November 2, 2015 at 3:50 am #197007
Leo and Matt were on-screen rivals in “The Departed” and it didn’t end well for either of their characters. This year, they are likely to be Oscar rivals.
Which of them will win that battle? Or will it be someone else who takes to the stage on Oscar night?November 2, 2015 at 12:42 pm #197009
Well I expect that Leo will get nominated, Damon won’t be and Fassbender will win overall. I guess that means Leo wins the battle, but Leo’s fandom loses the war.
Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/November 2, 2015 at 12:51 pm #197010
While he might be nominated, I don’t see any scenario right now where Damon actually wins.November 2, 2015 at 2:46 pm #197011
Damon could earn a nomination, but I have him sitting on the outside just now, and he isn’t winning. The role relies a lot on his charisma but isn’t as showy as victors in this category tend to be.
DiCaprio is looking pretty good, as far as his competition is concerned. As long as the movie doesn’t completely disappoint, he’ll have a good shot. Fassbender remains his biggest competition, though it remains to be seen if the box office failure of Steve Jobs will hurt his chances. I suppose Will Smith is a bit of a question mark, though his director’s previous work doesn’t exactly instill much confidence.November 2, 2015 at 5:05 pm #197012
Michael Fassbender winning? I’m not so sure. The buzz for his film is very quiet right now. I think DiCaprio is the threat. But it’s still a bit early.
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FYC: Derbyite of the Year, 2017November 2, 2015 at 5:19 pm #197013
While I can picture Damon getting nominated (fingers crossed), I don’t think he’ll win. Not with showier contenders like Michael Fassbender (real-life person, spewing monologues like rapid fire) and especially Leonardo DiCaprio (real-life person, physically demanding role) in the mix. Still a Fassy-Leo matchup. Steve Jobs may be bombing at the box office, but it should still ignite passion in other areas besides Fassbender in Best Actor. It’ll be easier for him to get in than say, Johnny Depp who, aside from Joel Edgerton, is the only person gaining buzz for Black Mass which isn’t the best thing.November 2, 2015 at 6:53 pm #197014
The real competition for Fassbender is Redmayne. Leo’s role won’t win him an Oscar and Damon might even miss the cut.November 3, 2015 at 5:37 am #197015
Redmayne isn’t winning for a film that will have trouble cracking into the Best Picture category. He would have needed the film to completely capture the zeitgeist to prevail a year after his previous win, and The Danish Girl doesn’t look like it will accomplish that. Though I agree that he is ahead of Matt Damon in receiving a nomination.November 3, 2015 at 5:54 pm #197016
Nothing would make me happier than if the race came down to these two Actors. When Damon wins the Globe he needs to give the acceptance speech of his life to propel himself into front runner status. The box office alone on The Martian is not enough to get him the win. Still interested in seeing how Smiths movie fits in. Fassbender has fallen flat. History tells us Redmayne cannot win so he’s not a factor. This is exciting not having a front runner.
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