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So far the BAFTA and Oscar have matched in the best animated feature category. The only exception was 2014. The LEGO movie won at the BAFTAs, but somehow got left off the nominations list at the Oscars.
ReplyI think Kubo has a much stronger chance in Visual Effects than Animated Feature.
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ReplyCopy URLPeople are reading WAY to much into the BAFTA! Why would the American Academy give so much power to a single and foreign award? Not when you’ve got another film that has won more awards (every single other major award in fact) and also as I’ve said before I’ll say again! Zootopia was a AFI winner, not every year does an animated film win this award but every single time it has its always gone on to win the Oscar! The American Film Institution is a highly respected film school and conservatory in Hollywood still to this day and you better believe they have sway. Also remember, Zootopia has several guilds already on its side. The Editors, Animation, and Produces (that one being a large voting block) and being that Zootopia was also the only animated film even talked about for a Best Picture and Best Screenplay I’d bet the Writers will also vote for Zootopia. So all that’s really left is the Actors (that are the largest group and also a very political and liberal bunch!) I can only imagine how they’ll vote!
I stand by it that the BAFTA was certainly a split vote between Finding Dory and Zootopia. Do a bit of research and it becomes pretty clear! Simply go to google trends and do a search in the U.K. over the past month with Zootopia, Finding Dory, and Kubo and the two strings. Then look at the trends, Dory and Zootopia were running neck and neck during the entire voting period with very little traffic for Kubo. This isn’t a perfect science but it gives you a good clue!
So could this happen again with Moana and Zootopia? It could but I doubt it! Disney will very likely pull out all the stops as has happened before! Disney still does have a lot of friends in the Academy and a lot of voters also! Lastly don’t forget while with the BAFTA Zootopia faced another Disney film and a Pixar one. Now Kubo faces the same with another stop motion and The Red Turtle that also has its own fanbase!
ReplyCopy URLPeople are reading WAY to much into the BAFTA! Why would the American Academy give so much power to a single and foreign award?
We go through this every year. LOL. It’s not about “giving power”. These stats exist for a reason. The makeup of these two awards are very similar, and there is an overlap of voters.
I stand by it that the BAFTA was certainly a split vote between Finding Dory and Zootopia. Do a bit of research and it becomes pretty clear! Simply go to google trends and do a search in the U.K. over the past month with Zootopia, Finding Dory, and Kubo and the two strings. Then look at the trends, Dory and Zootopia were running neck and neck during the entire voting period with very little traffic for Kubo. This isn’t a perfect science but it gives you a good clue!
This doesn’t even make sense.
ReplyCopy URLI stand by it that the BAFTA was certainly a split vote between Finding Dory and Zootopia. Do a bit of research and it becomes pretty clear! Simply go to google trends and do a search in the U.K. over the past month with Zootopia, Finding Dory, and Kubo and the two strings. Then look at the trends, Dory and Zootopia were running neck and neck during the entire voting period with very little traffic for Kubo. This isn’t a perfect science but it gives you a good clue!
So according to your statement, Finding Dory and Zootopia should have gotten most of the votes, since they were the most ‘talked about’ from the nominees. Plus the voters are allowed to pick just one movie – the winner, and are not supposed to rank all the nominees, and the movie with the most votes wins. Correct? Then how Kubo won if Zootopia and Dory are the ones that were supposed to get more votes? If the winner is the movie with the most votes then Kubo got more votes than all the other nominees. How’s that vote splitting?
ReplyCopy URLThe Brits have always had more of a fondness for stop-motion animation than most Americans, which may have played a big part in Kubo’s win. With the Oscars, usually the winner for Best Animated Feature is both entertaining and has a relevant social message at the core, and Zootopia fits the bill perfectly with its exploration of racism and sexism. Most Oscar voters will probably feel those themes are more relevant than ever now that Donald Trump is President.
ReplyCopy URLI think Kubo has a much stronger chance in Visual Effects than Animated Feature.
For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!
The Jungle Book will probably win, which it deserves to.
ReplyCopy URLIf we gonna look at the stats of other good bellwether awards, look at ACE Eddies (86% matching rate, 6/7), Critics’ Choice (80%, 12/15) and Golden Globes (70%, 7/10). Zootopia won all these awards. I know that these awards don’t have a voter overlap with Oscars like BAFTA does. But I still definitely see Zootopia winning this award.
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If Zootopia were to win, 2013-2017 would be the longest streak Disney has ever had, beating 2008-2011 streak where Ratatouille, WALL-E, Up and Toy Story 3 won. That was a worthy streak, and all of them have gone on to be classic films in their own right. The 2013-2016 streak has been one of the worst ever. Brave, Frozen, Big Hero 6 and Inside Out won in their respective years, either because the worthiest movie was shut out of the category all together (The Lego Movie), or they made a gimmicky movie that was bound to push out all other contenders (Frozen). This streak is so undeserving, and none of these films will be classics in the future, as the Golden Age of Disney animation has come to an end.
If the film with the best message were to win, Moonlight would be winning BP, not LLL. This category should be renamed to Best Kids Movie, not Best Animated Feature.
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