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January 8, 2016 at 9:10 pm #206989
If that happens, would “The Big Short” become the frontrunner? Could that upset happen? Both are great castsJanuary 8, 2016 at 9:15 pm #206991
Yes to the above.January 8, 2016 at 9:22 pm #206992
I think Spotlight wins here but The Big Short takes PGA.January 8, 2016 at 10:03 pm #206993
It has a good shot of taking Spotlight down, because the cast has even more big name talent than Spotlight and there are more flashy roles.
Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.January 9, 2016 at 3:05 am #206995
i think these categories where spotlight and big short goes head to head are really going to be interesting. big short winning won’t actually put it out as frontrunner for me. but if mckay gets a director nom, then look out spotlight. big short might just take over the frontrunner status.January 9, 2016 at 4:11 am #206996
Big Short is already frontrunnerJanuary 9, 2016 at 6:27 am #206997
I would be equally happy if The Big Short, Spotlight or Trumbo were to win. I am rooting for Trumbo – because the cast is fantastic (I don’t know their names but the actors who play Kirk Doulgas and Otto Preminger are so spot on!) and also because there would be such an apocalyptic explosion on here! (; I love it when unexpected things happen!
SAG ensemble only predicts BP for Oscar about 50% of the time.
I wish Room and Steve Jobs were nominated ):January 9, 2016 at 7:45 am #206998
Winning Best Ensemble at SAG is not always telling. Inglourious Basterds, The Help and American Hustle are recent examples of movies with great casts, showy performances and loved by actors but that ultimately couldn’t translate this love to winning BP at Oscars.January 9, 2016 at 8:17 am #206999
^ True but with the possible exception of American Hustle those films were never really considered BP frontrunners anyway. If The Big Short and Spotlight are duking it out for Best Picture then SAG Ensemble could be very telling of which way the wind is blowing.January 9, 2016 at 8:24 am #207000
If The Big Short win SAG ensemble that is a sign it is a long way ahead. Spotlight is a more classic ensemble piece where all the actor interact with each other whereas The Big Short is three distinct stories with very little crossover.January 9, 2016 at 8:37 am #207001
Not necesarily, American Hustle won and it lost every single nomination, including Best Picture.January 9, 2016 at 2:55 pm #207002
Everywhere you look TBS seems to be gaining momentum I’d like to see it happen.January 9, 2016 at 4:22 pm #207003
I think PGA’s choice is the only one I would take with certainty, but The Big Short has been gaining the right momentum at the right time and the shift to it might already be in the cards if Spotlight only gets like 3 nominations (and The Big Short gets in for Sound Mixing or something).January 9, 2016 at 8:55 pm #207004
Just TBS, and it’s a better film than Spotlight, in my opinion. Certainly one of three best films I’ve seen this year. The performances from the cast are amazing. I see this winning adapted screenplay. Direction and editing are actually pretty tight.