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February 19, 2016 at 6:34 am #217539
Allowing for every remotely possible outcome, this is how I see it:
The Big Short
Max: 3 (Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Editing)
Min: 1 (Adapted Screenplay)Bridge of Spies
Max: 3 (Supporting Actor, Production Design, Original Score)
Min: 0Brooklyn
Max: 0
Min: 0Carol
Max: 2 (Costume Design, Original Score)
Min: 0The Danish Girl
Max: 3 (Supporting Actress, Production Design, Costume Design)
Min: 0The Hateful Eight
Max: 1 (Original Score)
Min: 0Mad Max: Fury Road
Max: 7 (Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Min: 0 (only because it’s not a complete lock in any individual category. It’s extremely unlikely to go empty-handed)The Martian
Max: 1 (Production Design)
Min: 0The Revenant
Max: 10 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Min: 3 (Director, Actor, Cinematography)Room
Max: 1 (Actress)
Min: 1 (Actress)Spotlight
Max: 3 (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay)
Min: 1 (Original Screenplay)Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Max: 4 (Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Original Score)
Min: 0Steve Jobs
Max: 1 (Supporting Actress)
Min: 0I’m assuming any of the nominees for Production Design can win; I finally threw in the towel and switched to Mad Max, but I still don’t think it’s a slum dunk even if there isn’t an obvious alternative. Because of Stallone’s vulnerable frontrunner status and the irregularity of the Supporting Actor category throughout the season, I’m also assuming anyone but Christian Bale has at least a tiny chance to win there. Bale has been consistently nominated and lost every time, including at BAFTA where he could be considered overdue (he is British after all).
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February 19, 2016 at 7:27 am #217541“The Big Short”
Max: 4 (everything but Supporting Actor)
Min: 0“Bridge of Spies”
Max: 3 (Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Production Design)
Min: 0“Brooklyn”
Max: 1 (Screenplay)
Min: 0“Mad Max”
Max: 10 (everything)
Min: 0“The Martian”
Max: 5 (Screenplay, Sound, Sound Editing, Visual Effects, Production Design)
Min: 0“The Revenant”
Max: 11 (everything but Supporting Actor)
Min: 1 (Lead Actor)“Room”
Max: 2 (Lead Actress, Screenplay)
Min: 0“Spotlight”
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Max: 5 (everything but Supporting Actress)
Min: 0February 19, 2016 at 7:50 am #217542The Big Short
Max: 4 (Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Director)
Min: 1 (Adapted Screenplay)Bridge of Spies
Max: 2 (Supporting Actor, Production Design)
Min: 0Brooklyn
Max: 0
Min: 0Carol
Max: 1 (Costume Design)
Min: 0The Danish Girl
Max: 2 (Supporting Actress, Costume Design)
Min: 0The Hateful Eight
Max: 1 (Original Score)
Min: 1Mad Max: Fury Road
Max: 8 (Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Director)
Min: 0The Martian
Max: 0
Min: 0The Revenant
Max: 9 (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Makeup/Hair, Sound Editing, Sound
Mixing, Film Editing, Production Design)
Min: 2 (Actor, Cinematography)Room
Max: 1 (Actress)
Min: 1 (Actress)Spotlight
Max: 3 (Picture, Original Screenplay, Director)
Min: 1 (Original Screenplay)Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Max: 3 (Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Min: 0Steve Jobs
ReplyCopy URL
Max: 1 (Supporting Actress)
Min: 0February 21, 2016 at 8:25 am #217543Update:
Mad Max: Fury Road
Max: 7 (Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Director)
Min: 1 (Makeup/Hair)The Revenant
Max: 8 (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Makeup/Hair, Sound Editing, Sound
Mixing, Film Editing, Production Design)
Min: 3 (Actor, Cinematography, Sound Mixing)Star Wars: The Force Awakens
ReplyCopy URL
Max: 2 (Visual Effects, Sound Editing)
Min: 0February 26, 2016 at 11:30 pm #217544The Big Short
Max: 4 (Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor, Editing)
Min: 1 (Adapted Screenplay)Bridge of Spies
Max: 3 (Supporting Actor, Production Design, Original Score)
Min: 0Carol
Max: 2 (Costume Design, Original Score)
Min: 0The Danish Girl
Max: 2 (Supporting Actress, Costume Design)
Min: 0The Hateful Eight
Max: 1 (Original Score)
Min: 0Mad Max: Fury Road
Max: 8 (Director, Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Min: 2The Martian
Max: 0
Min: 0The Revenant
Max: 10 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Min: 2 (Actor, Cinematography)Room
Max: 1 (Actress)
Min: 1 (Actress)Spotlight
Max: 3 (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay)
Min: 1 (Original Screenplay)Star Wars: The Force Awakens
ReplyCopy URL
Max: 2 (Visual Effects, Original Score)
Min: 0