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What would have been the 5 BP nominees?

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  • nkb325
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    #95505

    Sometimes I wonder what would have been the five films to make the cut if the rules hadn’t changed in ’09. My predictions are:

    2009
    Near Locks:
    The Hurt Locker
    Avatar
    Inglorious Basterds

    Up in the Air
    Precious
    (I feel like it’s a little too easy to just translate the director lineup, but these honestly seemed to have the most support. I’d say An Education would have been the spoiler)

    2010:
    Near Locks:
    The King’s Speech
    The Social Network
    Black Swan
    The Fighter

    The Kids are All Right (Even with True Grit getting the director nomination I just feel like it would’ve been TKAAL, with my guess being Inception as the spoiler even though I probably should say TG)

    2011
    Near Locks:
    The Artist
    The Descendants
    Hugo
    Midnight in Paris

    The Help (I know it didn’t get the director nom or even screenplay which it was expected to, but I think the actors branch support would have gotten it in with Moneyball as the spoiler. Interestengly it could’ve been a fairly comedic lineup, as I’d identify all of these as either comedies or dramedies)

    2012
    Near Locks:
    Argo
    Lincoln
    Silver Linings Playbook
    Life of Pi

    Beasts of the Southern Wild (this one was very difficult and I’m probably wrong but I feel like at least four of the director nominations would have passed over to picture, and voters probably would have been content leaving Amour with best foreign language. Either Les Miserables or Zero Dark Thirty would have been the spoiler and I’m leaning towards ZDT)

    Agree? Disagree?

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    TV12
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    #95507

    Overestimating “Argo.” It may not’ve made the final lineup, so I don’t think it should be a lock. It benefited post-nominations from Affleck’s snub.

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    nkb325
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    #95508

    I think it benefited a little bit from the snub but people keep forgetting that even if Affleck had been nominated and didn’t get the sympathy the movie still would have gotten the critic’s choice and golden globe win so it would’ve gone in to the season with the most momentum. Maybe it isn’t a lock but I still think it was pretty close to one.

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    Tyjet
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    #95509

    It’s hard to imagine True Grit missing out on BP when it got another 9 nominations. What’s the most a film has been nominated w/o BP?

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    Halo_Insider
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    #95510

    I don’t think The Kids Are All Right had that much support. It didn’t receive much of anything besides the acting/screenplay nods, and there would have been a lot of fighting for those last few spots. I feel like The King’s Speech, The Social Network and The Fighter were safe, but Black Swan wasn’t nominated for Best Screenplay, so it wasn’t quite invulnerable and it, True Grit and Inception might have been stacked in positions 4, 5 and 6.

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    RobertoTerra
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    #95511

    It’s hard to imagine True Grit missing out on BP when it got another 9 nominations. What’s the most a film has been nominated w/o BP?

    Sydney Pollack’s “They Shoot Horses, Don’t They?” (1969). 9 nominations

    It was nominated for Director, Actress (Jane Fonda), S. Actor (Gig Young), S. Actress (Susannah York), Art Direction, Costume Design, Film Editing, Score and A. Screenplay. It only won S. Actor

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    TV12
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    #95512

    I think it benefited a little bit from the snub but people keep forgetting that even if Affleck had been nominated and didn’t get the sympathy the movie still would have gotten the critic’s choice and golden globe win so it would’ve gone in to the season with the most momentum. Maybe it isn’t a lock but I still think it was pretty close to one.

    So the “The Social Network.” 🙁

    If Ben haD been nominated, I suspect Harvey’s magic would’ve worked and “Silver Linings Playbook” would’ve won.

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    MHS83
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    #95513

    Expanding the original question.

    1931/32

    Arrowsmith – Goldwyn UA

    Bad Girl – Fox
    The Champ – MGM

    Grand Hotel – MGM

    Shanghai Express – Paramount

     

    1932/33

    Cavalcade – Fox

    A Farewell to Arms – Paramount

    42nd Street – Warners

    Lady for a Day – Columbia

    Little Women -RKO

     

    1934

    The Gay Divorcee – RKO

    It Happened One Night – Columbia

    One Night of Love – Columbia

    The Thin Man – MGM

    Viva Villa – MGM

     

    1935

    Captain Blood – Warners

    David Copperfield – MGM

    The Informer – RKO

    Lives of a Bengal Lancer – Paramount

    Mutiny on the Bounty – MGM

     

    1936

    Anthony Adverse – Warners

    Dodsworth – Goldwyn UA

    The Great Ziegfeld – MGM

    Mr Deeds Goes to Town – Columbia

    San Francisco – MGM

     

