both Sound categories, Visual Effects. The shorts are always a tough call. Song, Costume Design, Production Design, Cinematography, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Make Up are easy to call I think

    I don’t know for sure about makeup even. I think this is the most unpredictable Oscars since I’ve really started paying attention to the race (2009). Before that, I’m not sure how predictable they really were. [/quote]

    Makeup has to be TGBH, I’d think.

    Yeah, the year is crazy. I think getting 18 categories right this year is a pretty good score lol

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    babypook
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    #177848

    There’s the Editing prize as well. Whiplash? Or Boyhood? I’m going with Boyhood, but it’s not like I have any confidence with the choice.

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    GusCruz
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    #177849

    Hurrah to unpredictability!!!!!!

    History and precursors aside, this year, (I hope) anything just may be possible.

    Or not. Lol.

    Best Picture looks like it goes to Birdman, but, what about Boyhood? Or Whiplash? And Actor; is it Redmayne’s? Or Keaton’s?

    With few exceptions, every category has the potential to defy the precursors, including screenplays and cinematography.

    I can only hope that this happens. Such as, giving Nightcrawler the screenplay win which, from that lineup, I believe it deserves. Go Dan!

    I do not recall the last time Oscar was this close.

    Nightcrawler doesn’t have a chance but I’m starting to wonder if PTA could upset in a major way in the Adapted Screenplay race, given that the two Brits could cancel each other out, Sniper is too controversial and maybe PTA’s name may have a stronger impact than Chazelle. It’s a crazy possibility but I keep in mind the actors branch and all that glorious, vast cast in Inherent Vice, and the challenge of adapting Pynchon… Wishful thinking much? Lol

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    GusCruz
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    #177850

    There’s the Editing prize as well. Whiplash? Or Boyhood? I’m going with Boyhood, but it’s not like I have any confidence with the choice.

    It’s a three way race. I think Sniper is still stronv despite losing the guild award

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #177851

    [quote=”Tischeo”][quote=”GustavoCruzESilva”]Other unpredictable races: Original Scores, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, Animated Feature, Foreign Film, Editing, both Sound categories, Visual Effects. The shorts are always a tough call. Song, Costume Design, Production Design, Cinematography, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Make Up are easy to call I think

    I don’t know for sure about makeup even. I think this is the most unpredictable Oscars since I’ve really started paying attention to the race (2009). Before that, I’m not sure how predictable they really were. [/quote]

    Makeup has to be TGBH, I’d think.

    Yeah, the year is crazy. I think getting 18 categories right this year is a pretty good score lol[/quote]
    I’m very torn between Grand Budapest and Guardians. Then if pthink Foxcatcher still has an outside shot. I can never figure this branch out. I happened to predict the three nominees this year, but I can’t be certain if they are impressed by realism or just a sheer amount. It has gone both ways over the past few years.

    Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/

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    babypook
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    #177852

    ^@Gustavo

    I believe we’ve discussed this possibility in the threads. Probably not going to happen. Pynchon isnt exactly accessible, and neither is the film. But the screenplay just might sneak in. A career win perhaps? A big maybe. But in the past, for the overwhelming most part, outside possibilities seldom pan out.

    Maybe this year…or not. Lol.

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    GusCruz
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    #177853

    [quote=”GustavoCruzESilva”][quote=”Tischeo”][quote=”GustavoCruzESilva”]Other unpredictable races: Original Scores, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, Animated Feature, Foreign Film, Editing, both Sound categories, Visual Effects. The shorts are always a tough call. Song, Costume Design, Production Design, Cinematography, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Make Up are easy to call I think

    I don’t know for sure about makeup even. I think this is the most unpredictable Oscars since I’ve really started paying attention to the race (2009). Before that, I’m not sure how predictable they really were. [/quote]

    Makeup has to be TGBH, I’d think.

    Yeah, the year is crazy. I think getting 18 categories right this year is a pretty good score lol[/quote]
    I’m very torn between Grand Budapest and Guardians. Then if pthink Foxcatcher still has an outside shot. I can never figure this branch out. I happened to predict the three nominees this year, but I can’t be certain if they are impressed by realism or just a sheer amount. It has gone both ways over the past few years.[/quote]

    The Best Picture nominee has the advantage. Aside from the masterful makeup work in Tilda’s character, the movie also has hundreds of characters.

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    GusCruz
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    #177854

    ^@Gustavo

    I believe we’ve discussed this possibility in the threads. Probably not going to happen. Pynchon isnt exactly accessible, and neither is the film. But the screenplay just might sneak in. A career win perhaps? A big maybe. But in the past, for the overwhelming most part, outside possibilities seldom pan out.

    Maybe this year…or not. Lol.

    Yeah, I can see it happening. I don’t think TIG is any stronger than TTOE at this point and there seems to be no reason for us to predict it as a clear frontrunner. Graham Moore is campaigning but his interviews are unbearably awful

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    babypook
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    #177855

    Well, there’s American Sniper. It just might take it. But then, fantasies rarely win with the Academy.

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    endaugust
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    #177856

    There are no names listed for the writing categories on the ballot, so the PT Anderson career award isn’t a factor, unless Inherent Vice is a huge hit and everyone’s talking about it.  It’s not even close.  Inherent Vice’s problem will be not enough people will be watching it.

    I don’t think the British films will “cancel” each other out?  That would be the case if a large portion of AMPAS voters are British.  Otherwise, they’ll vote for whichever film they like more (or dislike less).  The top votegetters will be the films that have multiple nominations including BP.

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