The Harvey Factor – What will happen at the Oscars???

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  • KT
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    #83298

    Word from the Weinstein
    Company is Harvey was EXTREMELY EXCITED this morning, according to Pete Hammond over at Deadline Hollywood.  I’m sure he was somewhat pissed not to get The Intouchables or Bully in Foreign Language and Documentary, and not to max out the nominations for The Master and Django.  http://www.deadline.com/2013/01/oscars-2013-race-analysis-85th-academy-awards/ 
     

     ***FOR THE FIRST TIME in all of
    his years at the Oscars, Harvey NOT ONLY has the potential to THREE PEAT, but
    ALSO to legitimately contend for the TOP FIVE AWARDS…a prospect that could only
    become more likely in the prolonged voting period. SLP was perhaps the most
    successful film today, taking more nominations (8) than anyone expected (i.e. Jacki
    Weaver!!! and Film Editing)
     

    Could it join Silence of the Lambs, It Happened One
    Night, and One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest??? Harvey would hope so:


    BEST ACTRESS (most likely, as ZDT’s support is just not there)


    BEST SCREENPLAY (could Russell upset Kushner???)

    BEST DIRECTOR (Russell has HUGE respect among
    actors—3 noms for Fighter, 4!! for SLP)


    BEST PICTURE (produced by Academy veterans Donna
    Giglotti and Bruce Cohen)


    BEST ACTOR (if the Academy denies DDL his third,
    guess who is next in line…)

    Regardless if you think Silver Linings will achieve this or not (admittedly very difficult in such a competitive year), how will Harvey’s influence factor into what happens at the Oscars???

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    seany
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    #83300

    Silver linings is only winning one best actress loses all other 7 categories lincoln sweeps the oscars.

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    24Emmy
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    #83301

    Jacki Weaver upsets Anne Hathaway in Supporting Actress for Silver Lining Playbook’s only win. 😉 Hehe.

    Nah, hmm . . .

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    KT
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    #83302

    Harvey is not just winning actress.  He will go down fighting and has a 6-week period to work his magic, as Silver Linings opens wide (!).

    It’s a scary thought, but Harvey has done the unthinkable before. He took down the Saving Private Ryan behemoth with a hugely proactive campaign that completely changed Oscar campaigning.  He had three Best Picture nominees in one five-nominee year (Chicago, Gangs of New York, The Hours…four if you count his affiliation with The Two Towers). 


    BUT THIS YEAR could be a crowning Weinstein achievement.   
    The pieces have landed perfectly for Harvey to push Silver Linings (clearly a frontrunner now), without having to worry about conflict of interest (the other Weinstein movies: Django and The Master).  We’ll see once the PGA and DGA begin announcing….but EVERYTHING can change on Oscar night: we’ve already seen that this year is unlike any other.

    Could Harvey be the bane of Steven Spielberg (AGAIN)???

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    24Emmy
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    #83303

    ^ David O. Russell isn’t nominated for the DGA.

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    KT
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    #83304

    Good point—don’t think I was very clear there.  I mean the race is wide open until the guilds and the result of the DGA awards indicates if there is overwhelming support for one movie (i.e. if the Lincoln bandwagon begins at PGA and sweeps through all the guilds).  If this doesn’t happen, well Silver Linings could come through–even if it’s only at the Oscars.  Remember the Weinstein Company has performed very strongly in the past few years.  Last year they took Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Documentary, and some below the lines at the Oscars.  My point: Anything can happen with Weinstein on Oscar night.

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    24Emmy
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    #83305

    Would they go for a Weinstein backed film 3 years in a row?

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    seabel
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    #83306

    If Daniel Day-Lewis loses, the winner will be Hugh Jackman.

    And there’s no way Anne Hathaway loses.

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    allabout oscars
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    #83307

    I would surely want Harvey to be producing and releasing my film
    if i were an actor, director or screenwriter…he does an amazing job
    of getting the word out on all his films and stars…I dont think it is
    his year regarding a best picture winner..but you can bet that
    he will do everything possible to get his SLP acting Oscars..
    Django should and will win nothing!!got the sort of nominations
    like Scott Rudin got for his “Extremely Loud”   film of last year…….
    Looks to me like 5 or 6 wins for LINCOLN..

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    Graeme O’Neil
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    #83308

    This is going to be a very interesting showdown. When it comes to Best Picture/Director, we are looking at a very similiar situation of Saving Private Ryan/Shakespeare In Love. The difference is that Harvey no longer has the element of surprise of being the snake in the grass, so Spielberg/Disney better campaign hard to ensure Lincoln has Picture and don’t have a repeat of 1999. Lincoln isn’t as loved as SPR, but SLP also doesn’t have the snob appeal/production value/historical relevance that SIL did. It’s gonna be hard for Weinstein to do it, but it’s doable.

    Director…ain’t gonna happen. If the Academy really wants to go against Spielberg (and there’s no reason to think they want to), then I think they will go for Haneke or Lee. When a director wins Director and not Picture, it’s for a really showy piece of directing. Russell does not have that. It’s silly to think he has a chance to upset Spielberg.

    And yes, it pains me to say that Lawrence became the major frontrunner in Actress with the major support for her film and the lack of support for Chastain’s. Shame. Chastain should win this.

    Hathaway is a big frontrunner, but not the sure thing that everyone is calling. I do think Sally has a major shot at this, but the problem is that Lincoln is already the frontrunner in 2 acting categories, and are they really gonna give it a 3rd? No.

    DDL is winning. Any other theory is just ridiculous.  

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    TV12
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    #83309

    I could see “Silver Linings Playbook” winning 4, maybe 5, awards (the Big Five). Best Director will be its hardest to capture b/c of the DGA snub. I think the SAG’s will tell the story for “SLP.” Lewis and Jackman will most likely take the actor awards at the Globes and Les Mis will most likely win Best Musical/Comedy Film. But, with such strong support from actors, Lawrence is a SAG lock and the cast has a good shot. The thing to watch out for is Cooper. Lewis has support from the actors, but his two wins here are more recent, especially for “There Will Be Blood.” Cooper’s support among his own clearly has enough strength to be nominated, but can he win? If he is to win the Oscar, Cooper’ll have to win at SAG. De Niro could very well surprise at SAG considering he is one of the most respected actors. The SAGs (and, to some extent, the PGAs) hold the key to “SLP’s” success.

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    dannyboy.
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    #83310

    SAG didn’t hold the key to The Help’s success..

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    Jules
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    #83311

    I guess Harvey is feeling good about throwing DiCaprio under the bus, ha?  Way to go Harv…

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    dannyboy.
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    #83312

    It was his indecision with Waltz.. Waltz has the goods to win the Lead category (in my book) but Harvey couldn’t figure out what to do with him. DiCaprio likely suffered, but I thought he was the weak link in the film so maybe I’m not alone..? Harvey likely fought very hard for Leo, just in case SLP underperformed (which clearly didn’t happen).

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    Jason Travis
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    #83313

    Yeah I was just thinking that Dannyboy- he was talking all that “Leo will get nominated” and then it didn;t happen- however Waltz did make it. Hmmm…

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