Up or Down or Crossword?

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  • GermanGuidanceSystem
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    #141540

    Just hopped off reading and engaging in the ‘Best Actor 2013 Thread (Part 5)’ dialogue.

    There’s a discussion there about the ‘spread the wealth’ mentality and how this may be of help to Chiwetel’s Best Actor hopes.

    I’ve read previously about the speculation that voters who plump for Gravity in multiple tech categories, tick Gravity’s boxes in many of the ‘below the line’ contests, might find this naturally leads them to their checking Gravity as Best Picture winner.

    The question is: 

    Do Oscar voters start from the top of the list and work down; or do they start from the bottom of the list and work up?

    If a voter (with a spread-the-wealth mindset) worked upwards, and checked Jennifer (AH), Jared (DBC), Cate (BJ) and then approached the Best Actor category, they may be slightly disinclined from ticking for Matthew (DBC – again), which would be good news for Chiwetel or whoever received that spread-the-wealth vote. 

    A voter (with a spread-the-wealth mindset) working down their form, who arrived at Best Actor as the first of the acting categories, would encounter the category fresher, could plump for Matthew (DBC) and might soon find themselves baulking at voting for Jared Leto (DBC – again) in Supporting Actor.

    Alternatively, are voters more likely to tick off their favourites first, or the ones that they consider to be the easy, clear, obvious winners, and progress through their decision-making that way? I suppose that would mirror how many people approach solving a crossword grid.

    Plus, does the order of the list of Oscar categories as listed at Gold Derby match the order of the list presented to voting Academy members? 

    Upper, Downer, or Crossworder?
     

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    Riley
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    #141542

    The physical ballot actually lists supporting actor before leading actress and is not in the order that Gold Derby presents it.

    Given western society, my guess is that they read left to right, top to bottom, skipping over categories occasionally to come back to at the end.  Who reads lists from the bottom up?

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #141543

    I feel like voters know what they will vote for before they start, so it probably wouldn’t matter. I don’t think they would have any qualms about rewarding the same film for two actors. There are examples of films winning three acting categories (e.g. Network, Streetcar), which just shows support for the film. The most recent example of a film winning multiple acting awards, of course, is The Fighter, where Leo and Bale both won for their roles. I think Dallas Buyers Club can do the same.

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    GermanGuidanceSystem
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    #141544

    The physical ballot actually lists supporting actor before leading actress and is not in the order that Gold Derby presents it.

    Given western society, my guess is that they read left to right, top to bottom, skipping over categories occasionally to come back to at the end.  Who reads lists from the bottom up?

    Great link! Finally I understand the workings of the preferential ballot.

    Yes, you’re right – who would read a list bottom up? I think that observation weakens the argument that on the basis that voters have already ticked it off as the winner of a stack of below-the-line awards Gravity will win BP, with the box-ticking momentum spilling over into the BP vote. 

     

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