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November 15, 2015 at 9:37 pm #198340
Which thin limb are you scooting out furthest on right now when predicting Oscar noms? And why do you DARE?November 15, 2015 at 10:27 pm #198342
If A24 pushes The End of the Tour hard, I just don’t see how the writers branch can ignore it. Also I think Jason Segel will get some love
I still don’t understand why Youth is so low all around. I think it has a big chance in Picture, Kietel, Caine, and Screenplay according from what I heard in festival buzz
Also Marion Cotillard for Macbeth. She snuck in last year and I think she’ll do it again. Cinematography also must rise from 100/1
When Marnie Was There I think has a hell of a better shot than the freckin Minions. Like come on people, this is the Oscars not the People’s Choice Awards. They eat up stuff like MarnieNovember 15, 2015 at 10:45 pm #198343
I am predicting Steve Jobs to be snubbed for Best Picture/ Director. Be honest, how many people do you think will rank it their #1 favorite movie of the year?! It doesn’t have the the heart of The Imitation Game or Theory of Everything last year, and I do think it’s dissapointing box office DOES hurt it’s chances, similar to how The Crucible fell apart in the Awards race after going wide too early.November 15, 2015 at 10:53 pm #198344
Oh, and I also completely agree w/ EVERYTHING Kyle Bailey said about When Marnie was There. Shame on you people for doubting Academy semtimentality towards what could could very well be Studio Ghibli’s Last- Ever- Movie. 🙁 Ant-Man had far more innovative and unique Visual Effects than Age of Ultron, which was widely criticized for it’s garbage-looking CGI, especially in the earlier parts of it. It also helps Ant-Man that the consensus is that it was the year’s best Marvel movie period. 😉 Paul Dano is my #1 HOPEdiction for Love & Mercy. I have no proof he can sqeeze in such a crowded Supporting Actor category, it just feels like one of those surprise noms that can and SHOULD happen, for being such a critical part of one 2015’s BEST movies IMO.November 15, 2015 at 10:58 pm #198345
My final crazy prediction is that The Good Dinosaur can’t get nominated for the Animated Feature Oscar. I think it’s too late in the game for it to make a real impact, and unless when I see it, I am genuinely BLOWN AWAY, I’m keeping my predictions soild. 1. Inside Out 2. The Peanuts Movie 3. Anomalisa 4. Shaun The Sheep Movie 5. (Obviously) When Marnie Was ThereNovember 15, 2015 at 11:17 pm #198346
Cary Fukunaga for Director. I don’t think Beast of No Nation is gonna be hurt because its being distributed by Netflix. I do think it will have a hard time because of its difficult subject matter. However, the directors branch has shown to support more challenging movies in the past like with Bennett Miller’s nomination for Foxcatcher.November 16, 2015 at 1:51 am #198347
Samuel L Jackson for best actor. If Harvey plays his cards right he could create a huge campaign to reward Jackson a career Oscar, espeically for all of his work with Tarantino. Samuel L Jackson is the most bankable actor, everyone loves him, and we have never watched him accept an award.
Obviously this prediction is full of a lot of assumptions seeing as no one has really seen The Hateful Eight yet but something tells me the Weinsteins have a lot of confidence in Jackson since they moved him up to lead.November 16, 2015 at 3:29 am #198348
Star Wars: The Force Awakens gets in for Best Picture. If it gets great reviews mixed with its likely healthy box office numbers, then I don’t see why it can’t contend for Best Picture. Its buzz is already trumping other end of the year contenders and while it wom’t contend for the LAFCA, NBR, SAG, or NYFCC, it doesn’t need those.November 16, 2015 at 5:32 am #198349
Geza Rohrig and Samuel L Jackson for Best Actor.
Maggie Smith for Best Actress.
Kurt Russell for Supporting Actor.November 16, 2015 at 6:23 am #198350
Paul Dano for Best Supporting Actor (Love & Mercy). I just really, really want it to happen. It just really should.
Junkie XL for Best Original Score (Mad Max: Fury Road). I don’t know if this is really a long shot or could actually happen, but this score is just too goodNovember 16, 2015 at 8:39 am #198351
Blythe Danner for Best Actress – Really successful indie film, super duper charming performance. She’s campaigning and her screener was the first out the gate. I think she’s Charlotte Rampling’s biggest obstacle.November 16, 2015 at 8:58 am #198352
Boy and the beast for best animated film. It only has 2 reviews. Lol but since Good Dinosaur is getting average reviews and every other film is getting weak reviews, gotta take some risks.
Tom Courteney for Best Actor and 45 Years best screenplay. I think it’ll hit with the demographics of the academy much more then Carol.November 16, 2015 at 9:00 am #198353
If we’re going purely by current GoldDerby odds, then Spotlight for Best Original ScoreNovember 16, 2015 at 9:06 am #198354
Joel Edgerton will be nominated in the Supporting Actor Catergory but that will be Black Mass’s only nomination. Similar to Jeremy Renner’s nomination for The Town, it is quite a long shot but I’m convinced it will happen.November 16, 2015 at 9:11 am #198355
I have two:
Lenny Abrahamson for Best Director for Room
Emory Cohen – who isn’t even in the predictions center yet – for his romantic portrayal of an Italian-American in love with an Irish girl – for Best Supporting Actor in Brooklyn.