What if Academy didn’t change the Best Picture award category?

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  • fanofpopcult
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    #134505

    What if the AMPAS didn’t change the number of films nominated in the Best Picture award category from five to ten. What would the nominees be?

    2013

    American Hustle
    Captain Phillips
    Dallas Buyers Club
    Gravity
    Her
    Nebraska
    Philomena
    12 Years a Slave
    The Wolf of Wall Street

    2012

    Amour
    Argo
    Beasts of the Southern Wild
    Django Unchained
    Les Misérables
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty 

    2011

    The Artist
    The Descendants
    Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
    The Help
    Hugo
    Midnight in Paris
    Moneyball
    The Tree of Life
    War Horse

    2010

    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    Inception
    The Kids Are All Right
    The King’s Speech
    127 Hours
    The Social Network
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit
    Winter’s Bone

    2009

    Avatar
    The Blind Side
    District 9
    An Education
    The Hurt Locker
    Inglourious Basterds
    Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
    A Serious Man
    Up
    Up in the Air 

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    Junk
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    #134507

    2013
    American Hustle
    Gravity
    Nebraska
    12 Years a Slave
    The Wolf of Wall Street

    2012
    Argo
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty 

    2011
    The Artist
    The Descendants
    Hugo
    Midnight in Paris
    Moneyball

    2010
    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    The King’s Speech
    The Social Network
    True Grit

    2009
    Avatar
    The Hurt Locker
    Inglourious Basterds
    Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
    Up in the Air 

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    fanofpopcult
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    #134508

    2012

    American Hustle
    Gravity
    Nebraska
    12 Years a Slave
    The Wolf of Wall Street 

    2011

    Argo
    Lincoln
    Life of Pi
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty 

    2011

    The Artist
    The Descendents
    The Help
    Hugo
    Moneyball

    2010

    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    The King’s Speech
    The Social Network
    True Grit 

    2009

    Avatar
    The Hurt Locker
    Inglourious Basterds
    Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
    Up in the Air 

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    BenitoDelicias
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    #134509

    They should make this a permanent thread on the top of the forum. It always comes up…

    This year:
    12 Years a Slave
    Gravity
    American Hustle
    Wolf of Wall Street
    all with directing nominations
    then….Nebraska vs. Dallas Buyer’s Club with Payne as the 5th director.

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    anarchy
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    #134510

    This year:
    Twelve Years a Slave
    Gravity
    American Hustle
    Captain Phillips
    The Wolf of Wall Street 

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    DominicCobb
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    Nov 12th, 2013
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    #134511

    12 Years a Slave
    Gravity
    American Hustle
    Nebraska
    Dallas Buyers Club

    Thank god we have the variable nominees because if WOWS was left out (as I believe it would have been), I would have been so pissed. 

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    taloson
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    #134512

    2013:
    American Hustle
    Dallas Buyers Club
    Gravity
    12 Years a Slave
    The Wolf of Wall Street

    Her and Philomena would definitely be out, 12 Years a Slave, American Hustle and Gravity are the three frontrunners so they would definitely be in. I think there would be a race for the final two slots, but I think Wolf of Wall Street would probably get enough no. 1 votes to get in. The final slot is between Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club and Nebraska, but the fact that neither Tom Hanks nor Paul Greengrass got in proves that Captain Phillips probably wouldn’t either. I think there’s more of a passion for Dallas Buyers Club as an underdog than there is for Nebraska and it would get in, similar to how Erin Brockovich got in for the 2000 race.

    2012:
    Argo
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Zero Dark Thirty 

    Django Unchained and Les Misérables would have been out, not enough support. Argo, Life of Pi and Lincoln were huge films that definitely would have gotten in, and Silvers Linings Playbook overperformed like crazy so it would almost certainly get into Picture. The last slot is between Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild and Zero Dark Thirty, each of which had a lot of passion behind them. But Zero Dark Thirty had the box office and was a perceived frontrunner for a while so I think it would have gotten in. The others would’ve probably too small to get that much support.

    2011:
    The Artist
    The Descendants
    The Help
    Hugo
    Moneyball

    Proving how weak this year is, I don’t think any of these movies would even get into a list of five in another year — maybe The Artist and The Descendants but that’s it. The biggest movies they embraced were clearly The Artist and Hugo, with The Descendants doing pretty well too, so I think they’d all be in. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, The Tree of Life and War Horse wouldn’t have a chance in a field of five. The last two slots would be between three movies: The Help, Midnight in Paris and Moneyball. I imagine Moneyball did really well with the male vote plus it was a financial success so I think it would get that fourth slot. Similarly, I think The Help was such a sensation and it had support from the actors so I think it would take the fifth slot, leaving Woody Allen as the lone director.

    2010:
    The Fighter
    The King’s Speech
    The Social Network
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit

    Here’s where things get interesting. Of all these lineups, this is probably the best. Inception, The Kids Are All Right, 127 Hours and Winter’s Bone are almost definitely out. The King’s Speech and The Social Network were far and away the two frontrunners so they’d be in no matter what. True Grit received 10 nominations and was the first real Western in years, so it would have enough support to get in. The Fighter was kind of a little movie that became big at the box office and it was a real actors movie, so I think it would have enough support. Things get interesting when you think about the final slot. Though my first instinct was to go with Black Swan, it really underperformed in the nominations despite Aranofsky getting into Director. I think there would have been a huge campaign to get Toy Story 3 nominated, considering it was one of the best reviewed movies of the year, there was a sentimental factor to it, and it really broke through the zeitgeist. I really do think that it would get in over Black Swan with a lot of no. 1 votes.

    2009:
    Avatar
    The Hurt Locker
    Inglourious Basterds
    Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
    Up in the Air

    This one is pretty easy to predict. The Blind Side, District 9, An Education, A Serious Man and Up could not have realistically broke through the top 5 of that year. Avatar and The Hurt Locker were huge, Precious and Up in the Air were huge indie darlings with a lot of support and Inglourious Basterds was seen as a return to form for Tarantino and had tons of support as well.

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    Placeholder
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    #134513

    (sheds tear for Beauty and the Beast) It still would have its record.

    I think Les Miz would have snuck in last year, the musical crowd never fails.

    Expanding the field really messes up the milestones and records of directors, but it is what it is. 

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    Nov 19th, 2011
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    #134514

    2009: The Hurt Locker
    Avatar
    District 9
    Inglorious Basterds
    Precious

    2010: The King’s Speech
    Black Swan
    Inception
    The Social Network
    Toy Story 3

    2011: The Artist
    The Descendants
    Hugo
    Midnight in Paris
    Moneyball 

    2012: Argo
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pi
    Lincoln 
    Silver Linings Playbook

    2013: 12 Years a Slave
    American Hustle
    Captain Phillips
    Gravity 
    The Wolf of Wall Street 

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    benbraddock
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    Nov 4th, 2013
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    #134515

    2013 if only 5, I believe the nominees would be

    12 YEARS A SLAVE
    GRAVITY
    AMERICAN HUSTLE
    THE WOLF OF WALL STREET
    CAPTAIN PHILLIPS….

    Nebraska  would be a worthy choice
    but Her, Philomena and DBC are fillers
    this year…

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    BrokenFan
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    Nov 16th, 2011
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    #134516

    American Hustle
    Dallas Buyers Club
    Gravity
    Nebraska
    12 Years a Slave 

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