August 4, 2014 at 4:09 pm #157321
Every year around this time I talk to my “uncle” (actually just a good friend of one of my dads’) who works as a theater/screen booker for studios so he gets to see rough cuts of some films to help plan their release schedules and other fun stuff (my dad does the same thing, just for Broadway productions). This year, he’s also serving on board for one of the major film fests. He knows I’m into the predicting game so he shares what he can/is allowed to with me. This is completely legit – I shared info he gave me last year in the separate threads for each race (didn’t create one big thread like I am now) and most of his suggestions were worth heeding. He accurately predicted the McConaughey/Leto sweeps and was the first to tell me of a “big gamechanger” coming in the original screenplay category back when everyone was predicting American Hustle.
I’m waiting on his reply (I’m based in NYC and he is in Cali, so he could still be at work at the moment) and will share the deets as they come.August 4, 2014 at 4:52 pm #157323
Thanks again Actriz!August 4, 2014 at 4:58 pm #157324
Very much looking forward to his response – I remember last year and the year before he warned us about the Leto sweep and the surge of Silver Linings Playbook among other things.August 4, 2014 at 5:06 pm #157325
I hope he tells us something about Still Alice’s release. I’m dying to know whether or not it will contend this year!August 6, 2014 at 2:51 pm #157326
I wish I’d been on this forum earlier this year. Had I predicted Her as the winner of Best Original Screenplay instead of American Hustle, I’d have won my Oscar pool rather than come in third place (first place was a tie).August 6, 2014 at 2:55 pm #157327
Can’t wait!!!!August 7, 2014 at 5:04 am #157328
Well, that’s exciting!August 10, 2014 at 1:51 pm #157329
Here’s the text of the email. Sometimes he sends me texts when he sees new rough cuts or even final films so I will post those in this thread too if/when they come.
I’ve bolded film titles for convenience if you’re looking for one in particular.
I have to run soon so I’ll just list it all for you. Again just remember that I usually see rough cuts so what makes it to the theater could end up being very different.
Wild is strong and the better of Reese Witherspoon’s two star vehicles this year. Jean Marc Vallee is rising fast and definitely isnt going anywhere (rumor is he’s now attached to the Amy Adams Janis Joplin movie). I can’t say with confidence that Reese will win but she will be nominated
You’ve probably heard already, but Foxcatcher is really something special. The dynamic between Steve Carell and Channing Tatum is really well balanced. Truly wonderful direction all around, Miller could win
I’ve heard that Fincher is doing some serious re-editing so this could end up being baloney, but Gone Girl will be a hit with audiences, critics and especially Fincher fans. Tyler Perry is surprisingly good.
Inherent Vice is crazy. Joaquin Phoenix is in top form and Martin Short is INSANE. Lots of people will be passionate about this one.
Disney is being insanely secretive (even by Disney standards) about Into the Woods. I haven’t seen anything from it yet except the teaser thats out in theaters now. I can’t verify because I haven’t seen anything but word is that its a Chicago and not a Nine.
Speaking of musicals, Richard Lagravenese’s The Last Five Years is beautiful and very moving.
Birdman is really, really funny mostly because of how true a lot of it is. Industry insiders will love this one. Great acting all around, from the whole cast.
People will go bonkers for Chastain in [The Disappearance of] Eleanor Rigby. This is her Blue Jasmine, her Boys Don’t Cry, her Far From heaven.
Speaking of redheads, Julianne Moore is a riot in Maps to the Stars and certainly is award worthy. I liked it a lot as a whole but Julianne will get all of the attention for it. I haven’t seen Big Eyes yet either, but have heard lots of good things about Adams, prod design and especially Waltz.
I didn’t see much of A Little Chaos but Kate Winslet was terrific.
There will be a lot of criticism of The Humbling for its plot and execution. The better Al Pacino film this year is Manglehorn, though supposedly that one is being heavily re-edited as well (the cut I saw was very short).
Jon Stewart’s movie Rosewater, as you probably could have guessed, is gonna be very political and will divide people. Gael is great in it.
Last but not least, Whiplash is my favorite of everything I’ve seen so far this year. I still have a lot of full/final cuts to see, but this one was amazing!
That’s all for now, I will post anything he sends me from here on out.August 10, 2014 at 1:59 pm #157330
This is the third person I’ve seen describe Martin Short as being amazing in Inherent Vice – it excites me because Dr. Rudy Blatnoyd is such a small but interesting character and SPOILER his death is gruesome and actually quite funny in a weird way SPOILER. I am actually thinking he and Josh Brolin are the ones to watch.August 10, 2014 at 2:02 pm #157331
“People will go bonkers for Chastain in [The Disappearance of] Eleanor Rigby.”
O yes. I’m sure THAT’LL happen in my case.
Good news about Whiplash. Nominations from that could make things interesting.August 10, 2014 at 2:53 pm #157332
Martin Short is one of my absolute FAVORITE actors of all time. You currently have me dying in my chair at the thought of him being a contender…August 10, 2014 at 3:10 pm #157333
This has me both incredibly excited for the upcoming releases and greatly confused, as now it might have become even harder to pick and choose the early frontrunners.
Really hopeful what he says about Gone Girl and (especially) Eleanor Rigby are true. Weinstein does seem to be positioning the latter for a proper campaign.August 10, 2014 at 3:39 pm #157334
Actriz and her connections! The jealousy!!
But yeah, thanks to you and your uncle. Maybe it’s Chastain’s year? but Rigby doesn’t seems like something Harvey will be campaigning for though.
lol if Tyler Perry ends up stealing all the thunder from Rosmund Pike.
August 10, 2014 at 3:54 pm #157335
^This is actually the second person I’ve heard say that Perry is surprisingly good (the other I think was one of the Hitfix guys who also said that Neil Patrick Harris was one to watch).