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  • Brennan Merone
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    #1201985749

    I decided to create a thread entirely dedicated to predicting the short categories. Place your thoughts in here.

    Since many of us will not have heard of any of these films, information about them and which ones you think the Academy will like would be appreciated.

    That being said, here are my predictions for nominations and winners:

    Animated Short: Borrowed Time/Inner Workings/Pearl/Piper/Sous Tes Doigts (winner:Piper)

    Documentary Short: Extremis/Joe’s Violin/The Mute’s House/Watani/The White Helmets (winner: Joe’s Violin)

    Live Action Short: Bon Voyage/Nocturne in Black/The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf, and the Boy/Timecode/The Way Of Tea (winner: Nocturne in Black)

    What are your thoughts?

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1201985784

    Do you have any info on Sous Tes Doigts?

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    Filmatelist
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    #1201985865

    This is what I posted in the other Shorts thread:

    —————–

    I can only comment on what I’ve seen among the shortlisted:

    Live Action: SING and THE RIFLE, THE JACKAL, THE WOLF AND THE BOY

    Animated: PEARL, PIPER, INNER WORKINGS and BORROWED TIME

    Doc: EXTREMIS and JOE’S VIOLIN

     

    SING is a terrific film, with lots of Academy-friendly elements: Kid protagonist, nice moral lesson, generally upbeat.  I’m not a fan of RJWB (I think it’s too long and telegraphs its ending too obviously), but it’s a heartstring-puller.

    PEARL is simply brilliant and puts both Pixar entries to shame.  BT is remarkably rendered but is a case, imho, of the style of the film overpowering the (fairly slight) story.  Though again, it pushes buttons that might register.

    EXTREMIS is as powerful a short doc as you’re going to find, a raw and brutal look at families weighing heavy medical decisions.  JV is quite wonderful, with a story that’s stranger-than-fiction but in way that’s highly satisfying.  That it’s got a Holocaust element to it only helps.

    Speculating based on the subject matter, sight unseen, can be very deceptive since how a short film conveys its ideas is more telling that a one-sentence synopsis.  Then again, I’ve found AMPAS rarely gives the final award to the best of the nominees, so what do I know?

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    Filmatelist
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    #1201994497

    Well, 6 of the 8 that I’ve seen across the 3 categories made the final ballot.  Particularly happy about PEARL and looking forward to the theatrical road show that will showcase all the nominees to shore in those gaps.

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    rodman
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    #1202002247

    Trying to win my office oscar pool. Last year I missed all three of the shorts. Help. Can someone who has actually viewed all the nominees comment on who to go with.

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    GusCruz
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    #1202002514

    I’ve seen all the animated shorts and the doc shorts, but only one of the live action shorts.

    Doc short is a tough category. The obvious pick is Joe’s Violin because HOLOCAUST. But I don’t think it’s a done deal. Watani and The White Helmets are very timely and emotional. I also think either one would send a far more powerful message, which is why they are viable contenders. Extremis and 4.1 Miles (my favorite) have no chance.

    Animated is even tougher. There is no obvious choice. I guess the safest choice here is Piper — it’s cute and has animals. But it’s also very thin. I have no clue how members are going to watch Pearl. If they watch it the way it’s supposed to be shown, given how mesmerizing it is, it could win. Pear Cider is much longer than all the other nominees (maybe longer than all of the others put together). I like it, but it’s very cold and adult — is that what voters looking for? Blind Vaysha is my favorite, but it’s too artsy for the Academy, I believe. If they had gone for World of Tomorrow last year, I might have been faithful. Right now I’m going with Pearl.

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    GusCruz
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    #1202003351

    Piper, Pearl and Pear Cider all won something at the Annie Awards. Piper won the main short category though.

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    Riley
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    #1202003513

    Pear Cider and Cigarettes won its program category though and Pearl won three awards, including directing.

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    GusCruz
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    #1202003531

    Pear Cider and Cigarettes won its program category though and Pearl won three awards, including directing.

    Have you seen them?

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    GusCruz
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    #1202005103

    I have now seen all five live action shorts nominated this year.

    This is how I rank them in terms of likelihood to win:

    1. The Railroad Lady
    2. Silent Nights
    3. Sing
    4. Timecode
    5. Enemies Within

    It’s really between the first three. The Railroad Lady has a star that voters will recognize and be nostalgic about, and it’s inoffensive like most winners in this category usually are. I want to know the order in which these shorts will be presented to voters because it might matter this year.

    How I would rank them in terms of preference:

    1. Timecode
    2. Sing
    3. Enemies Within
    4. The Railroad Lady
    5. Silent Nights (this one is not just awful but abhorrent in every way. White savior narrative meets poverty porn.)

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    AlexK24
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    #1202005209

    This is how I rank them in terms of likelihood to win:

    1. The Railroad Lady
    2. Silent Nights
    3. Sing
    4. Timecode
    5. Enemies Within

    It’s really between the first three. The Railroad Lady has a star that voters will recognize and be nostalgic about, and it’s inoffensive like most winners in this category usually are.

    What about Sing and Timecode? I haven’t seen them, but what I’ve read indicates that they, too, are inoffensive.

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    Brennan Merone
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    #1202005217

    I totally agree that Pearl is amazing and absolutely deserves to win, but Piper’s Annie victory (over Pearl and Blind Vaysha) seems to seal the deal for me.

    Documentary Short is a bit tougher- Joe’s Violin and White Helmets are both formidable contenders. I’m going with White Helmets for right now, but I may change this. (Watani is also a potential spoiler.)

    Live Action is basically a jump ball for me- anything could win. I currently have Timecode (it did win Palme d’Or and was best of the ones I’ve seen), but anything could win it here.

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    GusCruz
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    #1202005219

    What about Sing and Timecode? I haven’t seen them, but what I’ve read indicates that they, too, are inoffensive.

    They the most interesting cinematically, but might lack in drama or fireworks for the Academy. I only give Sing the dark horse spot because the kids are cute and you root for them.

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    Riley
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    #1202005768

    Have you seen them?

    Only Pearl so far.

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    GusCruz
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    #1202005777

    Only Pearl so far.

    I exchanged emails with two members of the animation branch and they both told me Pearl is their favorite and Piper is what they think will win. Lol

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