January 4, 2013 at 7:51 pm #81226
The title is pretty self-explanatory.
What would happen in Hunt was being campaigned in Lead while Lawrence in supporting?
I think that Chastain would be the front runner and a race between Hathaway and Lawrence would be very interesting. With Lawrence having the edge giving the reviews for Les Mis.
What do you guys think?January 4, 2013 at 7:58 pm #81228
It’s funny, I think that Hunt wouldn’t win either way, but I actually believe Lawrence would win. She might even stand a bit of a better chance than Actress. Field wouldn’t be as big a factor as she already has two, and Hathaway, even though she’s in the spotlight longer than Lawrence, would probably be hurt by how surprisngly polarizing the film has been. In the end, I think Jennifer would win in that case.January 4, 2013 at 8:02 pm #81229
My guess would be that this would please nearly all of Goldderby as each would win an Oscar on the same night (Chastain and Lawrence). I don’t think I believe Lawrence is actually Supporting. Her character was necessary in driving that semi-decent film. I actually think Chastain has this based on reviews and word of mouth. I don’t hear much about Silver Linings Playbook or Lincoln. I think people are sort of underwhelmed by both.January 4, 2013 at 8:30 pm #81230
Hunt still wouldn’t win, and I’m not sure if she would even be nominated in LEAD, but she’s deserves to be, since her character is a LEAD.
Anne Hathaway deserves to win the Supporting Actress Oscar. Period. End of discussion. For under 15 minutes of screentime and to have such a lasting impression, that everybody is still talking about her is amazing. Polarizing reviews or not, people that down right hate the film cannot say anything against Hathaway. She was perfect.
Jennifer Lawrence gave the 2nd best performance by an actress this year in IMO and I think she’ll win Best Actress, and deserves to rightfully, and if she was pushed in supporting, she would lose to Hathaway-rightfully. I really can’t see anybody winning besides Hathaway. If Lincoln does turn out to be a massive player, Field may be going 3-3, but I can’t see that happening. A lot of people think Jones will take supporting, but I think Day Lewis will be the only acting winner out of Lincoln.
I’d argue that Lawrence is in a supporting role, but I can see why she was placed in lead, since her performance was so powerful. Though if that would happen, I wouldn’t see anything major happening:
1. Jessica Chastain
2. Helen Hunt
3. Naomi Watts
4. Marion Cotillard
5. Emmanuelle Riva
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Jennifer Lawrence
3. Sally Field
4. Amy Adams
5. Maggie Smith
January 4, 2013 at 8:46 pm #81231
They would not win.
It would be Jessica Chastain and Anne Hathaway.January 4, 2013 at 9:40 pm #81232
Helen Hunt will be lucky to even make it into lead actress (despite her very deserving.) and Chastain will win in a cake walk. Lawrence however would win supporting with ease. Her film and performance recieved way more positive reviews and her film will have a bigger showing than Hathaway’s (Not as much as Field, but I doubt with her 2 Oscar wins, she’ll be much of a factor.) And Anne is only in the film for damn 15 minutes, over Lawrence being in pretty much over half the film (Like what; an hour?)
Though I really want Lawrence to win in the lead categories, since that is a much higher honor than supporting imo.January 4, 2013 at 9:47 pm #81233
I don’t think Lawrence would stand a chance against Hathaway in supporting. Buzz about Hathaway was so strong long before the movie came out, and it has stayed strong. The general attitude about Lawrence’s performance has kinda been “Oh, yeah, I guess she’ll win Best Actress.. but she wouldn’t be the frontrunner if it was a stronger year for the category.”January 4, 2013 at 10:00 pm #81234
Has someone brought up the possibility of Lawrence not deserving her Lead contention, or are we just playing “What If” until the day nominations are announced?
Like Seabel, I don’t think that the switch would help Hunt or Lawrence, though the battle between Hathaway and Lawrence would be a fun one to watch. (Yeah, I used the word “battle.” Sorry about that.) I think that Chastain and Hathaway would win.
In fact, I’ve got them down as winning their respective categories right now. That wouldn’t be any different if this thread’s switch took place.January 4, 2013 at 10:02 pm #81235
Screentime has nothing to do with anything. Reviews of the film can be bad. It’s all about how you take your character and bring it to life.
The Joker was in The Dark Knight for maybe 30 minutes, but Ledger was out of this world and his powerful performance was a crucial arc for the storytelling.
Hannibal Lector had what 20 some minutes of actual screentime and Hopkins won a Lead Actor Oscar!
Anne Hathaway, 15 minutes or not, absoultely owns the film and her I Dreamed a Dream is the entire centerpiece. Her character is important for the story and Hathaway nailed it.January 4, 2013 at 10:09 pm #81236
Lawrence would win supporting. Anne’s role may have been memorable but she was only in the film for like what fifteen minutes? And her character disappears after the beginning of a 2 hour film. Jennifer did a lot more I can tell you in her extended role. And no I don’t buy this crap that Hathaway has more buzz than Lawrence. Like said Jennifer’s film will do better in wins/nominations, and has more legs and factors going towards it than Les Mis. Also unlike Hathaway, Jen actually won a major critic award.January 5, 2013 at 2:36 am #81237
I feel like Hathaway has too much of a narrative going into awards season. I’m not sure anyone would be able to beat her. But if anyone were able to (hypothetically speaking), then yeah, maybe Lawrence would. I guess we’ll never know.January 5, 2013 at 4:32 am #81238
Hunt has NO chance in either category..
bad enough she has 1 oscar..but 2? hahahahaha
Let her stay in supporting, where she belongs
and lose graciously…
How can Lawrence even be considered supporting?
Naomi Watts is a closer definition to supporting….
Watts still loses…January 5, 2013 at 6:47 am #81239
I’m surprised that so many people actually think Lawrence could have been competitive with Hathaway. I don’t see it. That Oscar has Anne’s name written on it already and I don’t think anyone could have taken her down. As for Chastain vs Hunt, well, Chastain would be close to a lock already IMO.January 5, 2013 at 6:59 am #81240
I don’t buy the “Hathaway is a lock to win” theory. In fact, I think she’ll lose to Sally Field (because 3rd Oscar be damned, she’s playing a hystorical figure in a film they’ll likely love more than “Les Mis”).
If you try and picture how the race would’ve shaped with Lawrence in Supporting, she’d actually have won more critics groups awards. She’d have the advantage of not being a previous winner, and having a film that isn’t so disive in reaction. And SLP is likely just as loved (if not more) by actors than Lincoln and Les Mis. And in the end, the it girl factor she has would’ve probably lead her to win.
And I still think these boards are exaggerating the Anne situation. Had a more proeminent character played by someone who is not a past winner been competitive in this category, she’d have lost a massive amount of buzz.
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