August 27, 2015 at 4:26 pm #193207
BAFTA Best Picture
SAG’s Best Ensemble
But, after that, I draw a blank.August 27, 2015 at 4:28 pm #193209
DGAAugust 27, 2015 at 5:24 pm #193210
4) SAG EnsembleAugust 27, 2015 at 5:30 pm #193211
PGA is most key in my opinion. BFCA as well because they tend to indicate those that are on the outside looking in imo.August 27, 2015 at 5:54 pm #193212
Mainly the guild’s because they also have academy voters in their membership voting as well. The Producer’s Guild is my number 1.August 27, 2015 at 6:28 pm #193213
PGAAugust 27, 2015 at 6:54 pm #193214
PGA, especially given how they rely on a similar system of voting with the ranked ballots.
DGA is the one that I think completely shifts the momentum of a race, though. Tom Hooper and Alejandro Gonzelz Inarritu winning there was when most pundits realized that their films were going to win Best Picture.August 27, 2015 at 7:44 pm #193215
This year proved that PGA is king, and nothing else really matters before that. DGA can carry a film’s momentum as well…
Of course, ’12 Years a Slave’ still would have won BP if one more person voted for ‘Gravity’ for PGA, but I think it will be awhile until we see a true split.August 27, 2015 at 9:27 pm #193216
It starts with that SAG Ensemble nomination. In fact, the whole race starts with SAG. Then the PGA & DGA.
Everything else is just smoke.August 28, 2015 at 4:41 am #193217
I always go with what PGA and DGA are picking. It also helps to have SAG ensemble nomination, and if you are a winner it doesn’t hurth either. I think that only film that won SAG ensemble and than didn’t perform good at the Oscars was “Birdcage”. Golden Globes often miss it and BAFTA tends to be to british oriented from time to time, although more in the acting categories than in BP race.August 28, 2015 at 5:17 am #193218
PGA & SAG. The other’s are easier to overcome a snub/loss for.August 28, 2015 at 5:27 am #193219
I agree with the ones said, but hey, The Golden Globes need to be mentioned. Even though the small amount of voters make them pretty ridiculous, they are pretty good at setting frontrunners. I also think that from now on it will be nearly impossible to win Best Picture without at least a Globe nomination. Yes, the same can be said for the ones mentioned above, but I’m not too much of a snob to recognize that they have some merit due to the fact that they’re televised.