This year, we got 9 nominees for Best Picture under the new voting system. This includes shocker EL&IC and excluded Dragon Tattoo. If this new system was up and running in the past, which movies would have been in/out in previous years? I’ll start.
No real change, maybe The Kids Are All Right out. The others probably had enough support to get in.
Blind Side and District 9 out. The Messenger in?
The Dark Knight and Doubt undoubtedly in. Maybe even Rachel Getting Married and Frozen River in.
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
The Blind Side
The Hurt Locker
Up in the Air
-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
-The Dark Knight
-The Driving Bell and the Butterfly
-Into the Wild
-No Country for Old Men
-There Will Be Blood
-The Last King of Scotland
-Letters from Iwo Jima
-Little Miss Sunshine
Remember that when they applied the system to the 2000s, there were years with five, six, seven, eight and nine (never ten) nominees, so you all should be a bit less generous with your nominations.
OUT: 127 Hours, The Kids Are Alright
OUT: A Serious Man, The Blind Side, An Education, District 9
IN: The Dark Knight, Wall-E
IN: The Diving Bell & The Butterfly, maybe Ratatouille
IN: Dreamgirls, United 93, maybe An Inconvenient Truth and Little Children
IN: Walk The Line, Pride & Prejudice, maybe The Constant Gardener and The March of the Penguins
IN: maybe Eternal Sunshine, The Incredibles, Vera Drake but I guess this would have been a year with only 5 nominees.
IN: Finding Nemo, maybe City of God, Cold Mountain
IN: Talk To Her, maybe Adaptation.
In order of likelihood of being in/out:
Out: 127 Hours
Out: The Blind Side
In: The Dark Knight, Wall-E, Frozen River
In: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
In: United 93, An Inconvenient Truth, Dreamgirls, Pan’s Labyrinth
In: Walk the Line, March of the Penguins, The Constant Gardner
In: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, The Incredibles
In: Finding Nemo, Cold Mountain, City of God, Monster, 21 Grams
In: Talk to Her, Spirited Away
In: Black Hawk Down, Shrek, Mulholland Drive, Monsters Inc.
In: Almost Famous, Billy Elliot, Pollock