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Who will be this year’s surprise acting nominee?

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  • Actriz
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    #170023

    Usually we see an acting nominee get in despite little to no precursor recognition, often thanks to:

    • Being in a film that’s very popular with the Academy (Jacki Weaver, Max von Sydow, Alan Alda, Marcia Gay Harden for Mystic River)
    • Riding the coattails of another actor from their film (Jonah Hill, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Shohreh Aghdashloo, Marcia Gay Harden for Pollack)
    • Being an overwhelming critical favorite (Javier Bardem, Michael Shannon, Emmanuelle Riva)
    • Having a compelling narrative or strategically brilliant campaign (Laura Linney, Quvenzhane Wallis)

    So who will it be this year?

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    benbraddock
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    #170025

    IN SUPPORTING
    I can picture both Wilkinson and Ejogo getting surprise nominations
    for SELMA…Laura Dern in WILD would be a surprise at this point with no
    precursors…Naomi Watts and Zack Galifinakis for BIRDMAN could happen
    if Birdman picked up 5 acting noms..Kristen Stewart benefits from acting
    opposite Julianne Moore in STILL ALICE..
    In supporting, i feel weakness from DUVALL, RUFFALO, STREEP
    and even CHASTAIN..

    IN LEAD
    So if Gyllenhaal and Aniston are NOT shocking at this point, then I
    suppose surprises could come from COTILLARD  who is getting raves
    for her film…Amy Adams at this point would be a surprise but i dont think
    she is happening this year…BLUNT  has no shot..it would be shocking.
    For me, SPALL for Mr. Turner would not be shocking although most
    people are not predicting him..The best surprise for me would be
    RALPH FIENNES FOR THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL….I think the
    vulnerable leads are CARELL AND JONES…

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    24Emmy
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    #170026

    Riz Ahmed or Rene Russo

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    nkb325
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    #170027

    I have Chris Pine for Into the Woods and Carmen Ejogo for Selma both in my predictions. I think Pine can get in if his movies big and people are surprised by his performance along with the fact that I think Duvall is extremely vulnerable for the 5th spot, and I think Ejogo can get in like Jacki Weaver. Riding in on the coattails of her loved movie, with reviews to match.

    BUT usually theres only one each year, so i feel like I need to pick one of them. BUT I CAN’T DECIDE! I feel like Ejogo is more likely but I just can’t settle on anyone to put in place of Pine (I am seeing ItW tonight though, can’t wait!) I know it will most likely only be one of them but I’m probably just going to end up going back and forth on it for weeks and then leaving them both in till nomination day because I just can’t decide. 

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    ScandalWife
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    #170028

    I am going with Blunt. I have a feeling it will go with Glode win then the nomination. Blunt and her husband have so many friends in Hollywood

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    24fanatic
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    #170029

    Carmen Ejogo seems like a likely suprise nominee (but let me see Selma first and then decide, lol)

    Naomi Watts for either film would be a welcome suprise.

    I think Ralph Fiennes has a decent shot at scoring a suprise Best Actor nomination… He’s way more overdue for another nom than say Jake G. Also, he carries his film and leads a huge cast… plus its looking more and more like Grand Budapest will be nominated for Best Picture and maybe even a suprise Best Director nom. Also, I don’t think Steve Carrell is getting in. I was not impressed by his performance… good effort in the dramatic field, but… Oscar worthy? Eh.

    Also, I keep hearing good things about Bradley Cooper and his movie is getting decent reviews. 3rd nomination for a popular actor in a Clint Eastwood film??? Maybe.  

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    Emmys2011
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    #170030

    I have no idea if there will actually be any this year, but if there are, my gut says:

    – Any of the supporting characters in Nightcrawler, but only if Gyllenhaal gets in.

    – Chastain for Elenor Rigby

     – Cotillard fot TDON

    – Dern or Watts 

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #170031

    At this point, I will be surprised with either the Gyllenhaal or Carell nomination. No matter who gets in, the other is snubbed. And then if Spall gets in, they’re both snubbed. It’s a no-win situation.

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    Ryan Earle
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    #170032

    I hope it’s Agata in “Ida” in supporting actress. She won the LA film critics award and she was so heartbreakingly good in “Ida.” I will keep dreaming though. 🙂

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    Tanner Compton
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    #170033

    Marion Cotillard for Two Days, One Night

    Tilda Swinton for Snowpiercer

    Ralph Fiennes for The Grand Budapest Hotel

    Josh Brolin for Inherent Vice

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    Mina Nagy
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    #170034

    Amy Adams, Big Eyes 
    Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes
    Rene Russo, Nightcrawler 

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    Aunt Peg
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    #170035

    I hope at least one of these can make the cut:

    Renee Russo, Nightcrawler
    Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner
    Agata Kulesza, Ida
    Tilda Swinton, Snowpiercer

    And if Miss Julie is eligible:

    Samantha Morton & Colin Farrell (though Jessica Chastian deserves a Razzie for this, she was beyond dreadful) 

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    FilmGuy619
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    #170036

    Marion Cotillard for Best Actress
    Tilda Swinton, Rene Russo, or Agata Kulesza for Best Supporting Actress
    Josh Brolin for Best Supporting Actor 
    Ralph Fiennes or Brendan Gleeson for Best Actor (latter is me being hopeful). Hopefully Tom Hardy can some how squeeze in. He did win LAFCA and they have a pretty good track record with who might get in. 

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    BIGMONEY
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    #170037

    Jude Law for Dom Hemingway

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    Sasha
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    #170038

    Agata Kulesza for “Ida”.

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