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What was your best Oscar upset prediction?

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  • Tom O’Neil
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    #1201849196

    Go ahead and brag and crow … If you can’t do it here at Gold Derby, you can’t do it anywhere!

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    GusCruz
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    #1201849238

    I did predict Crash back in the day.

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    babypook
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    #1201849307

    This year, I suppose it was the Editing win for Mad Max!
    Yay!

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    Andrew Carden
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    #1201849329

    Does Alan Arkin count?

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: Best Original Song (1963) – It’s a Meh, Meh, Meh, Meh Category

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    OnTheAisle
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    #1201849350

    This dates me.

    I was in the locker room at the gym debating the Best Actress race with my pals. They had their bets on Streisand for a second win for The Way We Were. I was insistent that the film’s poor showing in other categories hurt her chances.

    They all mocked me for predicting a second Oscar for Glenda Jackson. I just knew that Best Picture nomination for A Touch of Class showed a wealth of support. And I was right!

    And as anyone paying the slightest bit of attention here at GoldDerby can attest, I have never been right again.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1201849499

    This year, I suppose it was the Editing win for Mad Max!
    Yay!

    Eh, that was hardly an upset, though a notable few were predicting The Big Short.

    I only go back 4 years, but I guess technically my best upset prediction was The Grand Budapest Hotel for Best Score, but that should have been obvious; why The Theory of Everything was considered the frontrunner is beyond me.

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    babypook
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    #1201849511

    This year, I suppose it was the Editing win for Mad Max!
    Yay!

    Eh, that was hardly an upset, though a notable few were predicting The Big Short.

    I only go back 4 years, but I guess technically my best upset prediction was The Grand Budapest Hotel for Best Score, but that should have been obvious; why The Theory of Everything was considered the frontrunner is beyond me.

    I didn’t think so Eddy, but others did, being a “sci-fi” and all, and being the O-so-serious Oscars.

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    FilmGuy619
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    #1201849538

    I knew Birdman was going to best Grand Budapest Hotel for Best Original Screenplay and even though I predicted the wrong winner, I didn’t predict Stallone to win Best Supporting Actor. I figured Stallone would be “Harden-d” by Tom Hardy.

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    babypook
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    #1201849735

    Hmmm….well, I picked The Bourne Ultimatum for Editing, and both Sound Oscars. The film bested some heavy contenders, including TWBB and No Country.
    I picked The Golden Compass for Vx. But I felt badly for Scott Farrar that year (Transformers). He had somewhere around 27 nominations without a win.

    Both picks were just ‘gut’ choices. Usually, they don’t pan out for me. I still go with it though….most of the time.

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 4 months ago by  babypook.
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    Riley
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    #1201849743

    How to Train Your Dragon 2 won the Globe, which is irrelevant. It won the Annie, but they awarded the first one over Toy Story 3 because of their Dreamworks affiliation. Since they created dedicated animated-film categories, both BAFTA and ACE had always at least nominated the Oscar winner and both had snubbed How to Train Your Dragon 2 for The Boxtrolls. I predicted Big Hero 6 and got third on Gold Derby overall.

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    Alex Meyer
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    #1201851117

    Although I never officially predicted it on Gold Derby, I did predict in my head that Hugo would win Best Visual Effects over presumed frontrunner Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes in 2011.

    I also correctly predicted that Brave would follow in the Golden Globes’ footsteps and beat Wreck-It Ralph for Best Animated Feature.

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    AugB
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    #1201851844

    In terms of wins (not much):
    > Hugo over The Tree of Life in Cinematography;
    > Whiplash for Sound Mixing;
    > Life of Pi over Skyfall in Cinematography.

    In terms of nominations:
    > Aaron Sorkin and Tarantino out this year;
    > Jake Gyllenhaal out and Bradley Cooper in;
    > Rooney Mara in and Tilda Swinton out;
    > Sally Hawkins in and Oprah Winfrey out.

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 4 months ago by  AugB.
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    Eddy Q
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    #1201851929

    @ AugB: Neither Whiplash’s sound mixing nor Life of Pi’s cinematography were upsets according to Gold Derby’s odds. They were very much expected winners, with only a smattering of experts predicting differently.

    I didn’t realise we were including nominations as well as wins. In which case, I predicted Boy and the World over The Good Dinosaur for Animated, Tom Hardy over Idris Elba for Supporting Actor, the Tarantino snub for Hateful 8, Song of the Sea for Animated, Life Itself snub for Documentary, and Ernest & Celestine for Animated (GoldDerby sure is slow on the uptake with GKids).

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    AugB
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    #1201852255

    Oh, thanks. I mistook.

    I put the nominations basically because I’m new in terms of oscar predictions (since… 2009, maybe), and lately surprises are REALLY rare at the ceremony – but not that much in the nominations morning (wich I think is much more exciting, by the way).

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    Alex Meyer
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    #1201852354

    Does Alan Arkin count?

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: Best Original Song (1963) – It’s a Meh, Meh, Meh, Meh Category

    Yes, I think Alan Arkin counts, because most people predicted Eddie Murphy would win for Dreamgirls.

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