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Will the BAFTAs Big 8 match the Academy's Big 8?

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  • GMonty777
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    #1202496759

    Pretty much everybody agrees that Del Toro, Oldman, McDormand, Rockwell, Janney, and Ivory will win on Oscar night.

    That’s 6/8 already sealed. They all did a clean sweep at the Critics Choice, Globe, SAG, and BAFTA awards.

    I have yet to see an Oscar season where the Big 8 Oscars winners matched the Big 8 BAFTA winners.

    2011 was the Oscar season with the closest match with 6/8.

    Do you think there will be a perfect match here?

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    Teridax
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    I think so, just because the consensus hasn’t just been with Bafta, it has been with other awards groups like the Globes and SAG.

    Even the Australian International Academy Awards almost had the exact same winners, with the exception of Lead Actress, where Australian bias allowed Margot Robbie to upset McDormand. Still, the Baftas much more recently didn’t let Brit bias get in the way of Frances McDormand’s sweep, even with Sally Hawkins starring in 2 of the nominees for British Film, Paddington 2 and The Shape of Water. Also, Nolan won Director at Australian International, but they loved that movie so much more than everyone else that they nominated it for script and Tom Hardy in Supporting Actor.

    I will say that if ANY of the Big 8 categories don’t match up with Bafta, I predict it will most likely be Picture and/or Original Screenplay, with Get Out winning those Oscars, even though I’m not going to actually predict the Peele film to upset the McDonagh film.

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    Miles
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    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

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    Eden
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    Funny how we thought we had an unpredictable Oscar race and yet, the same performers are winning over and over everywhere.

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    GMonty777
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    #1202497085

    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

    The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA with the preferential ballot and still lost Best Picture.

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    Miles
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    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

    The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA with the preferential ballot and still lost Best Picture.

    Yes, I’m not trying to make a case for The Shape of Water. I’m just saying that Three Billboards’s biggest obstacles are its PGA loss and Director snub. I think it can overcome it, but still, it’s worth considering. Picture isn’t locked up like the other races.

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    tomcain68
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    I would love to see pretty much anything win best pic over “Three Billboards”. It’s far and away the most overrated picture of the year.

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    Dana S.
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    Funny how we thought we had an unpredictable Oscar race and yet, the same performers are winning over and over everywhere.

    But  there is a mystery about Best Picture still. Not to mention people here said that if all 4 acting categories win Oscar it’ll be the first time such sweep happens.

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    Eden
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    #1202498089

    If someone from the 4 acting winners so far loses at the Oscars, isn’t it more likely to be Rockwell rather than  Janney? He’s at the center of the Three Billboards controversy and has a co-star in the same category.

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    AlexVieira
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    This will be another boring and predictable Oscar. It’s sad. I’d love to see some unexpected stuff. Like Paul Thomas Anderson winning Best Director, or something like Blade Runner 2049 winning its 5 Oscars. It’s sad. ‘Cause it won’t happen.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

    The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA with the preferential ballot and still lost Best Picture.

    To films nominated for directing.

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