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Who/What is Going to Be The Big Snub for This Year?

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  • Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #1201992024

    I think it could be…

    Arrival for Best Director
    Ryan Gosling/Andrew Garfield for Actor
    Mahershala Ali for Sup. Actor
    Arrival for Screenplay
    amongst others (I will come up with more once I think of them)

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    Bee
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    #1201992027

    Arrival for Picture and Director. Lol @ Ali being an option for a snub.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1201992030

    Out of those listed by the OP, only the first one seems plausible to me.

    Amy Adams in Arrival (though I doubt it)
    Fences & Nocturnal Animals for Adapted Screenplay
    Lucas Hedges in Manchester by the Sea
    Jackie for Production Design & Costume Design

    I haven’t watched 13th yet, but does anyone think it could be at a disadvantage against OJ and I Am Not Your Negro?

    • This reply was modified 9 months ago by  Eddy Q.
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    Bee
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    #1201992035

    Out of those listed by the OP, only the first one seems plausible to me. Amy Adams in Arrival (though I doubt it) Fences & Nocturnal Animals for Adapted Screenplay Lucas Hedges in Manchester by the Sea Jackie for Production Design & Costume Design I haven’t watched 13th yet, but does anyone think it could be at a disadvantage against OJ and I Am Not Your Negro?

    Because of the subject matter? It shouldn’t be but I dont think so.

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    sofan
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    #1201992042

    It will happen in Best Actress category for most people but I am not sure as to who it is yet.

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    Riley
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    #1201992047

    Arrival in director/editing/cinematography

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #1201992050

    Arrival for Picture and Director. Lol @ Ali being an option for a snub.

    People said the exact same thing about Ben Affleck in Argo.

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    BenitoDelicias
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    #1201992056

    I think these people can be snubbed:

    Ryan Gosling / Andrew Garfield / Vigo Mortensen
    Amy Adams
    Lucas Hedges (easy call), Jeff Bridges, Hugh Grant
    Nicole Kidman
    Kenneth Lonergan (Director)

    13th (because the Doc branch loves to work that way)
    OJ Made in America (easy to predict considering the “is/was a tv show” controversy)

    Even though they look super safe in 4th and 5th place:
    Hell or High Water (BP)
    Arrival (BP)

    And finally, I still have Meryl Streep missing. Just like people think she’ll get in because of the speech, I predict that this once not so big snub, will be labeled as such just because of the speech.

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1201992061

    NATALIE PORTMAN
    13th
    Andrew Garfield
    Silence shutout
    I’ve been thinking Moana or Red Turtle may miss for Your Name
    Lucas Hedges
    Hacksaw Ridge underperforms in techs a la The Martian
    Fences underperforms missing screenplay and pic
    Hell or High water misses BP

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    Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    #1201992088

    Praying to the old gods and the new ones that Denzel Washington get snubbed for overacting his ass out of Fences.

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    M
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    #1201992095

    Andrew Garfield in Best Actor for either performance.

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    M
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    #1201992096

    Praying to the old gods and the new ones that Denzel Washington get snubbed for overacting his ass out of Fences.

    He directed himself. The category has no enthusiasm this season. He’s landing nomination seven.

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    Anonymous
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    #1201992111

    Meryl Streep, Hugh Grant, Octavia spencer, Nicole Kidman, and maybe Viggio Mortenson.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201992115

    Viggo
    13th
    OJ
    Toni Erdmann
    Lonergan
    Michelle
    Nicole
    LLL for Costume Design
    LLL for Editing
    Moana for Song
    Moana for Animation
    Moonlight for Editing

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    mafro987
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    #1201992118

    Apart from Portman/Stone/Affleck/Ali/Patel/Davis/Harris, no one has a position in the acting categories close to a lock, so you couldn’t classify a Hedges snub a ‘big’ snub. Obviously some are more likely than others but there are a lot of options the Academy could go with. I actually don’t think Kidman is really in danger, but if she didn’t get in it wouldn’t strike anyone as a ‘big’ snub.

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