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August 27, 2015 at 5:55 pm #193220
As we head into the Oscar race, there will be plenty of contenders under people’s radars that make a big play. Which ones do you think you, or we, might be underestimating?
Here are a few:
Brie Larson, Room: Pretty baity role (from what I’ve heard), banner year with this and Trainwreck. Now that Alicia Vikander is dropped into Supporting, she could snag the “fresh ingenue” spot.
45 Years: Its storyline about an older couple might resonate with older voters.
Blythe Danner, I’ll See You In My Dreams: Film was a modest summer hit and sent out FYC screeners early which helped Frozen River and A Better Life. Plus, she might have support from Gwyneth.
How about you guys? Who might you be underestimating in this race? Let’s discuss.August 27, 2015 at 6:09 pm #193222
Brooklyn, it was a sundance hit and their are normally one of those each year (Whiplash in 2014 and Beast of the Southern Wild in 2012). It’s also Fox Searchlight who have an impecable record with Oscar.
Jason Segal in The End of the Tour, comedic actors going serious is like cat nip to the academy.
Harvey Keitel in Youth, veteran actors who never have won before in general in supporting is also like cat nip to the academy
Inside Out, to universally loved to be ignored.
The Danish Girl, mainly because most of the users on this site keep saying how we are over-estimating it. So I’m going that son of a bitch and say as of now it’s the front runner.August 27, 2015 at 6:17 pm #193223
Creed (boxing movie with a fall season release)August 27, 2015 at 6:32 pm #193224
Saoirse Ronan and Julie Walters in Brooklyn. This years An Education like film.August 27, 2015 at 6:53 pm #193225
Star Wars. It had everything going for it. All it needs is to be as good as it looks.August 27, 2015 at 9:31 pm #193226
Bridge of Spies. However “boring” that trailer might have been, this film has the potential to go all the way. The subject matter, the cast involved, the production value. History has proven to us never to underestimate the obvious Oscar film in the mix (The King’s Speech, Birdman etc)August 27, 2015 at 10:49 pm #193227
[b]Bridge of Spies[/b]. However “boring” that trailer might have been, this film has the potential to go all the way. The subject matter, the cast involved, the production value. History has proven to us never to underestimate the obvious Oscar film in the mix (The King’s Speech, Birdman etc)
Very true. That can also apply to Trumbo this year.August 28, 2015 at 3:08 am #193228
Charlotte Rampling, plain and simple.August 28, 2015 at 4:27 am #193229
Why are some people not just in this topic but in others mentioning “Creed” and Sylvester Stallone that much? It looks like another excuse to return Rocky to the screen and, well you can’t say that Stallone was close to nomination deserving more then once in his career.August 28, 2015 at 5:20 am #193230
The Martian. It will get at least 5 nominations below-the-line and since BP field expanded no film has gotten 6 nominations without one for BP.
Noms ranked by likelihood:
Supporting ActressAugust 28, 2015 at 5:36 am #193231
Potentially Emma Watson for Colonia. If she gets rave reviews from TIFF and so then gets distribution I could see her contending strongly for a Best Actress slot.
FYC: The Crown, Fleabag and AHS: Roanoke for Gold Derby TV AwardsAugust 28, 2015 at 10:00 am #193232
Beasts of no nation! Netflix is coming to play with the big boys!August 28, 2015 at 1:59 pm #193234
Our Brand Is Crisis isn’t even an option for Best Picture right now, I would definitely have that in. It seems more likely to me than Black Mass and Spotlight, as well as some others. Agreed on Beast of No Nation, I could easily see that being a top 5 picture contender and Fukunaga getting a Director nom.August 28, 2015 at 8:52 pm #193235
Trumbo is the one to look out for and if this is a crappy film and still manages to get nominated because of the hollywood element I am going to be pissed off.August 29, 2015 at 1:38 pm #193236
I just thought of another contender to keep a sharp eye out for: Jake Gyllenhaal for Southpaw. Sure, the film has mixed reviews and an early summer release. But the film was a modest success, has Harvey behind it, is a redemptive boxing movie (which they like), and there could be some goodwill towards him after the Nightcrawler snub as well as the physical transformation factor. If Harvey says that he thinks Gyllenhaal will get nominated, I’m sure he’ll make sure it happens.