Which Oscar categories still feel up in the air for you?

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  • FreemanGriffin
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    #212664

    For me, there are five categories where I am still not 100% sure – Best Picture, Best Director, Best Adpated Screenplay, Best Production Design and Best Supporting Actress.

    BP imo still could go to The Big Short, The Revenant or Spotlight

    Best Director could go to Inarritu, McCarthy, McKay or Miller (ironically, I would cast my vote for Abrahamson!)

    Best Adapted Screenplay feels like a toss-up between The Big Short and Room

    Best Production Design for me is between MM: FR and The Martian. TM has the worst odds of the five movies, but I stubbornly am sticking with my prediction of it to win: it has the most varied and interesting sets – Mars and various space crafts are much more visually interesting to me than the mosh pits and apocalyptic world of MM: FR. (I know that we don’t agree; can’t we agree to disagree? the academy will either agree with us or it will choose one of the 3 other films, that’s all).

    Best Supporting Actress I am predicting Alicia Vikander for the win, but I don’t feel as confident about it as I wish I could. I love all five actresses and think four of them are deserving of the Oscar so It’s a win-win situation for me. Just not sure if AV is too much of a newcomer for the academy to vote for her.

    I am predicting films I don’t like in 7 categories, so this isn’t about what you think should win but is about speculation over what you think the academy will do… I think the academy is going to be wrong in seven categories! (;

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    AMG
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    #212666

    Best Picture: Spotlight v The Big Short v The Revenant
    Best Director: McCarthy v McKay v Miller
    Best Supporting Actress: Mara v Vikander v Winslet v Leigh
    Best Cinematography: Mad Max v Revenant v Carol v Sicario
    Best Editing: Mad Max v The Big Short
    Best Production Design: Bridge of Spies v Mad Max
    Best Original Score: Carol v Star Wars v The Hateful Eight
    Best Documentary Feature: Amy v The Look of Silence v Cartel Land v What Happened Miss Simone?
    The Shorts Categories: I never know who to pick with these.

    Compared to the more likely ‘locks’ of;
    Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio
    Best Actress: Brie Larson
    Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone
    Original Screenplay: Spotlight
    Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
    Costume Design: Carol
    Make Up & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
    Original Song: Til It Happens To You from The Hunting Ground
    Sound Mixing & Editing: one to Star Wars, the other to Mad Max: Fury Road
    Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
    Animated Feature: Inside Out
    Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul

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    james14
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    #212667

    Best Picture – Spotlight vs. The Big Short

    Best Director – Miller vs Inarritu vs. McKay vs. McCarthy

    Best Costume Design – Cinderella vs. Carol vs. Mad Max

    Best Production Design – Mad Max vs. The Revenant vs. The Danish Girl

    Best Score – The Hateful Eight vs. Star Wars

    Best Documentary – Amy vs. The Look of Silence vs. Cartel Land (not sold on Amy entirely yet)

    Best Supporting Actress – Mara vs. Vikander (though this may yet lock up before the Oscars) 

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    PJ Edwards
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    #212668

    Supporting Actor
    Supporting Actress
    And the shorts

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    CanadianFan
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    #212669

    Up in the air:
    – 3 shorts categories
    – Director

    Just waiting for the tea leaves:
    – Supporting actress

    A little suspense:
    – Song, production design, editing, cinematography, lead actress

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    Payal Darji
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    #212670

    I heard somewhere that PGA was very close? Is there a chance TBS could still lose? Fingers crossed

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    Eddy Q
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    #212671

    ^ Where did you hear that PGA was so close?

    The hardest for me to figure out is Best Production Design. I’d be happy if Mad Max won but it would be unprecedented with these voters. I’d vote for Jack Fisk’s exquisite work in The Revenant but I expect it will go unappreciated by many, and is probably in last place in this category. The Danish Girl has the most lavish sets but I’m already predicting it for Supporting Actress and Costume Design, and I doubt it has enough support to win three. There is some precedent for Bridge of Spies as a frontrunner – Schindler’s List comes to mind – but usually those are BP frontrunners showered with nominations, which BoS most certainly is not. Spielberg’s Lincoln won, but that was far more lavish than BoS. That leaves The Martian, which would not be a typical winner but has grander sets than Gravity and, unlike Interstellar, is not competing with an all-out frontrunner (which was of course Grand Budapest). So I’m currently predicting The Martian by process of elimination, but I’m not confident about that at all. I’ll probably end up going with what BAFTA pick in the end.

    Until the DGA winner is revealed Best Director is a bit of a mystery too, with all except Abrahamson in with a shot. 

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    Josh Ben-Ami
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    #212672

    Everything except Best Actress in a Leading Role. 

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    24Emmy
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    #212673

    Director (until DGA)
    Supporting Actress (until SAG/BAFTA)
    Production Design
    Costume Design
    Original Score
    shorts

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    TerenceFletcher
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    #212674

    Best Picture
    Best Director
    Best Supporting Actress
    Best Original Screenplay
    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Best Cinematography
    Best Costume Design
    Best Film Editing
    Best Visual Effects 

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    Bird
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    #212675

    For me, there are five categories where I am still not 100% sure – Best Picture, Best Director, Best Adpated Screenplay, Best Production Design and Best Supporting Actress.

    BP imo still could go to The Big Short, The Revenant or Spotlight

    Best Director could go to Inarritu, McCarthy, McKay or Miller (ironically, I would cast my vote for Abrahamson!)

    Best Adapted Screenplay feels like a toss-up between The Big Short and Room

    Best Production Design for me is between MM: FR and The Martian. TM has the worst odds of the five movies, but I stubbornly am sticking with my prediction of it to win: it has the most varied and interesting sets – Mars and various space crafts are much more visually interesting to me than the mosh pits and apocalyptic world of MM: FR. (I know that we don’t agree; can’t we agree to disagree? the academy will either agree with us or it will choose one of the 3 other films, that’s all).

    Best Supporting Actress I am predicting Alicia Vikander for the win, but I don’t feel as confident about it as I wish I could. I love all five actresses and think four of them are deserving of the Oscar so It’s a win-win situation for me. Just not sure if AV is too much of a newcomer for the academy to vote for her.

    I am predicting films I don’t like in 7 categories, so this isn’t about what you think should win but is about speculation over what you think the academy will do… I think the academy is going to be wrong in seven categories! (;

    I think four of these are on the money in their ambiguity. I do think that adapted Screenplay is locked now, after the PGA. The Big Short is taking Adapted in a cake walk.

    I would also add costume design (Cinderella, Carol, and Mad Max) and Editing (Mad Max and The Big Short in what I expect to be one of the tightest races).

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    Saulo Correa Ferreira
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    #212676

    What about visual effects? I say that except “Ex Machina”, all the nominees have equal chance;

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    Saulo Correa Ferreira
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    #212677

    What about visual effects? I say that except “Ex Machina”, all the nominees have equal chance;

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    Anonymous
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    #212678

    Why are people so sure about Larson’s Oscar?

    If the Bafta is going with Ronan, we have a fair race.

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    AMG
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    #212679

    Who said the BAFTA is going to Ronan?

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