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Why ‘Gravity’ will still not win Best Picture

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  • Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #136842

    Ever since it opened to incredible reviews and garnered a large box office, Gravity has been the more-or-less frontrunner for the majority of the race. And the guilds/precursor awards have been very kind to it, other than Twelve Years a Slave, has been winning pretty damn close to everything else. 11 noms for BAFTA, 10 noms for Oscar, it seems to be a force to reckoned with.

    However, I think that Gravity will not win the big prize. I am in the minority who think that Gravity is overrated, but I am going to try and be as unbiased as I possibly can. There’s something about Gravity that seems off. That seems like the Oscars really “shouldn’t” go for it.

    The older Academy members will take the easy assumption that because it is set in space, it’s automatically science fiction, and as you and I both know, sci-fi tends not to do well at the Oscars. Not one sci-fi film in the history of the Oscars has won the big prize (though I still believe that it could happen in the future). The movie is also quite experimental. Having extremely long cuts and few editing choices, one could feel drastically underwhelmed (or overwhelmed if you loved the film).

    The other contender that has a shot is Twelve Years. That seems more to me like an Oscar winner. It’s historical, it’s real, it’s beautiful, people are calling it the new Schindler’s List. I actually loved the movie, and would really be more than happy calling in the Best Picture of the Year. It also makes sense. Some say routine sucks and that if it continues then it becomes stale, but when it works, then why not continue?

    American Hustle still has a shot to be a huge surprise shocker if the Academy loves it as much as it apparently did (I mean, it has to win something out it’s ten nominations, am I right?).

    But all this is just speculation, and I totally suck at making predictions. Gravity will probably win. 

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    #136844

    I love both “12 Years a Slave” and “Gravity.” I think PGA + DGA puts “Gravity” in front for Picture and Director Oscars. It might be hard to catch if at the home stretch it also wins BAFTA.

    “12 Years a Slave” could still do it, and if it wins BAFTA that could indicate where the wind is blowing.

    “American Hustle” is down but not completely out. It lost PGA and DGA, but three movies have won after losing both races, and two of them had the SAG Ensemble award in their back pockets (“Shakespeare in Love,” “Crash”) .

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    Riley
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    #136845

    I am going with whatever wins BAFTA.

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    endaugust
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    #136846

    I don’t think the resistance to Gravity is a just a prejudice toward sci-fi. It’s also a resistance to a rather limited movie in terms of theme and emotion. At the end of the day, like Captain Phillips, it’s just a thriller, albeit a very effective one. Captain Phillips is actually more resonant because of its politics implications.

    Gravity is perceived by many as just a very nifty video game. If wins BP, it’s because the distaste for the other 2 frontrunners are stronger. 

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    Laactingnyc
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    #136847

    Gravity is the front runner right now. And rightfully so.

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    K-Hole
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    #136848

    I don’t think the resistance to Gravity is a just a prejudice toward sci-fi. It’s also a resistance to a rather limited movie in terms of theme and emotion. At the end of the day, like Captain Phillips, it’s just a thriller, albeit a very effective one. Captain Phillips is actually more resonant because of its politics implications.

    Gravity is perceived by many as just a very nifty video game. If wins BP, it’s because the distaste for the other 2 frontrunners are stronger. 

    Not true. Gravity is not “limited” in terms of emotion. Did you miss Bullock’s character’s heartbreaking monologue on the death of her daughter? While indisputable that 12 Years a Slave packs more of an emotional wallop, it is unfair and untrue to aver that Gravity is only a cold exercise in survival.

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    Jackson B
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    #136849

    Ive gone back to GRAVITY.  i finally saw 12 years last weekend and I was underwhelmed.  it was good but it wasnt anything great or groundbreaking.

    I think Gravity will win.  My personal choice would be WOLF

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    endaugust
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    #136850

    [quote=”endaugust”]

    I don’t think the resistance to Gravity is a just a prejudice toward sci-fi. It’s also a resistance to a rather limited movie in terms of theme and emotion. At the end of the day, like Captain Phillips, it’s just a thriller, albeit a very effective one. Captain Phillips is actually more resonant because of its politics implications.

    Gravity is perceived by many as just a very nifty video game. If wins BP, it’s because the distaste for the other 2 frontrunners are stronger. 

    Not true. Gravity is not “limited” in terms of emotion. Did you miss Bullock’s character’s heartbreaking monologue on the death of her daughter? While indisputable that 12 Years a Slave packs more of an emotional wallop, it is unfair and untrue to aver that Gravity is only a cold exercise in survival.[/quote]

    Relatively speaking, it’s “small” in comparison.  And even on its own standard, that whole Bullock/daughter monologue thing, even if one were moved for a moment, felt contrived, tacked on.  The human instinct is to survive and stay alive, Bullock didn’t need to flashback to daughter to motivate her.  Since that whole monologue isn’t cohesive to the whole “trapped in space” milieu, and it didn’t truly alter her decision how to go forward, I don’t think its emotional impact is that lasting on a viewer.

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    Words Count
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    #136851

    Gravity is not “limited” in terms of emotion. Did you miss Bullock’s character’s heartbreaking monologue on the death of her daughter? …it is unfair and untrue that Gravity is only a cold exercise in survival.

    James Cameron used the daughter subplot in Aliens. It added nothing to Gravity. Simply a device to aid Bullock’s performance.

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    endaugust
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    #136852

    ^ And in fact, that whole daughter thing might’ve hurt Gravity’s chance of garnering fans.  It was perceived by many as being quite hokey and manipulative.

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    Josh Labron
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    #136853

    I disagree, I thought that whole daughter monologue just really made you like Sandra’s character even more, it’s the thing that even more made you route for her to survive. I’m backing Gravity to win! 

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    Riley
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    #136854

    Count me in the “hokey and manipulative” camp.

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    nkb325
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    #136855

    where exactly are you getting this idea that many people thought it was tacked on and contrived? That may be how you feel and believe you if you say you know other people who feel the same way, but it’s just your opinion, it’s not a fact that it seemed tacked on. I thought it felt very organic and was VERY emotionally moved by the movie, as were some people I know. I’m not trying to sound obnoxious but it seems like you may be doing something thats common at goldderby, and treating your personal opinion of the movie as fact that everyone clearly agrees on when thats not the case

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    starfishgirl
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    #136856

    i’m starting to feel more and more uncomfortable predicting Gravity to win 7 Oscars and not Best Picture. That on the top of the PGA + DGA combo…maybe it really can win. I mean, Cabaret is the only example of a movie that won that many oscars and not the top prize- we know it’s possible but still unlikely. Although I suppose if any movie can do it it’d be 12 Years a Slave- the PGA tie showed at least that there IS passion for it. but for all we know there might be a lot of actors behind American Hustle too. I don’t know.

    If BAFTA does what I think it will, which is to give 12 Years picture, Cuaron director, and Gravity best British Film, I think I may just stick with Gravity for the whole thing 

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    Scottferguson
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    #136857

    Gravity’s path to victory – the large # of commercial-oriented members combined with those specializing in craft need to get comfortable with the idea is that their kind of film deserves to win, then Warner Bros needs to take its perceived weakness (no sci-fi related film has ever won) into a strength (isn’t it about time a great sci-fi related film wins BP).

    Combine those two things, and it has a good chance to win.

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