Who get the fifth spots?

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  • ETPhoneHome
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    #171947

    At this point, lots of the races have some locks and good bets. What I’ve noticed is that for a number of races, there are four spots filled with sure things and a fifth spot that could still go to any number of contenders. The particular ones that I see:

    Lead Actor (Keaton, Redmayne, Ouelowo, Cumberbatch, ?)
    Supporting Actor (Simmons, Hawke, Norton, Ruffalo, ?)
    Original Screenplay (Boyhood, Birdman, Grand Budapest, Selma, ?)
    Adapted Screenplay (Imitation, Gone Girl, Theory, Whiplash, ?)
    Animated Feature (LEGO, Boxtrolls, Dragon, Big Hero 6, ?)
    Foreign Film (Ida, Force Majeure, Leviathan, Wild Tales, ?)

    For me, (at the moment) I’m going with Gyllenhaal, Ahmed, Nightcrawler, Wild, Princess Kaguya and Tangerines.

    What does everyone else think? Did I miss a race? Are some of these actually totally locked up? Most importantly, who do YOU think will get these 5th spots? Discuss!

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    Ryan Lapierre
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    #171949

    Actor Gylenhaal
    Sup actor Duvall
    Original Foxcatcher and Nightcrawler will actully replace Selma
    Adapted Wild
    Animated Song of the sea or Princess Tales
    Foreign Film Liberator

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    Eddy Q
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    #171950

    Not everything you list as a top 4 contender is a sure thing. For instance, I can see any of the animation contenders expect Lego Movie being snubbed, and nominations for both Princess Kaguya and Song of the Sea are a real possibility. Also, there is almost no such thing as a lock in the foreign film category.

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    Cheshire
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    #171951

    Lead Actor: Jake Gylenhaal- Nightcrawler
    Supporting Actor: Robert Duval- The Judge
    Original Screenplay: Foxcatcher
    Adapted Screenplay: Wild
    Animated Feature: I don’t have Boxtrolls, instead I have The Book of Life & The Tale of the Princess Kaguya
    Foreign Film: Timbuktu (not going to lie, I’ve never heard of it) 

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #171952

    Lead Actor: Oyelowo
    Sup. Actor: Duvall
    Original Screenplay: Nightcrawler
    Adapted Screenplay: Unbroken
    Animated Feature: Tale of Princess Kaguya
    Foreign Film: Wild Tales

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    Actriz
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    #171953

    Lead Actor: I have Jake Gyllenhaal getting in. If Fiennes gets in at BAFTA, I may switch to him.

    Supporting Actor: I have Robert Duvall getting in. If somebody else gets in at BAFTA, I’m switching to that person.

    Original Screenplay: I have Nightcrawler getting in. Foxcatcher and maybe Lego Movie are threats, though.

    Adapted Screenplay: I don’t see Theory of Everything as a lock here and have Wild and American Sniper getting in over it.

    Animated Film: I have Kaguya getting the last slot, and I think it might be a little safer than Boxtrolls.

    Foreign Language Film: There’s no such thing as a lock in this category. 

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    Mina Nagy
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    #171954

    Amy Adams getting in for big eyes

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    eastwest
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    #171955

    I just replaced David Oyelowo for Bradley Cooper. So my predix is now Bradley Cooper, Benedict Cumberbatch, Jake Gyllenhaal, Michael Keaton, and Eddie Redmayne.

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #171956

    I honestly can’t envision Boxtrolls not getting in. The Academy loves stopmotion, and nominates basically every stopmotion film they can.

    I agree that the Foreign film category doesn’t have locks, as much as really good bets. I think that the four I mentioned are very safe, given that they’re the four that are best known, If Ida in particular doesn’t get in, I would be amazed.

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    Lionel Fox
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    #171957

    Lead Actor: Steve Carell
    Supporting Actor: Josh Brolin / Robert Duvall
    Original Screenplay: Foxcatcher
    Adapted Screenplay: Inherent Vice 
    Animated Feature: The Tale of Princess Kaguya
    Foreign-language Film: Timbuktu

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    AviChristiaans
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    #171958

    I just replaced David Oyelowo for Bradley Cooper. So my predix is now Bradley Cooper, Benedict Cumberbatch, Jake Gyllenhaal, Michael Keaton, and Eddie Redmayne.

    That’s my 5 Oscar nominees as well. I have had Bradley Cooper in the moment i saw American Sniper a few weeks ago. 

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    AviChristiaans
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    #171959

    As much as she deserves it, i have come to the conclusion that Marion Cotillard will not make the final lineup.
    Gauging the way the Guilds have gone, there seems to be a recurring passion and alignment for the same films, the same precursors.
     Jennifer Aniston is on voters radar, so i believe sh will take that spot that has been hers from the start.  

       

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    JRMeehl
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    #171960

    I think its Duvall for actor and Book of Life for animation. 

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    Nate
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    #171961

    This is a great question
    for the last day of voting.

    My
    choices are:

    Carell
    Wilkinson
    Foxcatcher
    and Mr. Turner (I’m not sold on Selma)
    Inherent
    Vice and Wild (I’m not sold on Whiplash)
    Mr.
    Peabody and Sherman (a real wild card, just for the heck of it)
    The
    Liberator (an important film that deserves some attention, plus the story of 
    Simón Bolívar would make a great first ever nomination for Venezuela)

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    AMG
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    #171962

    Lead Actor (Keaton, Redmayne, Oyelowo, Cumberbatch, ?) Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)
    Supporting Actor (Simmons, Hawke, Norton, Ruffalo, ?) Robert Duvall (The Judge)
    Original Screenplay (Boyhood, Birdman, Grand Budapest, Selma, ?) Nightcrawler
    Adapted Screenplay (Imitation, Gone Girl, Theory, Whiplash, ?) Unbroken
    Animated Feature (LEGO, Boxtrolls, Dragon, Big Hero 6, ?) The Tales of Princess Kaguya
    Foreign Film (Ida, Force Majeure, Leviathan, Wild Tales, ?) Timbuktu 

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