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Who will be the Emily Blunt/Sarah Silverman/Naomi Watts of this year at SAG?

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  • jf123
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    SAG is usually known for nominating one or two performances a year with no major Oscar buzz in a film with no major Oscar buzz that rarely shows up anywhere else. Who will be the nominee this year?

    From this decade:
    2016-Emily Blunt (Girl on the Train)
    2015-Sarah Silverman (I Smile Back) and Helen Mirren (Women in Gold)
    2014-Naomi Watts (St. Vincent)
    2013-James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
    2012-Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
    2011-Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)
    2010-Hillary Swank (Conviction) and Robert DuVall (Get Low)

    Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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    jf123
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    Making this thread made me remember the criminal lack of attention Sarah Silverman’s performance got. Her nom may be my favorite SAG nom of all time.
    silvermaninisb

    Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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    jf123
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    I’m predicting Diane Kruger for In the Fade.

    Some other people who could potentially get in:
    Salma Hayek-Beatriz at Dinner (especially considering that the film is competing in drama at the globes)
    Julia Roberts-Wonder
    Patrick Stewart-Logan

    Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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    Hunter-ish
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    Adam Sandler, Judi Dench, Harry Dean Stanton, Lois Smith, Patrick Stewart, Woody Harrelson (for both LBJ or 3B), Sterling K Brown

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    Riley
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    Definitely Adam Sandler.  Forgot about Naomi Watts.  James Gandolfini was not that surprising.  He got Critics’ Choice and Independent Spirit too.

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    Bird
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    Currently predicting Judi Dench for Murder on the Orient Express. I think the film has a shot at ensemble and I think she can get caught up with that nomination, a la Maggie Smith and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel.

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 2 days ago by  Bird.
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    RobertPius
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    I put Woody H. in my predictions for SAG yesterday. Just a hunch while I was looking for out of the ordinary predictions.

    I’m sort of tempted to put Julia Roberts in for the Globes for Wonder just because they’d probably like her to show up.

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    RobertPius
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    If someone really wanted to get the inside track on SAG votes I’d say you have to look at when the screeners go out. I have a feeling some of those surprise nominations came from a screener that got there early and people had nothing else to watch so they gave it a chance.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    Please let it be Bria Vinaite in The Florida Project!!! (:

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    jf123
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    Please let it be Bria Vinaite in The Florida Project!!! (:

    But The Florida Project is a contender to get nominated for Best Picture and a couple other categories (including a WIN for Dafoe). This mostly applies to performances and/in movies with very little Oscar buzz/chance

    Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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    AndMore
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    I would say that Maggie Smith and James Gandolfini had genuine Oscar buzz and weren’t surprises. Supporting Actress was insanely weak that year and most experts had her in their top 5 predictions on Oscar nomination morning. Gandolfini’s death played to his narrative, and a lot of people wanted him nominated, so he was in the conversation and showed up with BFCA.

    Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

    Also, I believe Swank was campaigning pretty hard that year and doing the roundtables, so most experts had her in, and her missing the Globe was the first wake-up call for them, kind of like Depp a couple of years ago.

    But yes, Silverman, Mirren, Watts, and Hammer were completely out of nowhere. When Aniston first showed up at SAG, a lot of people were puzzled as well, but then she got BFCA and GG noms.

    This year I would say maybe Sandler, Hayek, Kruger, Lois Smith, or Lawrence. I am really considering putting Lois Smith in since they have screeners out, she is a veteran, and she is campaigning.

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    AnDres Gtz
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    I’d say Woody Harrelson for Glass Castle or Julia Roberts from Wonder.

    I don’t want any of them to be there but it’s my guess.

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    unbb24
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    Julia Roberts – Wonder
    Bob Odenkirk – The Post

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    Riley
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    Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

    SAG was first though.

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    AndMore
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    Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

    SAG was first though.

    Yes, I remember! I’m just saying it wasn’t like she wasn’t in the conversation. There was clearly industry support for her performance. The other people I mentioned were literally “WTF” and no other aspects of the industry recognized them.

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