The phenomenon of “vote-splitting”.
Is it a real factor or is it an unproven or even unprovable
If it is real (it does feel like it is), how is it to be guesstimated
And how do you figure which nominees in a race are the ones
to most gain or lose from a split of votes? There are as many similarities and
dissimilarities between different nominees, as there are levels of analysis. Often
there isn’t even consensus on the likeliest locale of the (primary) vote-split.
Only the bare first past the post winner is recorded at the
Oscars, Globes etc, so how is it possible to analyse past results to any depth?
Is starting to consider vote-splitting the last line of hope for a
nominee with a lack of precursor wins?
The intriguing, fuzzy vote-split consideration…