March 3, 2014 at 1:57 pm #145471
Now that Cate has rightfully taken her Best Actress Oscar for Blue Jasmine…
Which previous Support Actress winner will be the next one to join the ranks of Streep, Lange and Blanchett?March 3, 2014 at 2:01 pm #145473
I think that Mellissa Leo, Penelope Cruz, Catherine Zeta-Jones, Judi Dench, and Angelina Jolie will win best actress at some point.March 3, 2014 at 2:18 pm #145474
Anne Hathaway is probably the most likely. Angelina Jolie also seems likely, though she seems to be focusing on directing. And if Lupita’s star is truly on the rise, we could see her following in Halle Berry’s footsteps.
Penelope Cruz with the right role is possible. And Catherine Zeta-Jones is still at that age where she can get juicy roles (which unfortunately is a major factor here). The window is closing fast for Jennifer Connelly, but she wouldn’t be an impossibility, especially since it looks like she’s returning to film acting.
Judi Dench is a headscratcher, and I do believe in Marcia Gay Harden and Marisa Tomei. The three of them are unlikely but have a chance.
The real question mark is Renee Zellweger. If she comes back with a vengeance a la Blanchett, Hollywood may be ready to give her a hug.March 3, 2014 at 2:34 pm #145475
Probably Hathaway. I think I would’ve voted for her for Rachel Getting Married, so in my eyes, she’s already capable of a Lead Actress win. It’s just a matter of time. Speaking of 2008, with the right script/direction (sorry Clint), the Changeling role, or at least the situation is very Lead Actress material, so we know Angelina could get there too at some point.
That’s pretty much it for me. I don’t see people like Connelly, Tomei, Harden, Zeta-Jones, much less Zellwegger (unless it’s the comeback of all comebacks) winning Lead Actress. But like we always say, recent female wins have shown that anything can happen.
I see Cruz winning another supporting one actually.March 3, 2014 at 2:38 pm #145476
No one in the immediate. I agree that Hathaway is the one with a fighting chance. A lot of the women mentioned in the thread are fortunate to be Oscar winners at all. And everyone should stop degrading the supporting categories especially because category fraud exist because actors want nominations and wins. And when all is said and done an Oscar is an Oscar. And as a Blanchett fan I’m grateful her elusive second Oscar is Best Actress where she belongs. All these other women aren’t relevant except in the minds of Oscar fans.March 3, 2014 at 2:53 pm #145477
Catherine Zeta-Jones would have been a perfect alternate for Blue Jasmine in her heyday. That is the kind of part she would excel at, playing rich, caught up, deluded, fragile. But she’s way too off the radar these days.
Probably Angelina Jolie, who’s reaching beloved status. She’s due for a great leading role again. And now with directing…could she become the first woman to pull the Costner or Gibson or Eastwood or Redford (+ as an Academy Award winning actor)?March 3, 2014 at 3:04 pm #145478
Judi Dench if she gets one more acclaimed lead role. Otherwise probably Anne Hathaway.March 3, 2014 at 3:20 pm #145479
Dench, who is dangerously good at any role she tackles, does not play the game in Hollywood. They would have to fight just to get her to show up to the ceremony, even if she were predicted to win. She means no disrespect, but after a certain number of nominations, having already won, I can see why she would pass. Being of a certain age, coupled with all that traveling — no thank you.
I think Zeta-Jones and Zellweger are one and done.
Hathaway should have won for Rachel Getting Married. But Winslet had to sell her children to the gypsies for her Oscar, so I’ll let it slide. Why? If for no better reason than she would simply go away. (And has.)March 3, 2014 at 3:22 pm #145480
This was Dench’s oscar, didn’t win last night, god knows when she going to get another role like this, probably never.March 3, 2014 at 3:26 pm #145481
This was Dench’s oscar, didn’t win last night, god knows when she going to get another role like this, probably never.
