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Which of These Filmmakers Do You Think Will Win an Oscar First

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  • Anonymous
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    #87382

    Paul Thomas Anderson- 5 nomination
    David Fincher- 2 nominations
    David Lynch- 4 nominations
    Jason Reitman- 4 nominations
    Christopher Nolan- 3 nominations

    Not counting Honorary Oscars, I’d probably have to go with Jason Reitman. He should have won the screenplay for Up in the Air, but was shockingly upset by Precious.      
           

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    Scottferguson
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    #87384

    David Lynch might win first via the honorary route.

    Reitman has a huge advantage in being in position to win screenplay.

    I just hope all of them stays true to themselves and not stoop down to the level of what normally it takes to win.  

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    Halo_Insider
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    #87385

    Reitman would make the most sense, though I’d like to think Anderson has a shot, even taking into account The Master’s mixed response by the Academy. Not sure that Lynch could ever do it, given how few films he makes nowadays.

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    Trent
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    #87386

    Knowing Paul Thomas Anderson, his screenplay adaptation of Inherent Vice will be too amazing to ignore (the books author, who has resisted selling the film rights for many years, has raved about and given his blessing to Anderson’s screenplay). He could even take Picture/Director/Screenplay for that one. I know many people said that about The Master (myself included) but this time we already know the incredible source material. That mixed with his already well-known writing and directing talent (plus his somewhat overdue status) might just make it one of Oscar’s biggest films. However, Anderson is still looking for funding for that one, so it probably won’t come along for a few years.

    This is opposed to Reitman, who already has Labor Day due out this year, featuring (hopefully) the return of Kate Winslet and yet another appearance this year of Josh Brolin. The book was generally well-received, and Reitman has yet to make a bad film, so my vote goes to him.

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    BenitoDelicias
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    #87387

    I would say Anderson or Reitman and both in screenplay.

    Fincher should have been nominated last year (Dragon Tattoo for BP too) but he’ll be the least likely to win if he’s really going to go forward with the trilogy. As for Nolan, now that he’s out of the Dark Knight films, he might go back the Inception, Memento, Prestige type of stuff which can at least get him a screenplay win. 

    And if we want them to keep “staying true to themselves” Scott, then we better hope they win for Screenplay, it’s in Picture/Directing where they will have to lower themselves to the Academy’s recent tastes.

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    Andrew Eng
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    #87388

    My guesses

    1. Reitman
    2. Anderson
    3. Fincher
    4. Lynch
    5. Nolan

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    Renaton
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    #87389

    I will be the only one then guessing Fincher.

    Reitman does baity material, but I have this feeling that appreaciation for his work will only decrease with time, and with he didn’t pull off a win for Up In The Air, there’s a chance that he either never does or taht it takes a long time. He’s probably my second place though, since I could always be proved wrong.

    Anderson is always a polarizing director and writer. He’d probably have to be have a film even more prestigious and acclaimed than There Will Be Blood and in a weaker than average year for typical Oscar-bait. And I’m sorry Tye, no offense, but Pynchon is not exactly the kind of material I’d call oscar-bait as well, even if the book is his most accessible.

    Nolan will always suffer from the genre bias, and even if he does break way from that at some point, unless the buzz and scope of the project is too indeniable, there’s still a chance the Academy won’t go for him as it would be his first directing nomination.

    David Lynch said “Island Empire” was his last film, and that he isn’t interested in shooting anymore, and is interested in other areas of art. And even if he does come back out of nowhere, it will probably be something too weird for the academy.

    Fincher I can see winning in a recent future actually. It won’t be for his Captain Nemo film, but it could happen eventually and somewhat soon. He just needs the right project and the right timing, and I think that could happen. He has already been nominated twice in the category, and appreaciation for his films keeps improving, with some his first few been reevalueated (“Fight Club” for example). 

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    babypook
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    #87390

    I’ll go with Reitman. He’s a crowd-pleasing director with a limited imagination. Hate to say this about someone who identifies as Canadian, but there it is.

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    black30
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    #87391

    Knowing Paul Thomas Anderson, his screenplay adaptation of Inherent Vice will be too amazing to ignore (the books author, who has resisted selling the film rights for many years, has raved about and given his blessing to Anderson’s screenplay). He could even take Picture/Director/Screenplay for that one. I know many people said that about The Master (myself included) but this time we already know the incredible source material. That mixed with his already well-known writing and directing talent (plus his somewhat overdue status) might just make it one of Oscar’s biggest films. However, Anderson is still looking for funding for that one, so it probably won’t come along for a few years.

    Vice is shooting this year — with funding from the primary producer of The Master. 

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    Macbeth
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    #87392

    I love Lynch, I I hope he wins one, although its unlikely

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    AmberK
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    #87393

    I say Fincher.  He’s already come so close.

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    Renaton
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    #87394

    Fincher’s next film apparently will be an adaptation of Gillian Flynn’s “Gone Girl”. I haven’t read the book, but considering the best-seller status and the excellent reviews it had, even being a thriller, it could be soemthing that leads him to another nomination.

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    Icky
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    #87395

    Counting the directing Oscar only I’d say Fincher. Reitman makes the most Oscar-friendly movies out of this bunch, but they’re not visually ambitious or showy, and they’re also on the lighter side of tones. I could actually see one of his movies winning BP and screenplay without BD. Anderson’s gonna need another widely, ridiculously acclaimed movie like TWBB. Otherwise, his movies don’t fit the mode. Fincher isn’t unwilling to do more commericial and sentimental things (‘Curious Case’). Being a recent two-time nominee and tag that with a semi Oscarish movie, and he’d be in a good position. It’s not gonna happen for Lynch. I’m not even sure he’ll ever make another movie. Nolan would have to move away from genre flicks, and that includes the “smaller” movies in his early career.

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    Laactingnyc
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    #87396

    I’m still mad that PTA didn’t even get 1 nomination for The Master when he should have gotton 3.

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    A Person
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    #87397

    Knowing Paul Thomas Anderson, his screenplay adaptation of Inherent Vice will be too amazing to ignore (the books author, who has resisted selling the film rights for many years, has raved about and given his blessing to Anderson’s screenplay). He could even take Picture/Director/Screenplay for that one. I know many people said that about The Master (myself included) but this time we already know the incredible source material. That mixed with his already well-known writing and directing talent (plus his somewhat overdue status) might just make it one of Oscar’s biggest films. However, Anderson is still looking for funding for that one, so it probably won’t come along for a few years.

    This is opposed to Reitman, who already has Labor Day due out this year, featuring (hopefully) the return of Kate Winslet and yet another appearance this year of Josh Brolin. The book was generally well-received, and Reitman has yet to make a bad film, so my vote goes to him.

    Megan Ellison (Oracle billionaire Larry Ellison’s daughter) is funding Inherent Vice with her production company Annapurna Pictures.  It’s filming this year and should come out in 2014.

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