January 4, 2016 at 5:01 pm #206358
Would still the movie be a BP frontrunner, If the Academy still nominates “Spotlight” for Best Film Editing, even without ACE Eddie nomination?
I remember, a couple years ago, when “Dallas Buyers Club” got a nomination in that category out of nowhere.January 4, 2016 at 5:18 pm #206360
It certainly can, it probably won’t win. And I think much of the concern has to do with how much Spotlight can even win if it’s supposedly this Best Picture frontrunner. Picture, Director, Screenplay seems to be its ceiling, now, which is certainly doable but McCarthy is not really considered a safe bet for Director.
If it really DOES miss an editing nomination, especially if it gets no acting nominations, then it might be time to reconsider its strength as a contender.January 4, 2016 at 7:03 pm #206361
Well, I need stronger proof of another film’s momentum before I stop predicting a Spotlight win.January 4, 2016 at 7:51 pm #206362
Star Wars!!!!!!!!!January 6, 2016 at 12:28 pm #206363
Yeah, that would get it back into the race. The key thing though is if it is the rare movie nominated for DGA but not ACE or if the statistic holds and Spotlight makes the leap from mostly dead to all dead.January 6, 2016 at 5:36 pm #206364
birdman shows that it is possible for a movie to win best picture without editing. i think if it misses out for screenplay and director, then it will be more of a concern. a totally shutout of acting noms might be too but not really a dealbreaker for me.January 6, 2016 at 11:03 pm #206365
Birdman only missed because it was presented almost as a film with no editing, which cannot be said for Spotlight.January 7, 2016 at 6:02 pm #206366
even if it was presented that way, that should be more of a reason for it to be nominated for best editing. i mean, how can they possibly think there was not much editing for that movie? lol. but anyway, we will see what happen.
the academy has shown that they have certain exceptions every year for something that is a norm.January 7, 2016 at 6:06 pm #206367
Birdman was ACE-nominated, albeit in the comedy category.January 7, 2016 at 6:40 pm #206368
If it misses the editing nod, it is most definitely DOA.
The biggest hurdle for me is that the film is realistically receiving 4-5 nominations. Even if one of the supporting guys gets in – and only one will, that’s 6. “The Departed” won with 5 nominations and “Crash” won with 6 nominations. Both were complete surprise wins. “Spotlight” is the frontrunner as of now so it wouldn’t be a surprise if it won. That means it needs to be nominated 7 times over at least. I don’t see that happening, so I don’t see “Spotlight” winning Best Picture at the Academy Awards.