Dench should already have a Leading Oscar. For whatever reason, everyone in the industry was all about Helen Mirren, talented in her own right, and her performance in a snoozy biopic. Judi’s performance in Notes on a Scandal would have been one of the better wins in the last 25 years.March 3, 2014 at 3:33 pm #145482
Just taking the 2000s into consideration I’d say the likelihood of the Supporting Actress winners getting another win in Lead is as follows:
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Tilda Swinton
3. Renee Zellweger
4. Catherine Zeta-Jones
5. Penelope Cruz
6. Lupita Nyong’o
7. Melissa Leo
8. Rachel Weisz
9. Marcia Gay Harden
10. Jennifer Connelly
11. Octavia Spencer
12. Jennifer Hudson
86 years of Oscar history and only one black actress having won Lead Actress suggests that Mo’Nique, Hudson and Spencer won’t be winning anytime soon, especially Mo’Nique considering she hasn’t even appeared in any films since Precious.
Jennifer Connelly has really fallen out of the consciousness, both in public and the film community. She’ll need something big and undeniable to win another trophy, let alone Lead Actress. Marcia Gay Harden is appearing in good things but she hasn’t gotten special notice for anything in a long time. Rachel Weisz could go either way, but her performance in The Great Blue Sea got some traction so she could get back in.
Assuming Melissa Leo is able to get a lead role in the future I’m sure she would campaign her little heart out so she has a semi-good shot at potentially winning. Lupita Nyong’o is Hollywood’s newest, brightest star and assuming she doesn’t coast after this I think she could potentially break the streak and get a Lead Actress trophy in the future.
Penelope Cruz got close to Oscar glory for Volver but there was no stopping Helen Mirren that year. Assuming Cruz gets a really juicy lead role then I think she would have a fighting chance to take home a win. Catherine Zeta-Jones is another one that’s gone a long time without any big acclaim but she’s the type of actress that could really shine with the right part, and Hollywood seems to love her, so she would have a good chance.
I ranked Renee Zellweger at no. 3 because even though she’s REALLY slowed down in her career, I think she could come back with a vengeance in a big lead role and create a sort of comeback narrative and lead it to Oscar glory. It just depends on how much she wants it though.
The two most likely, and the two I can say with relative confidence as potential two-time winners are Tilda Swinton and Anne Hathaway. Swinton came really close to a nomination for We Need to Talk About Kevin and she’s proven how versatile of an actress she is, so I think there’s a big chance she could win with the right role. But Anne Hathaway is the one that I can easily see winning a second Oscar, within the next 10 years, even. I’m sure she would campaign like crazy and she’ll have plenty of big roles in her future.
But considering how rare the statistic is, I wouldn’t be surprised if none of these actresses were able to win in Lead.March 3, 2014 at 3:53 pm #145483
Can we reverse this topic to who has previously won Best Actress but is a likelier candidate to receive a second Oscar for Supporting Actress?March 3, 2014 at 4:19 pm #145484
Three immediately come to mind, without hesitation: 1) Angelina Jolie, 2) Anne Hathaway, 3) Tilda Swinton.
A fourth comes to mind because, unlike everyone else, she’s all but disappeared from Hollywood in her 40s after slaying it in her 30s, Renee Zellweger. She’s 45 and hasn’d had a film in five years. She is poised for a comeback (and I hope it’s not in the form of an unnecessary Bridget Jones threequel) and although it may be on the stage or, likelier, a television series (destined for an HBO or Showtime dramedy), I’m hoping it’s a lead role in a film that, like Blanchett, strikes with a vengeance. She has it in her; one doesn’t give six standout performances in such a short time – Jerry Maguire, One True Thing, Nurse Betty, Bridget Jones’s Diary, Chicago, Cold Mountain – then become void of giving more awesome performances. As she said on Letterman a few years ago, she was tired, overworked, and had no personal life. I’m hoping she’s gotten rested and made friends this past half decade and doesn’t need the other half to continue (although she’s earned it). Whether she comes back at age 46 or 50 even, everyone will be waiting. Nothing would thrill me more than to see her pull off what Cate Blanchett did last night.March 3, 2014 at 4:35 pm #145485
ANNE HATHWAY!!!! OH. MY. GOD. PLEASE DON’T MAKE ME SICK.
Between her terrible hosting job, and her being totally intolerable the entire awards season last year she should never even be allowed back into the room where the Oscar Ceremony is held let alone on stage. This woman should never be given a second Oscar.
If anything it should be Angelina Jolie…I actually think its fucked up she doesn’t hold a leading Oscar. Same with Clooney on the male side.
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