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Why I still think Mad Max will win best directing?

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  • Abdul Almutairi
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    #217400

    First of all, my english is so bad, so forgot my erres.

    I still strongly think that Mad Max can win best directing, despate most exports, and users disagree with me, I open this post to prove that Miller have strong chance than Iñárritu. Now, I’m going to support my argument by put some Oscar history facts, and some scenarios that can help Miller winning.

    1- Let’s start with how many oscars “we think for sure” Mad Max can win.

    Without any doubts, Mad Max can easy go home with 6 oscars

    sound editing, mixing, film editing, production, makeup, visual effects.

    Now with also good chances of winning also costume, Mad Max could end up winning 7 oscars before directing, by looking at the Academy history the last film wining 6 oscars without winning directing or best picture was Star Wars in 1977, but keep in mind that that year Annie Hall was sweeping all the big awards, won the Globes, BAFTA, WGA and DGA, so unlike this year, in 1977 the academy members have clear choice, not like this year!

    Now if Mad Max won 7 oscars before directing and best picture, it will be the first time ever in Oscar history that film wins that many and yet loses directing or picture, now keep in mind no film in the Academy history won that many and never won directing or picture.

    2- Iñárritu won already last year, and it will be too much for them to give him another oscar for a film looks like less prestigeist than his last one Berdman, I know many people will say, what about Ang Lee won in few years twice, well, i think in the case of Ang Lee, his second win because Affleck wasn’t there.

    3- It is the time to life achivment award for Miller, now also keep in mind lots of the academy members old people, and about 50% technicians, I can imagine many of the old members will go: you know what George Miller he is 70 years old, and yet he made his best film ever, so let’s give him the award instead of Iñárritu. And I’m sure lots and lots of technicians members will also support Miller, because they will go why I checked for Mad Max to win 6 or 7 oscars without giving Miller something, that is why most of technicians will go to Miller instead of Iñárritu, because Iñárritu will most likely will get the cinematographers support, but definitely not the sound and effects members.

    4- What about DGA and Bafta, well BAFTA is clearly they want to honor him because the fucked up last year by awarding Boyhood, now for DGA, I think it is the only real award can Iñárritu people have to make an argument, but still PGA did not going to The Revenant it will makes me skeptical about the DGA.

    So who will win best picture?

    Not Mad Max for sure, but I think Big Short still have a better position than Revenant, for one reason, the actors in the academy will support Big Short and PGA already gave them the signal, wich is also it will be a strong signal for the producers in the Academy as well, everyone not technicians will rank Big Short in the first spot, because they smart to know that Spotlight have 0% chance to win best picture.

    Now last thing i want to say, I think we will have Big short for the first time for a long time winning best picture with only one other awards.



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    Emil Petrov
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    #217402

    Don’t get me wrong, I want you to be right, because I want Miller to win, BUT the truth is Mad Max Will be lucky if it wins 3 or 4 at this point. 

    I actually can see it winning like only 2-3 awards (Production Design, Makeup and one Sound)

    IF Max has 5-6-7 Oscar by the time Best Director is announced I will believe in the Miller surprise. But if Revenant has won by that time: Cinematography, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Makeup and Visual Effects that surprise is dead.

    You have to prepare yourself for possible 2 wins for Mad Max.  

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    Rooney Moore
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    #217403

    Even BAFTA, which obviously didn’t like Mad Max as much as AMPAS, acknowledged its technical prospect and gave it 4 wins, even though its subject matter was sooo out of their comfort zone. They even awarded it with costumes(?!) which made it the only third non-periodic movie in this century that has won that award and probably the one with the least flashy and most unconventional costumes. The other two were Alice in Wonderland and LOTR, both of whom had that periodic feeling in it.

    I think 2 is a pessimistic number for MM’s Oscar chances.

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    sturnc
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    #217404

    I think Mad Max has 2 Oscars locked in: Prodution Design and Makeup & Hairstyling. Beyond that I see it winning Costumes and at least one sound category. Editing is probably a likelihood, but I’m sticking with The Big Short there for now, and Visual Effects is looking like it’ll go to Star Wars so 4 or 5 seems like the most likely scenario and I don’t think that would be enough to carry Miller past Inarritu. For Miller to win I think Seale first has to upset in Cinematograhy which isn’t happening, so as much as I want it to happen Miller isn’t winning

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    Damiansport1
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    #217405

    Mad Max is winning max 4-5. Miller is not getting BD.

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    kvothe_snow
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    #217406

    The campaign of Mad Max has started picking up again. The sound engineer gave an interview 2-3 weeks ago, followed by Miller on NPR, then this week the costume designer was interviewed. Can anyone tell me if these sort of campaigns usually work? Also, I’ve been seeing 2-3 news articles lately about the production delays for Mad Max, hoping they could also make that “it’s-a-difficult-film-to-make” narrative. Is it too late for these campaigns now?

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    kvothe_snow
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    #217407

    Oh an Miller has been addressing the “script-less” complaints of some people by explaining the point of the film being an homage to silent cinema/ Buster Keaton films, etc. He didn’t have to do it because most of us got it…but I think it’s all part of this campaigning, especially for those who did not get the point. I wonder if this will influence some of the last-minute voting.

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    R13
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    #217408

     If Mad Max were to underperfom at the Oscars, we would have seen the first signs of that at BAFTA. 

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    Andrew Carden
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    #217409

    Well, I do think Miller remains in second, but it’s a distant second at this point. He really should’ve been capable of winning at DGA. The Oscar was going to be the harder prize to net.

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    Abdul Almutairi
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    #217410

    Don’t get me wrong, I want you to be right, because I want Miller to win, BUT the truth is Mad Max Will be lucky if it wins 3 or 4 at this point. 

    I actually can see it winning like only 2-3 awards (Production Design, Makeup and one Sound)

    IF Max has 5-6-7 Oscar by the time Best Director is announced I will believe in the Miller surprise. But if Revenant has won by that time: Cinematography, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Makeup and Visual Effects that surprise is dead.

    You have to prepare yourself for possible 2 wins for Mad Max.  

    I think both sound wins are locked for Mad Max, but will see maybe you are right, this year is creazy anyways

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    Abdul Almutairi
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    #217411

    Even BAFTA, which obviously didn’t like Mad Max as much as AMPAS, acknowledged its technical prospect and gave it 4 wins, even though its subject matter was sooo out of their comfort zone. They even awarded it with costumes(?!) which made it the only third non-periodic movie in this century that has won that award and probably the one with the least flashy and most unconventional costumes. The other two were Alice in Wonderland and LOTR, both of whom had that periodic feeling in it.

    I think 2 is a pessimistic number for MM’s Oscar chances.

    I think BAFTA really liked MM, they even gave it the costom.  

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    Asgaroth
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    #217412

    DGA confirmed that Miller won’t be winning BD.
    And I guess we should have seen that coming. It was always delusional to think that a summer action-driven genre film was going to make history taking BD. It’s a lame, but we must come down to Earth and never forget how snobbish these circles are.

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    Atypical
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    #217413

    I still think that Miller will win Best Director. The odds might be against him, but the outcome isn’t impossible.

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