    1937

    The Awful Truth – Columbia

    Captains Courageous – MGM

    The Good Earth – MGM

    The Life of Emile Zola – Warners

    A Star is Born – Selznick UA

     

    1938

    The Adventures of Robin Hood  – Warners

    Boys Town – MGM

    The Citadel – MGM

    Jezebel – Warners

    You Can’t Take it With You – Columbia

     

    1939

    Dark Victory – Warners

    Gone with the Wind – MGM

    Mr Smith Goes to Washington – Columbia

    Stagecoach – UA

    Wuthering Heights – Goldwyn

     

    1940

    The Grapes of Wrath – Fox

    The Great Dictator – UA

    The Letter – Warners

    Rebecca – UA

    The Philadelphia Story – MGM

     

    1941 (same lineup as Best Director)

    Citizen Kane – RKO

    Here Comes Mr Jordan – Columbia

    How Green Was My Valley – Fox

    The Little Foxes – Warners

    Sergeant York – Warners

     

    1942

    King’s Row – Warners

    Mrs Miniver – MGM

    The Pride of the Yankees – Goldwyn RKO

    Random Harvest – MGM

    Yankee Doodle Dandy – Warners

     

    1943

    Casablanca – Warners

    For Whom the Bell Tolls – Paramount

    The Human Comedy – MGM

    The More the Merrier – Columbia

    The Song of Bernadette – Fox

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    nkb325
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    #95514

    [quote=”nkb325″]I think it benefited a little bit from the snub but people keep forgetting that even if Affleck had been nominated and didn’t get the sympathy the movie still would have gotten the critic’s choice and golden globe win so it would’ve gone in to the season with the most momentum. Maybe it isn’t a lock but I still think it was pretty close to one.

    So the “The Social Network.” 🙁
    If Ben haD been nominated, I suspect Harvey’s magic would’ve worked and “Silver Linings Playbook” would’ve won.[/quote]

    Agreed it may not have won but it would have been nominated and had frontrunner status for a little

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    Anonymous
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    #95515

    I started an old thread months ago about this, but I can’t find it.

    2012:
    1. Argo
    2. Lincoln
    3. Life of Pi
    4. Silver Linings Playbook
    5. Beasts of the Southern Wild

    2011:
    1. The Artist
    2. Hugo
    3. The Descendants
    4. Midnight in Paris
    5. The Help

    2010:
    1. The King’s Speech
    2. The Social Network
    3. The Fighter
    4. True Grit
    5. Black Swan

    2009:
    1. The Hurt Locker
    2. Avatar
    3. Inglourious Basterds
    4. Up in the Air
    5. Precious
                              

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    CanadianFan
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    #95516

    The more and more I think about it, the more confident I become that 2013 will be the year of David O. Russell. The academy has shown him so much love for “The Fighter” and “Silver Linings Playbook”. As a matter of fact, I bet that SLP had the 2nd highest vote totals for BP.

    He’s had seven actors nominated between two films, been nominated for director back-to-back and was a real spoiler for screenplay in 2012. He has a perfect cast and a great premise for his next movie — it just seems like the perfect time for him 

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    TV12
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    #95517

    He wasn’t nominated back to back. Hi nods were in eligibility years 2010 an 2012.

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    Anonymous
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    #95518

    The more and more I think about it, the more confident I become that 2013 will be the year of David O. Russell. The academy has shown him so much love for “The Fighter” and “Silver Linings Playbook”. As a matter of fact, I bet that SLP had the 2nd highest vote totals for BP.

    He’s had seven actors nominated between two films, been nominated for director back-to-back and was a real spoiler for screenplay in 2012. He has a perfect cast and a great premise for his next movie — it just seems like the perfect time for him 

    Same. I’m siding with David O. Russell and Abscam this year. It just seems  it’s his year.
    He is on a massive roll starting with The Fighter, which was his comeback. He’s done all he can to put himself in good gracious with the voters.  

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    CanadianFan
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    #95519

    He wasn’t nominated back to back. Hi nods were in eligibility years 2010 an 2012.

    *sigh*
    Back to back films.

    And with the third, it will be three in a row and ACTUAL back to back years. 

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    TV12
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    #95520

    ^True. And if he’s nominated that’ll three director nods in four years, which means he’s at the height of his career. But unfortunately it’ll only mean something if he actually wins this time.

    And sorry to be so petty. But technically Stephen Daldry received director nods for back-to-back films, but they were six years apart (he actually got three nods for back-to-back films in 2000, 2002, and 2008) so you can see why that’d be confusing. 

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